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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Jogon Flo Joeb 2y 16 | J S J Simpson — 18% R136 W25 P62 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 61 | 40 | 42 (6) | 66 (1) | 63 (2) | 57 (3) | 53 (4) | 49 (5) | 56 (3) | 55 (3) | 57 (3) | 52 (4) | 43 | 43 | 27 | 43 | 60 | 52 | 2 | 5/4F | |
| 2 | ▶ Private Bucksb 4y 53 | J S J Simpson — 18% R136 W25 P62 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 41 | 44 (4) | 69 (4) | 77 (3) | 51 (3) | 49 (4) | 64 (1) | 36 (6) | 59 (1) | 48 (3) | 49 (3) | 38 | 39 | - | 37 | 51 | 45 | 1 | 6/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Tip Top Bundeed 3y 310 | T Batchelor — 14% R109 W15 P57 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 57 | 59 | 91 (1) | 82 (1) | 65 (5) | 50 (2) | 50 (3) | 40 (6) | 52 (2) | 33 (6) | 42 (4) | 64 (1) | 49 | 42 | 26 | 45 | 50 | 48 | 3 | 15/8 | |
| 4 | ▶ Keeperhill Vikkib 4y 33 | M E Westwood — 14% R250 W34 P117 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 38 | 42 | 33 (4) | 39 (4) | 44 (5) | 43 (5) | 44 (5) | 34 (5) | 79 (5) | 67 (1) | 74 (4) | - | 33 | 32 | 22 | 29 | 56 | 45 | 4 | 11/1 | |
| 5 | ▶ Young Millieb 3y 33 | P W Young — 18% R1322 W243 P772 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 44 | 60 | 26 (5) | 36 (4) | 42 (3) | 38 (5) | 36 (6) | 44 (5) | 35 (5) | 62 (1) | 52 (2) | 55 (1) | 36 | 36 | 17 | 36 | 47 | 42 | 5 | 7/2 | |
Private Bucks gets the Pred1 nod from T2 (19.3% — neutral). He's an All-Rounder (EP 50, CS 50, pace consistency 82) who has just won at A7 (P64 1st) and won at A8 before that (P59 1st). The trajectory is upwards through the grades, which gives the prediction substance — he's a rising dog. Average performance 51 is middling for the field, which is the concern. Track suit 36, distance suit 38, trap suit 38 — all below average, suggesting he hasn't historically excelled at Romford from T2. Trainer J S J Simpson at 22% is decent. Speed 52 and bend 39 — the low bend rating is a worry at Romford where bends decide races. His All-Rounder profile means he can adapt to the race shape, sitting behind the Faders without overcommitting. In a low-separation field, the H3 model sees something the raw numbers might miss — perhaps the improving trajectory carries more weight than static averages.
DANGER: Best speed (57), best CS (88), rail position in the dominant T1 trap. Three consecutive 3rds at A6 shows she's always there but hasn't converted. This could be the day from the optimal draw.
Will lead through bend 1 with best EP (64) but CS 14 means severe fading is inevitable at 400m. Won at A7, competitive at A6, but the pace profile condemns him to lead and weaken. Place chance if the closers are slow to react.
Field-best avg performance (60) from staying races but dropping to 400m where her extreme Closer profile (CS 100, EP 0) is a severe liability. Distance mismatch and weak suitability scores. May close late but unlikely to arrive in time.
Extreme Fader (CS 0) in the weakest trap (T5, 15.5%) with field-worst speed (40). Only A6 run was P35 5th — outclassed. Will push the pace but fade dramatically. One to oppose.
LOW SEPARATION at A6 — R1 20.8% vs R3 18.5%, 2.3pp gap. T1 marginally dominant (20.7%). T5 weakest (15.5%). Flat bias overall — form and pace profile will decide.
T1:20.7% T2:19.3% T3:19.9% T4:19.6% T5:15.5% T6:16.6%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 400m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Jogon Flo Joe | 43 | 86 | Closer |
2Private Bucks | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
3Tip Top Bundee | 65 | 12 | Fader |
4Keeperhill Vikki | 0 | 100 | Closer |
5Young Millie | 65 | 0 | Fader |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.