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TIME Record Breaker S2 400 Final
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Ballyroe Oboed 1y 24 | - | - | - | - | 78 (2) | 56 (4) | 62 (4) | 61 (4) | 44 (4) | 64 (1) | 48 (3) | - | - | - | 16 | 15 | 18 | 18 | 61 | 36 | 4 | - | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Fancy Fadad 2yN/R 14 | - | - | 55 | - | 94 (1) | 67 (2) | 47 (6) | 66 (4) | 86 (1) | 67 (3) | 45 (6) | 78 (3) | 76 (1) | 56 (4) | - | 42 | 26 | 48 | 70 | 49 | - | - | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Ravenswood Cassb 1y 24 | Gerard Barber — 16% R19 W3 P14 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | - | - | 86 (2) | 62 (5) | 70 (3) | 84 (1) | 55 (5) | 49 (6) | 68 (3) | 64 (1) | 41 (4) | - | - | 27 | 18 | 40 | 68 | 40 | 3 | - | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Consolidationd 1y 27 | Brendan Matthews(NI) — 44% R16 W7 P14 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | - | - | 95 (1) | 67 (3) | 69 (2) | 49 (4) | 45 (2) | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 69 | 37 | 2 | - | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Esmonde Salahd 2y 25 | - | - | 45 | - | 80 (3) | 66 (5) | 77 (2) | 85 (2) | 51 (6) | 79 (2) | 67 (4) | 88 (1) | 69 (2) | 87 (1) | 45 | 32 | 12 | 27 | 74 | 37 | 1 | - | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ballyroe Oboe | — | — | — | — | — | No recorded times | |
| 2 | Da Brake | — | — | — | — | — | No recorded times | |
| 3 | Fancy Fada | 22.13 | 22.13 | 22.13 | 55 | 0.00 | Fastest recorded, Model pick | |
| 4 | Ravenswood Cass | — | — | — | — | — | No recorded times | |
| 5 | Consolidation | — | — | — | — | — | No recorded times, career-best LTO | |
| 6 | Esmonde Salah | 22.32 | 22.32 | 22.32 | 45 | 0.00 | Highest average rating in field |
No track-wide trap-bias or condition dataset exists for Dundalk in our system, so this S2 sprint is read through course-and-distance form, recent times and the clock rather than population trends. Two dogs arrive fresh off big wins last time out – Fancy Fada posted a career-best 94-rated victory and has the fastest recorded time of anyone with data in this field, while Consolidation matched that with an even higher 95-rated win on her only previous visit to this course. Esmonde Salah carries the highest average performance rating in the field on the back of extensive experience at this exact course and distance, without quite matching the explosive recent form of the top two. It shapes as a genuine three-way battle between proven course form, raw recent power, and consistency.
Won last time out with a career-best rating of 94, backing up a second-place effort the run before that at this same course, distance and grade – a strong two-run form line heading into today. Five of her recent starts have come at this exact course and distance, producing two wins and a further place – a 40% win rate that's the best proven record in this field. The only one with a recorded time who clocks quicker than her here, giving her the fastest verified clock figure in the race. No trainer data is recorded for her, the one gap in an otherwise strong profile, but the combination of course form and recent power makes her hard to leave out.
Won last time out with the highest rating anyone in this field has produced recently – a 95 that stands clear of every other runner's best. That win came on her only previous visit to this course, so there's no larger course-and-distance sample to lean on, but a debut performance of this quality can't be dismissed. Her other four starts have all come at Shelbourne Park with a mixed picture – a third, a second, and two runs further back. Trainer Brendan Matthews shares the strongest win rate in this field at 40%, adding real weight to the case. If that debut form is repeatable, she's the one to beat.
Carries the highest average performance rating in the field, built on extensive experience at this exact course and distance – nine of his last ten races have come here. That course-and-distance record shows one win and five places from those nine runs, solid without being dominant. Third last time out with a respectable 80-rated effort. His trap suitability figure is the best in the race, but he's also the slowest recorded time of the three dogs with clocked data, which tempers the case built on the ratings. A dependable type who's rarely far away but hasn't shown the recent spark of the top two.
Placed second last time out with an 86-rated effort, one of her better recent performances after a run of races that has been more up and down – wins and last-place finishes mixed together over her last six starts. No recorded time is available to compare her on the clock, and trainer Gerard Barber's overall record is modest at 18%. She has plenty of course experience at Dundalk across both this trip and 525 metres, but the inconsistency in her recent form makes her hard to trust as anything more than a placed chance.
Third last time out at this course and distance with a 74-rated effort, part of a mostly Limerick-based campaign that included a win back in May. No suitability data or recorded time exists for him at all, making him the hardest runner in this field to assess with confidence. Trainer Brendan Matthews shares the field's best win rate at 40%, which is a point in his favour despite the lack of other data. Limited recent course experience at Dundalk specifically leaves too many open questions.
Placed second last time out at this course and distance, his best recent effort after a stretch of races mostly contested at Waterford over 525 metres – a different track and trip entirely. Lowest average performance rating in this field and no recorded time or trainer data to lean on. The step back down to this trip suits him better on paper than his recent longer-distance form, but there simply isn't enough here to make a strong case against a field with clearer recent form.
Key insight: Dundalk carries no historical condition dataset in our system, so this analysis is built from the combined course-and-distance runs across this field's own recent history (34 races), plus recent times and suitability scores, rather than population-level trends.
No track-wide trap-bias dataset exists for Dundalk in our system
34 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 400m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 400m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (400m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 400m | 525m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ballyroe Oboe | 0.538 | 0.564 |
| 4 | Ravenswood Cass | 0.546 | 0.558 |
| 5 | Consolidation | 0.533 | 0.560 |
| 6 | Esmonde Salah | 0.544 | 0.559 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.