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Geraldine Monerawela Memorial A0 525
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Ballyhoe Nataleeb 2y 18 | Mark Connolly — 45% R11 W5 P8 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | - | 79 (2) | 100 (1) | 88 (2) | 74 (2) | 76 (3) | 41 (6) | 68 (1) | 57 (6) | 94 (1) | 54 (6) | 29 | 34 | 12 | 41 | 76 | 43 | 4 | - | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Droopys Weaverd 1y 12 | Ian Reilly — 16% R63 W10 P29 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | - | 65 (6) | 94 (1) | 76 (3) | 67 (4) | 87 (1) | 68 (4) | 75 (3) | 65 (4) | 69 (1) | 67 (1) | 30 | 5 | 19 | 15 | 75 | 51 | 3 | - | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Ravenswood Dalasb 1y 23 | Gerard Barber — 16% R19 W3 P14 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | - | 80 (2) | 100 (1) | 90 (2) | 95 (1) | 91 (1) | 92 (1) | 89 (1) | 73 (2) | 63 (4) | 58 (2) | 41 | 65 | 31 | 66 | 87 | 49 | 5 | - | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Exclusion Orderd 3y 13 | Graham Kelly — 18% R11 W2 P7 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | - | 67 (5) | 73 (4) | 76 (2) | 51 (2) | 53 (2) | 56 (2) | 77 (3) | 86 (2) | 85 (2) | 84 (2) | - | 63 | 42 | 49 | 69 | 42 | 2 | - | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Toolmaker Dynomod 1y 25 | Robert G. Gleeson — 22% R18 W4 P8 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | - | 95 (1) | 76 (4) | 71 (5) | 70 (3) | 70 (1) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 5 | - | - | 72 | 50 | 1 | - | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Hillview Princed 2y 35 | Mark Connolly — 45% R11 W5 P8 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 43 | - | 69 (3) | 93 (1) | 77 (2) | 64 (4) | 61 (6) | 76 (2) | 77 (2) | 59 (5) | 77 (3) | 62 (4) | 23 | 23 | - | 30 | 73 | 35 | 6 | - | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ballyhoe Natalee | 28.96 | 29.13 | 28.96 | 49 | 0.00 | Career-best win last time | |
| 2 | Droopys Weaver | 28.94 | 29.08 | 28.94 | 50 | 0.00 | Shelbourne form, first Dundalk try | |
| 3 | Ravenswood Dalas | 28.91 | 29.19 | 29.15 | 45 | +0.24 | Dominant C&D form, Model pick | |
| 4 | Exclusion Order | 28.91 | 28.96 | 28.91 | 53 | 0.00 | Shelbourne specialist | |
| 5 | Toolmaker Dynomo | 28.91 | 28.91 | 28.91 | 55 | 0.00 | Fastest, only 4 career starts | |
| 6 | Hillview Prince | 28.92 | 29.26 | 29.23 | 43 | +0.31 | Slowest in field |
No track-wide trap-bias or condition dataset exists for Dundalk in our system, so this A0-grade contest is read through form, course-and-distance record and the clock rather than population trends. One dog towers over this field on current form: Ravenswood Dalas has raced almost exclusively at Dundalk over this exact trip and has won five of her last six starts here, with a rating well clear of anything the rest have shown recently. Ballyhoe Natalee arrives fresh off a career-best win of her own and gives the clearest danger, drawn from trap one with a strong trainer behind her. Toolmaker Dynomo is the fastest on the clock but is a raw four-race rookie stepping up in grade, while the rest look there to make up the numbers against a genuinely stand-out favourite.
Nine of her last ten races have come at Dundalk over exactly this trip, and the record there is outstanding – five wins and eight top-two finishes from those nine runs. Her recent form reads 80, 100, 90, 95, 91, 92 – every single one of her last six ratings sits above anything the rest of this field has produced lately, and that includes a perfect 100-rated win back in June. She isn't the fastest on the clock, sitting fifth of six, but her suitability figures for this track and trip are comfortably the best in the race, and her performance gap over the second-best dog here is enormous – eleven points clear on average. When the gap in proven form is this wide, the pace concerns that might apply to others simply don't matter as much. She looks the one they all have to beat.
Won last time out with a career-best rating of 100, backing up a runner-up effort the time before that – a genuinely improving pattern heading into today. Trainer Mark Connolly carries the strongest overall win rate of anyone in this race at 50%, a real point in her favour, and she's raced at this course and distance regularly without ever quite scaling the heights the selection has managed. Her suitability figures are moderate across the board rather than standout in any single area. The obvious danger if the top pick has an off day, but she's giving away a significant amount on recent proven form.
Second-fastest in the field on the clock and has been a model of consistency at Shelbourne Park, but every recent run has come at that venue rather than here – this looks his first real test at Dundalk over this trip. Form has settled into a run of top-three finishes without threatening to win, and trainer Graham Kelly's 29% win rate is a moderate positive. Decent claims on the clock but the lack of any Dundalk course-and-distance form is a genuine unknown against rivals who know this track well.
Fastest recorded time in the entire field, but only four career starts to his name and every one of them has come at Shelbourne Park or a minor track rather than Dundalk – this is a significant step into the unknown on course knowledge. Form of 76, 71, 70, 70 shows genuine consistency for such a young dog, and trainer Robert Gleeson has a fair 23% record. The raw speed makes him interesting as an each-way type, but the lack of any experience at this course and the step up to A0 company are real questions.
Solid form at Shelbourne Park with a win last time out at the lower A0 grade there, sandwiched between a sixth-place effort in his most recent start and a run of consistent placed finishes before that. Third-fastest on the clock in this field, and trainer Ian Reilly's 18% win rate is modest. Like several others here, his recent form has all come at a different track, so how he handles Dundalk specifically remains to be seen. Competitive without matching the selection's proven course form.
Regular Dundalk campaigner with plenty of course and distance experience, including a strong 93-rated win back in June, but the overall picture is mixed – a sixth-place run sits among his recent starts too. Slowest recorded time in this field on the clock, which is a real concern against this pace. Trainer Mark Connolly's 50% win rate is shared with Ballyhoe Natalee and is the standout positive on his profile, but the raw speed deficit is hard to ignore.
Key insight: Dundalk carries no historical condition dataset in our system, so this analysis is built from the combined course-and-distance runs across this field's own recent history (55 races), plus recent times and suitability scores, rather than population-level trends.
No track-wide trap-bias dataset exists for Dundalk in our system
55 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 525m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 525m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (525m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 400m | 525m | 550m | 575m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ballyhoe Natalee | — | 0.550 | 0.545 | — |
| 2 | Droopys Weaver | — | 0.552 | 0.543 | — |
| 3 | Ravenswood Dalas | 0.537 | 0.552 | — | — |
| 4 | Exclusion Order | 0.538 | 0.550 | 0.542 | — |
| 5 | Toolmaker Dynomo | — | 0.546 | 0.544 | — |
| 6 | Hillview Prince | — | 0.557 | — | 0.553 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.