Ayup Chewie won here last time posting a solid 62 and has two wins from his last five starts at this course. He's an all-rounder with a balanced pace profile that suits Nottingham's demands, and his trap suitability of 68 from the 3 box is the best in the field. The trap 3 draw is structurally strong at A6 conditions, winning 20% from 135 runs. His track suitability of 52 and distance suitability of 47 confirm he handles these conditions well. His form is volatile — the 62 and a 56 sit alongside a poor 34 and two single-digit efforts further back — but at A6 grade where nobody is consistent, a dog with a recent win, strong suitability and a productive draw is as good as it gets.