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McKeown's Bar & Lounge Open 600
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Brayview Sophieb 2y 22 | - | - | 50 | - | 52 (6) | 73 (3) | 94 (1) | 85 (1) | 66 (3) | 75 (2) | 68 (3) | 67 (2) | 66 (3) | 82 (2) | 39 | 39 | - | - | 72 | 45 | 3 | - | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Ballymac Jetawayb 1y 33 | Alan Byrne — 14% R14 W2 P9 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 41 | - | 84 (3) | 36 (6) | 51 (2) | 62 (4) | 47 (4) | 52 (3) | 88 (1) | 73 (3) | 81 (2) | 66 (3) | - | - | - | - | 62 | 13 | 4 | - | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Deerjet Matildab 2y 25 | Pat Buckley — 24% R46 W11 P27 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | - | 90 (2) | 79 (3) | 64 (5) | 73 (2) | 97 (1) | 44 (5) | 49 (3) | 69 (1) | 56 (3) | 82 (3) | 23 | - | - | - | 70 | 30 | 2 | - | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Timmys Bucksd 3y 21 | - | - | - | - | 100 (1) | 81 (3) | 90 (2) | 52 (4) | 47 (4) | 99 (1) | 94 (1) | 76 (3) | 79 (2) | 40 (5) | 46 | - | 36 | 43 | 79 | 43 | 5 | - | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Jacktavern Bulld 2y 33 | Michael Taggart(NI) — 29% R35 W10 P22 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | - | 58 (5) | 98 (1) | 82 (2) | 65 (4) | 97 (1) | 96 (1) | 48 (5) | 52 (4) | 68 (4) | 96 (1) | - | - | 34 | - | 76 | 18 | 1 | - | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Scroggy Figb 2y 34 | - | - | - | - | 92 (1) | 67 (6) | 49 (3) | 56 (2) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 10 | - | - | 69 | 21 | 6 | - | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brayview Sophie | 33.10 | 33.10 | 33.10 | 50 | 0.00 | Poor last time out | |
| 2 | Ballymac Jetaway | 33.04 | 33.23 | 33.57 | 41 | +0.53 | Inconsistent form | |
| 3 | Deerjet Matilda | 33.04 | 33.11 | 33.04 | 51 | 0.00 | Best recent form at 750m marathon trip | |
| 4 | Timmys Bucks | — | — | — | — | — | Perfect-rated win last time, Model pick | |
| 5 | Jacktavern Bull | 33.06 | 33.12 | 33.06 | 50 | 0.00 | Three big ratings recently, dipped last time | |
| 6 | Scroggy Fig | — | — | — | — | — | Big step up in grade today |
No track-wide trap-bias or condition dataset exists for Dundalk in our system, and none of these six have raced here before – this AA0-grade contest is read on open-class form from Curraheen Park, Shelbourne Park and elsewhere. Timmys Bucks brings the strongest recent power, winning last time out at Curraheen Park's AA0 grade with a perfect 100-rated performance, backed by another near-perfect 99 a couple of months back. Jacktavern Bull isn't far behind, with three ratings of 96 or higher across his last six starts at Shelbourne Park, albeit with a dip last time out. Deerjet Matilda's best recent figures have come over the much longer 750-metre marathon trip, raising a genuine question about whether that form translates back down to 600 metres. It looks a battle between the two Curraheen Park and Shelbourne Park form lines at the top of this field.
Won last time out at Curraheen Park's AA0 grade with a perfect 100-rated performance – the exact same grade he faces here today – and that follows a near-perfect 99 back in early May at the same track. Highest average performance rating in this entire field, and his suitability figures for trap and distance are both solid. No recorded time exists for him at all, and he has no history at Dundalk specifically, which is a genuine gap given how strong the rest of his profile looks. Recent grades have all been at AA0 or A0 level, so there's no concern about him being out of his depth here. On raw current power, he's the one to beat.
Three ratings of 96 or higher across his last six starts, including a win rated 98 at AA0 grade in late June, showing genuine top-level ability. The most recent run was softer – fifth at 58 last time out – but that follows a pattern of one quieter run among a strong overall sequence rather than a real form concern. Trainer Michael Taggart's 35% win rate is the strongest of any connection in this field, a real point in his favour. Solid recorded time to match the underlying quality. A serious threat to the top pick.
A strong 94-rated win back in early June shows she has the ability, but the two runs since have been considerably softer, including a well-beaten sixth last time out at AA0 grade in Shelbourne Park. Her suitability figures for track and trap are both moderate. The recent dip in form is a genuine concern stepping into this level of company, even with the talent clearly there on her best day.
Her best recent figure, a 97-rated win, came over the 750-metre marathon trip at Shelbourne Park in early June – a considerably longer test than today's 600 metres. Third last time out at AA0 grade with a respectable 79-rated effort, showing she can hold her own at this level over a shorter trip too. Trainer Pat Buckley's 22% win rate is a moderate positive. The marathon form is eye-catching but the read-across to 600 metres is the key question.
Form has been genuinely volatile – a third-place 84 last time out sits among a run of results ranging from a strong 88-rated win back in April to a well-beaten sixth in May. Lowest average performance rating of anyone with recorded data in this field. Trainer Alan Byrne's 9% win rate is the softest in the race. The inconsistency and modest overall level make it hard to build a strong case for her against this quality of opposition.
Only four career starts on record, and a big step up in grade today – her best recent effort was a win at the much lower A3 grade at Dundalk in June, a long way below the AA0 level she faces now. No recorded time and no trainer data exists for her. With such a small sample and such a significant class rise, there simply isn't enough evidence to support a strong chance here.
Key insight: Dundalk carries no historical condition dataset in our system, and no runner in this field has raced at this course before. This analysis is built from the 60 combined recent runs across this field's own career history, plus recorded times and suitability scores.
No track-wide trap-bias dataset exists for Dundalk in our system
60 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 600m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 600m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (600m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 400m | 525m | 550m | 570m | 575m | 600m | 750m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brayview Sophie | — | 0.550 | 0.561 | — | 0.552 | 0.552 | — |
| 2 | Ballymac Jetaway | — | 0.550 | — | — | — | — | 0.567 |
| 3 | Deerjet Matilda | — | 0.549 | 0.538 | 0.547 | — | — | 0.556 |
| 4 | Timmys Bucks | — | 0.548 | 0.541 | — | 0.550 | 0.545 | 0.564 |
| 5 | Jacktavern Bull | — | 0.547 | 0.547 | — | 0.545 | — | — |
| 6 | Scroggy Fig | 0.544 | 0.543 | — | — | — | — | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.