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The Arena Racing Company Grand Prix Heat 3
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Borna Parachuted 3y 12 | G S Power — 17% R41 W7 P25 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 25 | 86 (4) | 100 (1) | 79 (5) | 86 (3) | 71 (4) | 100 (1) | 100 (1) | 75 (5) | 85 (4) | 75 (4) | 46 | - | 15 | - | 86 | 72 | 6 | 16/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Bombay Nuttyd 3y 33 | M A Wallis — 36% R90 W32 P56 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 17 | 16 | 71 (5) | 87 (2) | 79 (4) | 100 (1) | 90 (2) | 100 (1) | 84 (2) | 93 (2) | 73 (4) | 95 (2) | 21 | 18 | 38 | 18 | 85 | 62 | 4 | 9/4 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Zenith Legendd 2y 25 | D Mullins — 18% R363 W64 P226 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 100 | 100 | 100 (1) | 100 (1) | 65 (4) | 87 (2) | 100 (1) | 99 (1) | 84 (2) | 100 (1) | 81 (2) | 62 (3) | 59 | - | - | - | 91 | 80 | 5 | 4/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Ballymac Sargied 3y 18 | T C Heilbron — 16% R197 W32 P94 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 25 | 15 | 86 (2) | 83 (2) | 100 (2) | 73 (4) | 79 (3) | 87 (3) | 80 (3) | 51 (3) | 69 (3) | 97 (1) | 46 | 75 | 27 | 53 | 81 | 73 | 2 | 7/2 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Noelles Glenlob 2y 26 | C Jackson — 21% R98 W21 P58 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 100 | 75 | 67 (5) | 82 (2) | 71 (2) | 95 (1) | 65 (3) | 100 (1) | 79 (2) | 96 (1) | 62 (4) | 95 (1) | 39 | 71 | - | - | 85 | 75 | 3 | 40/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Jacktavern Labd 2y 19 | J Flaherty — 26% R62 W16 P39 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 40 | 82 | 100 (1) | 92 (1) | 63 (4) | 94 (2) | 70 (4) | 68 (3) | 86 (1) | 74 (3) | 59 (3) | 85 (4) | 57 | 60 | - | 82 | 81 | 76 | 1 | 6/4F | - | |
Jacktavern Lab earns the top prediction and the analytical support is clear: distance suitability of 82 is the outstanding figure in this race and among the highest in the entire day's 640 metre programme, reflecting a runner who has proven — across many runs — that the trip brings out their best. Track suitability of 60 confirms comfort at Sunderland, and the combination makes this dog structurally the best-suited runner in the field to the race conditions. The most recent P100 run is a trial marker and carries no predictive weight; the open form of P74 two starts back represents a strong performance, and while P60 and P23 in the preceding runs introduce some variability, the trend from the base P19 through to recent P74 shows clear improvement over time. Class suitability of 0 means OR1 is uncharted territory grade-wise, but the suitability profile for course and distance is convincing enough to support the selection regardless.
Track suitability of 75 exceeds the pick and P86/P80 form is strong. Recent P25 is the only question mark. The most dangerous rival to Jacktavern Lab if the recent dip was a one-off.
Strong circuit knowledge and excellent speed but zero distance suitability for the 640m trip. Structurally eliminated from consideration regardless of form.
Field-best h3 and average performance but zero track AND zero distance suitability at Sunderland. The data conclusively says this runner cannot race effectively here or at this distance. Cannot recommend.
Strong ability profile undermined by zero track and distance suitability at Sunderland over 640m. Follows the same pattern as multiple rivals in this heat. Predicted last.
Best class credentials but lowest speed rating and very modest suitability across all other dimensions. Class suitability of 38 is the only standout positive. Predicted fourth.
Flat trap distribution across 272,667 runs. The decisive factor in this 640m heat is distance suitability — four of six runners show zero or near-zero distance suitability figures, leaving Jacktavern Lab (ds=82) and Ballymac Sargie (ds=53) as the only runners with genuine historical credentials for this trip at Sunderland.
T1:20.1% T2:18.8% T3:19.6% T4:18.7% T5:17.6% T6:19.1%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 640m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Borna Parachute | 0 | 100 | Closer |
2Bombay Nutty | 0 | 100 | Closer |
3Zenith Legend | 66 | 0 | Fader |
4Ballymac Sargie | 34 | 99 | Closer |
5Noelles Glenlo | 100 | 0 | Fader |
6Jacktavern Lab | 100 | 1 | Fader |
Only runs at exactly 640m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (640m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 450m | 480m | 491m | 500m | 575m | 590m | 630m | 640m | 659m | 664m | 684m | 695m | 712m | 716m | 750m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Borna Parachute | — | — | — | — | 0.624 | 0.620 | — | 0.619 | 0.628 | — | — | — | — | 0.635 | 0.637 |
| 2 | Bombay Nutty | — | — | — | 0.583 | — | — | — | 0.620 | — | — | 0.611 | 0.600 | 0.610 | — | — |
| 3 | Zenith Legend | — | — | 0.596 | 0.585 | — | — | 0.611 | — | — | 0.609 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 4 | Ballymac Sargie | — | 0.596 | — | — | — | 0.623 | — | 0.626 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5 | Noelles Glenlo | 0.612 | 0.606 | — | — | — | 0.622 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 6 | Jacktavern Lab | — | 0.602 | — | — | — | — | — | 0.622 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.