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Track Supporters Club S3/S4 400 Final
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ More Porterd 1y 32 | - | - | 53 | - | 58 (4) | 63 (4) | 65 (3) | 82 (1) | 56 (4) | 42 (4) | 48 (2) | - | - | - | 1 | 18 | - | 24 | 61 | 34 | 2 | - | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Miss Louisianab 1y 17 | John Downey — 17% R18 W3 P11 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | - | - | 87 (1) | 60 (2) | 71 (3) | 60 (3) | 53 (2) | 52 (2) | - | - | - | - | - | 40 | 30 | 42 | 67 | 45 | 3 | - | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Moss Row Djangod 1yN/R 13 | - | - | 49 | - | 70 (3) | 69 (3) | 61 (2) | 42 (5) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 11 | - | 10 | 62 | 36 | - | - | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Away Bonod 3y 23 | - | - | 56 | - | 84 (3) | 74 (2) | 59 (5) | 57 (5) | 60 (3) | 71 (2) | 73 (2) | 70 (3) | 58 (6) | 56 (5) | 44 | 41 | 40 | 40 | 65 | 46 | 1 | - | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | More Porter | 22.10 | 22.10 | 22.10 | 53 | 0.00 | C&D winner at lower grade | |
| 2 | Miss Louisiana | — | — | — | — | — | No recorded times | |
| 3 | Groveshill Boss | 22.09 | 22.47 | 22.84 | 35 | +0.75 | Slowest recent time | |
| 4 | Moss Row Django | 22.20 | 22.20 | 22.20 | 49 | 0.00 | Only 4 career starts | |
| 5 | Away Bono | 22.05 | 22.05 | 22.05 | 56 | 0.00 | Fastest in field | |
| 6 | Country Hunter | 22.00 | 22.34 | 22.74 | 40 | +0.74 | Best C&D record, Model pick |
Dundalk doesn't carry the trap-bias and condition-data history that most UK tracks in our system do – there's no track-wide record of which box wins here, so this build leans hard on each dog's own course-and-distance form, recent times and finishing pattern rather than a population trend. Two dogs arrive on career-best form after winning last time out: Country Hunter produced an 86-rated performance from trap six with an outstanding record at this track and trip, while Miss Louisiana matched that with an 87-rated win from trap two, unbeaten in the placings across six starts at this exact combination. Away Bono is the fastest on the clock and rarely finishes out of the frame but hasn't found the winner's enclosure at this trip in six recent attempts. It sets up as a genuine three-way go with the rest holding solid without quite matching that level.
Ten of her last ten races have all come at Dundalk over exactly this trip, and the record reads four wins and eight places from those ten runs – by some distance the strongest course-and-distance form in this field. Won last time out with a career-best rating of 86, the third win from her last four starts here, and her recent grades have all been at S3-S7 with no trial contamination anywhere in the mix. Tied for the highest average performance rating in this field alongside Miss Louisiana, and her suitability figures for this track, trip and box are comfortably the best of the six. The clock has her mid-pack rather than fastest, but with this depth of proven course form and a rating trending upward, she looks the one to be on.
Every single one of her last six starts has come at Dundalk over this exact trip, and she's never finished worse than third in any of them – one win and five places, a remarkably consistent record at this course and distance. Won last time out with a career-best rating of 87, the highest figure anyone in this field has produced recently, continuing a gentle improving trend through the spring. No recorded times are available to rank her on the clock, which is the one gap in her profile, and trainer John Downey's overall record is moderate rather than outstanding. On raw current form, though, this is arguably the most talented dog in the race.
Fastest in the field on the clock and by far the most consistent finisher here – five places from her last six starts at this course and distance, with only a solitary sixth breaking that sequence. The frustrating pattern is clear: she keeps arriving in the frame but has never actually won at Dundalk over 400 metres in six attempts. Her suitability figures across track, trip, trap and class are the most balanced of anyone in this race, and the speed is undeniably there. If she can finally convert one of these placed efforts into a win, today looks as good a chance as any, but the record says respect rather than back with confidence.
Won at this course and distance last time out at the lower S4 grade before stepping back up, and his figures at S3 level have been steadier than spectacular – fourth in his only previous run at this exact grade and trip. Second-slowest recorded time in the field and his suitability scores for the track and trip sit in the lower half. Only two runs at this specific course-and-distance combination make it hard to draw firm conclusions either way. Others have stronger recent claims.
Placed second last time out with a strong 73-rated effort, but the form before that is genuinely mixed – a sixth-place run in his previous start at this same S2 grade sits alongside a career-best win of 89 from further back. Six runs at this course and distance have produced one win and three places, a moderate record rather than a standout one. Comfortably the slowest recorded time in this field on the clock, which is a real concern against a race with faster types on paper. Capable of a big one on his day but the pace looks against him here.
Only four career starts, every single one of them at Dundalk over this exact trip, and he's been competitive without winning – third last time out, with a place in three of his four runs. His suitability figures for this track and trip are among the weakest in the field, at odds with his genuinely solid finishing record here. Still finding his level with limited experience, but the consistency at this specific combination is worth noting even without a win to show for it.
Key insight: Dundalk carries no historical condition dataset in our system, so this analysis is built from the 34 combined course-and-distance runs across this field's own recent history, plus recent times and suitability scores, rather than population-level trends.
No track-wide trap-bias dataset exists for Dundalk in our system
34 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 400m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 400m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (400m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 325m | 400m | 525m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | More Porter | 0.554 | 0.550 | 0.565 |
| 2 | Miss Louisiana | — | 0.547 | — |
| 5 | Away Bono | 0.556 | 0.545 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.