The Arena Racing Company Grand Prix Heat 2
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Glengar Lisab 2y 32 | T C Heilbron — 15% R188 W29 P87 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 100 | 100 | 56 (6) | 57 (6) | 37 (6) | 75 (6) | 100 (4) | 100 (1) | 94 (1) | 73 (2) | 87 (1) | - | 59 | 34 | - | 18 | 93 | 73 | 3 | 12/1 | |
| 2 | ▶ Killieford Goramd 5y 42 | D Blackbird — 17% R1084 W182 P585 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 100 | 100 | 63 (4) | 52 (2) | 23 (1) | 66 (4) | 63 (4) | 44 (1) | 67 (3) | 81 (2) | 86 (1) | 82 (3) | 66 | 41 | 12 | 40 | 60 | 56 | 1 | 25/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Anglesey Savanab 2y 21 | D Blackbird — 17% R1084 W182 P585 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 21 | 100 | 61 (4) | 66 (5) | 49 (2) | 50 (4) | 63 (1) | 56 (2) | 47 (2) | 72 (1) | 51 (3) | 49 (4) | 43 | 21 | - | 30 | 41 | 38 | 2 | 50/1 | |
| 4 | ▶ Vhagarb 3y 37 | M A Wallis — 34% R88 W30 P54 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 77 | 0 | 100 (1) | 100 (1) | 100 (1) | 100 (1) | 100 (1) | 89 (2) | 82 (3) | 98 (2) | 100 (1) | 100 (1) | 88 | 30 | 63 | 30 | 94 | 78 | 6 | 1/12F | |
| 5 | ▶ Sheilas Skyb 2y 33 | C M Campbell — 24% R17 W4 P10 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 22 | 0 | 100 (1) | 91 (3) | 100 (1) | 76 (5) | 65 (3) | 95 (1) | 74 (3) | 89 (3) | 77 (4) | 47 (6) | 34 | 23 | - | - | 73 | 57 | 5 | 25/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Greenwell Boltd 2y 22 | J Flaherty — 23% R64 W15 P41 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 0 | 0 | 55 (4) | 72 (2) | 58 (5) | 68 (4) | 74 (5) | 94 (2) | 71 (4) | 100 (1) | 73 (3) | 74 (4) | 46 | 5 | - | 28 | 77 | 59 | 4 | 8/1 | |
Killieford Goram is selected by the model on the strength of the best distance suitability in the field at 40 — a meaningful edge in a 640 metre race — combined with strong trap suitability of 66 from the two draw and a speed rating of 100 that is the joint-best in the race. The h3 score of 126 reflects the quality within this runner's form sample, with P66 and P63 in the two preceding open runs before the most recent P23 result. That P23 is the primary concern and must be factored into any assessment — a run at that level in a strong OR1 field invites questions about whether current form is declining or whether the most recent run was an aberration. Class suitability of 12 confirms some experience at this grade level. No trial contamination means the form sample is entirely from open racing, giving these figures full credibility. A medium-confidence selection that could easily be beaten on current form.
Dramatic improving trajectory to P71 last run. Model rates second. Clean form, decent trap suitability, but modest Sunderland track record. Most credible danger to the selection.
Best natural ability in the race on historical figures but current open form of P24 and P25 is genuinely poor. Trial at LR removes the latest data point. Distance suitability of 18 for 640m is a critical flaw.
Outstanding historical credentials but current open form shows sharp decline. Trial contamination and P27/P18/P25 recent runs confirm this runner is not performing to past level. Predicted sixth is appropriate.
Excellent recent form undermined entirely by zero distance suitability for 640 metres. Cannot be recommended for this trip despite the recent P95 and P65 results.
Consistent clean form undermined by near-zero track suitability at Sunderland. Predicted fourth. The tight circuit appears to be a persistent barrier for this runner. Hard to recommend at this venue.
Flat trap distribution in a structurally complex OR1 field. Multiple runners carry either trial contamination or near-zero track/distance suitability, making Killieford Goram's clean form, best distance suitability, and strong trap credentials the most reliable selection despite the recent P23 result.
T1:20.1% T2:18.8% T3:19.6% T4:18.7% T5:17.6% T6:19.1%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 640m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Glengar Lisa | 0 | 100 | Closer |
2Killieford Goram | 100 | 0 | Fader |
3Anglesey Savana | 100 | 0 | Fader |
4Vhagar | 0 | 100 | Closer |
5Sheilas Sky | 0 | 100 | Closer |
6Greenwell Bolt | 100 | 0 | Fader |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.