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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Class | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Rating | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Laurens Ladygagab 1y 18 | C Mcnicholas — 17% R524 W88 P269 Trainer form — last 3 months | 58 | 49 | 70 (1) | 58 (2) | 55 (2) | 59 (2) | 37 (6) | 54 (2) | 62 (6) | 55 (1) | 58 (2) | - | 24 | 40 | 23 | 35 | 47 | 42 | 5 | 7/4F | ||
| 2 | ▶ Calton Kellyb 3y 16 | E Y Bell — 21% R534 W113 P300 Trainer form — last 3 months | 51 | 41 | 43 (4) | 43 (4) | 52 (2) | 44 (4) | 36 (5) | 42 (5) | 25 (6) | 36 (5) | 32 (5) | 35 (5) | 45 | 31 | 11 | 31 | 40 | 38 | 3 | 7/1 | ||
| 3 | ▶ Easy Actb 2y 9 | S Linley — 18% R370 W65 P188 Trainer form — last 3 months | 58 | 58 | 59 (1) | 43 (3) | 47 (3) | 42 (4) | 47 (4) | 37 (5) | 56 (2) | 51 (3) | 42 (5) | 49 (3) | 6 | 37 | 30 | 24 | 47 | 38 | 4 | 2/1 | ||
| 4 | ▶ Rios Magsb 1y 16 | D Blackbird — 17% R1091 W185 P588 Trainer form — last 3 months | 42 | 56 | 39 (3) | 63 (1) | 59 (2) | 59 (1) | 30 (6) | 43 (2) | - | - | - | - | 31 | 54 | 15 | 54 | 36 | 40 | 2 | 5/1 | ||
| 5 | ▶ Chanceme Richid 2y 9 | S Linley — 18% R370 W65 P188 Trainer form — last 3 months | 48 | 47 | 63 (1) | 52 (3) | 41 (5) | 63 (1) | 42 (6) | 36 (6) | 37 (5) | 63 (1) | 40 (4) | 53 (1) | 47 | 43 | - | 31 | 36 | 38 | 1 | 9/2 | ||
| 6 | ▶ Fagans Divab 2y 17 | G Strike — 18% R413 W75 P226 Trainer form — last 3 months | 44 | 47 | 36 (6) | 78 (1) | 74 (1) | 72 (1) | 69 (1) | 54 (3) | 64 (1) | 53 (3) | - | - | 22 | 15 | - | 15 | - | 6 | 6 | 8/1 | ||
Chanceme Richi earns the model's top prediction through the strongest trap suitability reading in the race at 47 — a figure reflecting a consistent affinity with the five draw at Sunderland — combined with track suitability of 43 that confirms genuine course familiarity. These suitability figures carry real weight on a tight circuit where knowing how to navigate the bends from a specific draw can compensate for modest raw performance. Average performance of 36 is the concern: this is a low base figure for a predicted race winner, and class suitability of 0 indicates no established record at A7, meaning this runner arrives stepping into unfamiliar territory grade-wise. Form trajectory of P40 most recently, improving from P12 historically, shows gradual progression, though the recent dip from P22 is worth noting. A tentative pick — suitability-driven, with the performance deficit a genuine risk.
Joint-best average performance, best track suitability, strong recent run of P58. Model rates fifth but structural evidence supports a much higher placing. Main danger to the selection and the aiPick alternative.
Highest h3 score and best trap suitability but form contaminated by trial runs. Real-form line is narrower than the figures suggest. Could run well but not a confident selection.
Strong performance data undermined entirely by trap suitability of 6 from the three draw. Prediction of fourth seems reasonable given the structural conflict. Very difficult to recommend at any odds until running from a more favourable trap.
Critical trial warning invalidates this runner's form for analytical purposes. Despite attractive suitability numbers, cannot be assessed or recommended in the context of open racing prediction.
Debut runner in open company. No meaningful form base to analyse. Prediction of sixth is appropriate. Cannot be recommended regardless of market position.
Flat trap distribution across 272,667 runs — T1 leads at 20.1% but the entire field sits within 2.5pp. On Sunderland's tight circuit, individual dog suitability and pace profile override any structural trap edge in A7 company.
T1:20.1% T2:18.8% T3:19.6% T4:18.7% T5:17.6% T6:19.1%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 450m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Laurens Ladygaga | 44 | 61 | Closer |
2Calton Kelly | 55 | 11 | Fader |
3Easy Act | 54 | 56 | Closer |
4Rios Mags | 53 | 34 | All-Rounder |
5Chanceme Richi | 39 | 57 | Closer |
6Fagans Diva | 47 | 44 | All-Rounder |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.