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WELCOME TO ROMFORD STAKES
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Class | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Rating | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Bubbly Carvod 3y 23 | P W Young — 19% R1319 W245 P774 Trainer form — last 3 months | 51 | 29 | 57 (5) | 50 (6) | 67 (4) | 55 (6) | 71 (4) | 99 (3) | 82 (1) | 63 (2) | - | - | 32 | 28 | - | 28 | 78 | 56 | 5 | 7/1 | ||
| 2 | ▶ Geneva Betsyb 2y 25 | B Doyle — 15% R242 W36 P122 Trainer form — last 3 months | 49 | 69 | 68 (4) | 46 (4) | 100 (1) | 65 (4) | 58 (4) | 100 (1) | 72 (2) | 45 (5) | 84 (1) | 69 (3) | 34 | 39 | - | 25 | 74 | 56 | 4 | 5/2F | ||
| 3 | ▶ Arb Park Rangerd 4y 53 | T S Welch — 16% R118 W19 P55 Trainer form — last 3 months | 16 | 18 | 83 (2) | 48 (5) | 46 (6) | 78 (1) | 62 (4) | 54 (6) | 56 (4) | 63 (5) | 52 (2) | - | 52 | 47 | 48 | 47 | 64 | 57 | 1 | 5/1 | ||
| 4 | ▶ Bubbly Flameb 3y 36 | P W Young — 19% R1319 W245 P774 Trainer form — last 3 months | 68 | 95 | 81 0 | 77 (4) | 100 (3) | 70 (1) | 100 (5) | 69 (1) | 66 (4) | 100 (3) | 57 (1) | - | 44 | 57 | 70 | 71 | 77 | 66 | 6 | 11/4 | ||
| 5 | ▶ Droopys Standbyd 3y 17 | P W Young — 19% R1319 W245 P774 Trainer form — last 3 months | 40 | 48 | 100 (1) | 69 (6) | 96 (1) | 73 (3) | 67 (4) | 78 (3) | 80 (5) | 92 (2) | 66 (2) | - | 33 | 41 | 40 | 33 | 76 | 58 | 3 | 9/2 | ||
| 6 | ▶ Swift Agileb 3y 13 | P D Burr — 19% R252 W47 P134 Trainer form — last 3 months | 54 | 52 | 86 (4) | 100 (3) | 55 (1) | 48 (4) | 97 (3) | 73 (1) | 81 (5) | 69 (4) | - | - | 39 | 42 | 21 | 54 | 72 | 59 | 2 | 3/1 | ||
Arb Park Ranger has the prediction in his favour and is drawn in the structurally dominant T3 position — 35.5% win rate from 31 runs at 575m S1 conditions. His speed rating (100) and bend rating (100) are both field-best by a massive margin, and he'll lead this field into the first bend. The Pred1 model loves his h3Score of 122.3 — the highest in the race by far. The concern is obvious: he's a Fader (EP 100, CS 0) at a staying trip. The skill warns explicitly that Faders weaken significantly at 500m+, and 575m is even longer. His recent form is P78 (1st A4) and P62 (4th A4) at 400m — note these aren't staying runs, and his one S1 entry date isn't visible in recent form. Trap suit 56 and distance suit 51 are the best in the field. Trainer T S Welch at 14% is weak. The structural dominance of T3 (35.5%) is extraordinary and supports the prediction, but the Fader profile at this distance is a real risk.
DANGER: Strong Closer on the rail at a staying trip. P99 S3 win and P82 S3 place show distance ability. Rail compounds through extra bends. Main threat to the pick if the pace collapses.
AI PICK candidate — best form (perf 81), second-dominant trap (29.0%), field-best track suitability (57), and perfect staying Closer profile. The structural case is extremely strong. Only risk is the Faders building an unassailable lead.
Extreme Fader in the dead T2 trap at a staying trip. Will lead early with Arb Park Ranger but the 575m distance and dead trap position make this a very tough ask. One to oppose.
Wildcard with proven S1 form (P100 win) but chaotic pace profile (EP 3, CS 18, consistency 0) and mostly trial runs recently. Distance suit 71 is outstanding but impossible to trust. Live outsider at best.
Interesting All-Rounder profile (EP 97 + CS 82) but drawn in dead T6 at a tight staying trip. Recent form declining and suitability scores poor. Hard to make a case despite the versatile pace profile.
SMALL SAMPLE but extreme trap bias. T3 dominates at 35.5% and T5 at 29.0% — between them they account for nearly two-thirds of wins. T2 is essentially dead at 5.7%. R1 composite wins 24.7% — meaningful separation at this level. The skill notes T1's cumulative rail advantage at 575m is massive, but the data shows T3 and T5 as the power positions.
T1:17.1% T2:5.7% T3:35.5% T4:22.2% T5:29.0% T6:8.7%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 575m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Bubbly Carvo | 0 | 100 | Closer |
2Geneva Betsy | 100 | 0 | Fader |
3Arb Park Ranger | 100 | 0 | Fader |
4Bubbly Flame | 0 | 100 | Closer |
5Droopys Standby | 0 | 100 | Closer |
6Swift Agile | 100 | 0 | Fader |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.