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Homing Dogs With Home Run Hounds Stakes
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Rogerthedodged 4y 26 | J Llewellin — 17% R365 W61 P195 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 15 | 50 | 31 (6) | 52 (2) | 47 (3) | 56 (1) | 55 (4) | 40 (5) | 61 (2) | 56 (2) | 57 (2) | 58 (2) | 5 | 23 | 22 | 33 | 56 | 33 | 6 | 11/10F | |
| 2 | ▶ Crafty Can Dob 2y 7 | K Wilton — 23% R173 W40 P91 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 26 | 52 | 50 (2) | 48 (3) | 60 (1) | 51 (3) | 48 (4) | 33 (5) | 46 (5) | 40 (5) | 32 (1) | 71 (1) | 47 | 39 | 37 | 27 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 7/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Firebird Queenieb 3y 26 | K Wilton — 23% R173 W40 P91 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 45 | 55 (4) | 60 (3) | 79 (1) | 74 (1) | 62 (1) | 47 (3) | 51 (5) | 61 (4) | 53 (4) | - | 28 | 38 | 24 | 10 | 55 | 36 | 4 | 6/1 | |
| 4 | ▶ Noirs Flyb 2y 26 | J Daly — 18% R238 W44 P126 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 50 | 48 (5) | 76 (1) | 63 (3) | 75 (1) | 78 (1) | 77 (1) | 74 (1) | 49 (5) | 60 (3) | 71 (2) | 29 | 44 | 32 | 29 | 61 | 43 | 3 | 11/4 | |
| 5 | ▶ Swift Saled 4y 15 | M T Munslow — 23% R148 W34 P93 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | - | 53 (4) | 75 (6) | 71 (1) | 57 (2) | 43 (3) | 50 (6) | 68 (5) | 55 (2) | 75 (6) | - | 49 | 46 | 44 | 47 | 64 | 53 | 2 | 16/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Worra Babed 2y 27 | J Gray — 14% R224 W31 P127 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 69 | 56 | 56 (5) | 63 (6) | 58 (6) | 45 (2) | 68 (3) | 53 (5) | 61 (2) | - | - | - | 47 | 42 | 44 | 32 | 63 | 48 | 1 | 4/1 | |
Worra Babe ticks the most important boxes in a handicap race. Her speed rating of 69 is streets ahead of the rest of this field — 15 points clear of the next best — and in a race where the handicapper has tried to equalise ability, the dog who runs fastest on the clock has a structural edge the stagger can't fully eliminate. She's drawn in the structurally dominant trap 6 which wins 22.4% of handicaps here from over 400 runs. She finishes her races well as a closer, and her form shows consistent figures between 53 and 68 with no dramatic dips. Her track suitability of 42 and trap suitability of 47 are both solid.
Second-best speed with a versatile pace profile and recent course and distance form — the clear danger.
Consistent place horse but very low speed and poor trap suitability make a win unlikely.
Poor recent form and slow speed — hard to see him troubling the principals even with a favourable handicap.
Dead draw, poor distance credentials and moderate form — too much working against her.
Best suitability scores in the field but lacks the raw speed to be a primary threat — a place contender.
HANDICAP — trap bias should be de-weighted but T6 dominance at 22.4% from 406 runs is too strong to ignore. Speed is the key differentiator when the handicapper has equalised ability.
T1:19.8% T2:18.9% T3:14.4% T4:19.3% T5:19.8% T6:22.4%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 500m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Rogerthedodge | 50 | 1 | All-Rounder |
2Crafty Can Do | 48 | 9 | All-Rounder |
3Firebird Queenie | 44 | 65 | Closer |
4Noirs Fly | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
5Swift Sale | — | — | No data |
6Worra Babe | 50 | 56 | Closer |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.