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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Mineola Peerlessd 3y 4 | S Mavrias — 17% R242 W42 P134 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 48 | 48 (5) | 71 (2) | 69 (4) | 81 (3) | 88 (1) | 70 (3) | 68 (4) | 76 (2) | 69 (2) | 86 (1) | 46 | 35 | 20 | 30 | 68 | 55 | 3 | 9/2 | |
| 2 | ▶ Phat Cashd 3y 26 | J J Luckhurst — 15% R283 W43 P134 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 42 | 52 | 40 (2) | 30 (5) | 41 (1) | 49 (6) | 70 (3) | 77 (3) | 81 (2) | 89 (1) | 78 (2) | 85 (1) | 26 | 39 | 20 | 34 | 71 | 53 | 5 | 8/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Bonnie Wee Rosieb 2y 18 | L E Morrison — 23% R198 W45 P122 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 47 | 60 (4) | 65 (4) | 79 (2) | 66 (5) | 64 (5) | 66 (4) | 72 (5) | 89 (1) | 61 (4) | 54 (6) | 61 | 45 | 23 | 43 | 70 | 62 | 2 | 8/1 | |
| 4 | ▶ Earls Jaguard 2y 10 | J J Luckhurst — 15% R283 W43 P134 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 58 | 56 | 92 (1) | 71 (2) | 70 (3) | 63 (4) | 92 (1) | 74 (3) | 77 (2) | 76 (2) | 75 (2) | 66 (4) | 65 | 53 | 58 | 49 | 75 | 67 | 1 | 1/2F | |
| 5 | ▶ Dazl Twink Starb 4yN/R 26 | J J Luckhurst — 15% R283 W43 P134 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 61 | 51 | 54 (5) | 49 (5) | 55 (5) | 51 (5) | 55 (5) | 60 (4) | 55 (5) | 91 (1) | 85 (1) | 50 (2) | 50 | 60 | 30 | 70 | 63 | 60 | - | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Daraghs Surprised 3y 33 | S Mavrias — 17% R242 W42 P134 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 50 | 50 (5) | 57 (5) | 49 (6) | 83 (1) | 73 (2) | 39 (1) | - | - | - | - | 6 | 51 | - | 44 | 61 | 46 | 4 | 5/1 | |
Earls Jaguar is the highest-rated runner in the field with a series of high-70s figures and a sensational 92 earlier in his career. He's been competitive in every recent start, finishing second in his last two over course and distance — always at the business end without quite getting his head in front. He's a confirmed front-runner with the sharpest early pace among the contenders, and that style is perfectly suited to Central Park where the first bend decides most races. Drawn in trap 4, which is the dominant position in A1 491m races by a significant margin at over 26%. His suitability scores are the best in the field across every category — track, distance, trap, and class — confirming this is a dog ideally matched to conditions in every measurable way. Trained by J J Luckhurst at 12% which is modest, but the dog's profile speaks for itself. Everything aligns here: best form, best draw, best suitability, right pace profile. This is the strongest selection on the card.
Hat-trick seeker with extraordinary venue form — the undeniable danger, but the closing style faces a structural test.
Dominant inside draw for a closer, but form sits below the top pair — place chance.
Quality performer on his day but current form and a weak draw suggest others are preferred.
Class closer with strong suitability and top trainer — would benefit from a pace collapse but faces a tough ask.
Poor trap suitability and weak recent form from an unfavourable draw — others strongly preferred.
Trap 4 is the clear dominant position at 26.3% from 156 runs — far ahead of any other box. The pick occupies this dominant draw with the best suitability in the field. Composite R1 wins 21.8% with 7.7pp of separation — meaningful predictive value at A1 level. This is the strongest structural convergence on the card.
T1:20.6% T2:15.7% T3:19.5% T4:26.3% T5:17.8% T6:16.1%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 491m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Mineola Peerless | 48 | 59 | Closer |
2Phat Cash | 53 | 36 | All-Rounder |
3Bonnie Wee Rosie | 0 | 100 | Closer |
4Earls Jaguar | 59 | 28 | Fader |
5Dazl Twink Star | 0 | 100 | Closer |
6Daraghs Surprise | 52 | 41 | All-Rounder |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.