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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Townsend Brunod 2y 17 | S A Clark — 20% R222 W45 P121 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 44 | - | 20 (5) | 37 (1) | 21 (6) | 33 (1) | 29 (2) | 31 (1) | 63 (1) | 41 (5) | 46 (5) | 64 (1) | 41 | 51 | 35 | 43 | 28 | 30 | 3 | 11/2 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Moaning Mccoistd 3y 8 | D B Whitton — 25% R293 W72 P179 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 44 | - | 19 (6) | 27 (5) | 34 (1) | 23 (3) | 23 (4) | 28 (2) | 50 (3) | 60 (2) | 54 (3) | 28 (3) | 29 | 36 | 30 | 31 | 26 | 29 | 5 | 5/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Applegate Jetb 2yN/R 2 | S A Saberton — 24% R360 W88 P231 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 2 | - | - | - | - | 4 | - | - | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Fairhill Autumnb 2y 25 | D F Carter — 13% R345 W45 P160 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 58 | - | 26 (5) | 38 (3) | 34 (1) | 44 (2) | 24 (4) | 32 (1) | 30 (4) | 34 (2) | - | - | 33 | 43 | 37 | 38 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 7/2 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Essjay Tornadod 2y 7 | S A Saberton — 24% R360 W88 P231 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | - | 27 (2) | 28 (3) | 34 (1) | 23 (4) | 26 (2) | 28 (2) | 28 (5) | 34 (1) | 23 (4) | 27 (2) | 48 | 49 | 46 | 41 | 28 | 34 | 4 | 2/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Moaning Countessb 4y 17 | D B Whitton — 25% R293 W72 P179 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | - | 30 (4) | 35 (1) | 33 (1) | 19 (5) | 23 (4) | 21 (5) | 28 (6) | 25 (4) | 47 (5) | - | 45 | 42 | 37 | 32 | 28 | 32 | 2 | 11/8F | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Townsend Bruno | 15.68 | 15.83 | 15.96 | 44 | +0.28 | 3 wins from 6 C&D | |
| 2 | Moaning Mccoist | 15.60 | 15.83 | 16.06 | 44 | +0.46 | Modest form | |
| 3 | Applegate Jet | No competitive racing form on file - cannot be assessed on times. | — | Unraced/no form | ||||
| 4 | Fairhill Autumn | 15.35 | 15.62 | 15.69 | 58 | +0.34 | Model pick | |
| 5 | Essjay Tornado | 15.46 | 15.78 | 15.80 | 51 | +0.34 | Trainer in form | |
| 6 | Moaning Countess | 15.40 | 15.88 | 15.69 | 52 | +0.29 | Best trap draw | |
Another sprint over the minimum trip on Harlow's tight circuit, where trap six has been the standout box in this grade lately, winning nearly 23% of the time, with trap five and trap two both well below par. Fairhill Autumn is drawn in the middle of the track but is clearly the fastest dog in this line-up on the clock and has been running well above this level recently, which should carry plenty of weight. Townsend Bruno has an outstanding record at this exact course and distance and tends to win every other start, so she can never be dismissed. Applegate Jet is a complete unknown with no competitive form on the book, which makes her impossible to assess with any confidence despite a good trainer.
The fastest dog in this field by a distance on the clock and has been running well above D4 level recently, with three wins from ten runs at this exact course and distance. Her grades over the last few starts have bounced between D2 and D3, both well above today's level, so she arrives with a real class edge on these rivals. Last time out was below her best but the overall pattern of recent form is strong. The one with the most to offer on raw ability.
Has an outstanding record at this exact course and distance, with three wins from six runs, and the pattern is almost alternating - a win, then a blank, then a win again. Recent grades have bounced between D3 and D4, so this looks a fair level for her. Not the fastest in the field on the clock, but the strike rate at this specific trip is hard to ignore. A genuine each-way threat who could easily be the one to beat if the selection has an off day.
Modest form throughout with just one win from her last six starts and finished last time out down the field. One win from seven runs at this course and distance is a fair reflection of moderate ability at this level. Trap two hasn't been a productive box in this grade recently either. There's little in her recent figures to suggest she can trouble the front two here.
A complete unknown with no competitive racing form on file, so there is nothing concrete to assess her on. The trainer, Saberton, is in fine form generally with a strong win rate at this trip and grade, which offers a sliver of encouragement that connections think she's ready. But backing a dog with zero recorded form against experienced rivals is a leap of faith rather than an informed pick.
Second-fastest in the field on the clock and campaigned by the in-form Saberton yard, which has the best trainer win rate in this race. Won two starts back and has been a fairly consistent minor-placer since. Two wins from ten course and distance runs is a decent if unspectacular return. Drawn in the weakest trap in this grade, which is the one mark against her.
Draws the best-performing trap in this grade by some margin, winning close to 23% of the time recently, which is the standout point in her favour. Fast away but tends to lose ground late, a pattern that can still work over this minimum trip if she gets across in front. Two wins from nine course and distance runs is a moderate return. The trap alone gives her some each-way claims.
Key insight: The fastest dog in the field wins almost 21% of these races, edging out the highest-rated dog on the model at 20.9% - both point the same direction more often than not at this trip and grade.
T1:18.1% T2:16.7% T3:18.0% T4:17.8% T5:16.1% T6:23.0%
5,723 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 238m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 238m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (238m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 238m | 415m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Townsend Bruno | 0.665 | 0.665 |
| 2 | Moaning Mccoist | 0.665 | 0.663 |
| 4 | Fairhill Autumn | 0.656 | — |
| 5 | Essjay Tornado | 0.661 | — |
| 6 | Moaning Countess | 0.667 | 0.667 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.