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@SunderlandDogs On Twitter Stakes
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Slamannan Villab 4y 27 | D Blackbird — 17% R1088 W183 P589 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 35 | 78 (1) | 77 (1) | 48 (5) | 58 (3) | 83 (1) | 51 (5) | 83 (1) | 65 (2) | 49 (4) | 75 (2) | 32 | 32 | 12 | 29 | 60 | 50 | 6 | 8/1 | |
| 2 | ▶ Audreys Giftb 3y 17 | S Linley — 17% R373 W65 P191 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 61 | 54 | 37 (6) | 44 (6) | 57 (4) | 48 (5) | 70 (2) | 60 (3) | 66 (2) | 61 (3) | 52 (6) | 83 (1) | 32 | 29 | 17 | 24 | 66 | 53 | 5 | 15/8JF | |
| 3 | ▶ Anglesey Exiled 2y 16 | D Blackbird — 17% R1088 W183 P589 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 51 | 77 (2) | 70 (5) | 81 (1) | 69 (2) | 83 (1) | 66 (2) | 11 (6) | 71 (2) | 58 (4) | 36 (6) | 38 | 52 | 37 | 42 | 63 | 56 | 3 | 7/1 | |
| 4 | ▶ Real Actiond 1y 5 | J Sutherst — 14% R91 W13 P47 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | 46 | 60 (4) | 67 (2) | 54 (4) | 66 (3) | 69 (3) | 57 (3) | 65 (3) | 59 (3) | 51 (3) | 56 (3) | 7 | 34 | - | 35 | 46 | 39 | 4 | 15/8JF | |
| 5 | ▶ Pennys Aurabellab 2y 15 | G A Stark — 19% R275 W53 P145 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 43 | 46 | 50 (5) | 67 (2) | 49 (4) | 42 (4) | 59 (4) | 55 (4) | - | - | - | - | 26 | 28 | - | 28 | 51 | 43 | 1 | 5/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Wiltshired 4y 16 | E Y Bell — 22% R520 W113 P293 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | 56 | 70 (3) | 74 (2) | 79 (1) | 64 (3) | 76 (1) | 52 (6) | 54 (5) | 76 (1) | 52 (4) | 44 (6) | 40 | 38 | 41 | 36 | 59 | 52 | 2 | 9/2 | |
Pennys Aurabella is the model's selection but this requires full transparency — the performance profile is weaker than multiple rivals on virtually every visible metric, and the analytical confidence in this pick is low. Average performance of 51 is mid-field at best, h3 of 61 is the second-lowest among non-trial runners, class suitability of zero means no A3 record, and trial contamination in the form sample complicates the true form assessment. The most recent open runs of P49 and P42 are modest for an A3 race. The model must be detecting an early pace or positional advantage not visible in the surface-level metrics. This selection is flagged as speculative and the aiPick alternative (Audreys Gift) is the stronger analytical case.
Field-best h3 and average performance, clean consistent form P70/P60/P66/P61, best speed rating. Model prediction of fifth is analytically surprising. The strongest visible case for any runner in this race. Primary danger and aiPick selection.
Best class suitability in the race. Clean form. Recent P52/P44 is slightly below peak but class credentials support the predicted second. Genuine danger.
Best track and distance suitability in the field. P82 two runs ago is A3-winning form. Recent inconsistency around P36/P58 introduces doubt. Predicted third — could run better or worse depending on whether P36 was an aberration.
Most consistent form line across six clean runs but performance ceiling of P69 is too low for A3. Modest suitability across all dimensions. Predicted last.
Trap suitability of 7 from T4 at Sunderland is effectively a structural disqualification. Lowest average performance in the field. Trial contamination. Cannot be recommended.
Flat trap distribution in the final A3 race. The model's selection (Pennys Aurabella) is analytically questionable against the field's top-performing runner by conventional metrics (Audreys Gift). An aiPick override is flagged — the structural evidence for Audreys Gift is the strongest counter-model case on today's Sunderland card.
T1:20.1% T2:18.8% T3:19.6% T4:18.7% T5:17.6% T6:19.1%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 450m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Slamannan Villa | 33 | 82 | Closer |
2Audreys Gift | 55 | 47 | Front Runner |
3Anglesey Exile | 50 | 43 | All-Rounder |
4Real Action | 96 | 0 | Fader |
5Pennys Aurabella | 40 | 59 | Closer |
6Wiltshire | 50 | 53 | All-Rounder |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.