Beach Body is the highest-rated dog in the race on form figures, with a powerful win over course and distance last time and a series of competitive efforts including a strong second the start before. He's a confirmed closer who relies entirely on a devastating finishing kick — his closing speed ratio is the maximum score. The trap 4 draw is neutral at 16.9%, and his trap suitability of 65 is the best in the field by a significant margin, confirming he's repeatedly won from this position. His recent form reading of a 74 followed by a 62 shows he's at the top of his game. The caveat in a low-separation race like this is that the conditions data says the top-ranked dog wins at just 18% — barely above random. The pick is based on the projection model rather than overwhelming structural convergence. Trained by T M Levers at 22%.