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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Mustang Snowb 1y 7 | S A Saberton — 24% R360 W88 P231 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 23 | - | 16 (4) | 16 (6) | 13 (6) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 5 | - | - | 15 | 14 | 4 | 4/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Mucho Macho Baled 5y 16 | J Pearson — 19% R200 W38 P102 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | - | 21 (4) | 31 (1) | 24 (2) | 21 (4) | 15 (6) | 16 (5) | 21 (4) | 29 (1) | 23 (4) | 29 (1) | 28 | 27 | 28 | 33 | 23 | 26 | 5 | 16/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Foxrock Herod 2y 6 | D F Carter — 13% R345 W45 P160 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | - | 23 (3) | 24 (3) | 23 (5) | 23 (2) | 24 (4) | 34 (1) | 32 (1) | 18 (6) | 26 (2) | 35 (6) | 20 | 35 | 26 | 32 | 25 | 27 | 2 | 7/4 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Moaning Tinib 1y 7 | D B Whitton — 25% R293 W72 P179 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | - | 26 (2) | 23 (4) | 27 (2) | 26 (2) | 18 (6) | 28 (2) | 23 (3) | 48 (4) | 64 (1) | 62 (1) | 55 | 49 | 41 | 41 | 25 | 33 | 3 | 11/8F | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Mister Bojanglesd 2y 6 | D B Whitton — 25% R293 W72 P179 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | - | 30 (1) | 25 (6) | 26 (2) | 18 (2) | 30 (5) | 19 (1) | 19 (4) | 20 (5) | 28 (5) | - | 15 | 30 | 39 | 40 | 25 | 26 | 6 | 8/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Bluehouse Bellb 3y 17 | S A Clark — 20% R222 W45 P121 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 57 | - | 31 (1) | 38 (5) | 64 (1) | 52 (2) | 63 (4) | 63 (1) | 64 (1) | 49 (1) | 58 (2) | - | 36 | 35 | 51 | 38 | 31 | 23 | 1 | 3/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mustang Snow | 16.37 | 16.53 | 16.37 | 23 | 0.00 | Only 2 starts, weak | |
| 2 | Mucho Macho Bale | 15.83 | 16.13 | 15.83 | 48 | 0.00 | Won LTO, best C&D | |
| 3 | Foxrock Hero | 15.60 | 15.95 | 16.06 | 51 | +0.46 | Consistent | |
| 4 | Moaning Tini | 15.73 | 15.96 | 15.94 | 51 | +0.21 | No C&D win yet | |
| 5 | Mister Bojangles | 15.85 | 16.03 | 15.85 | 49 | 0.00 | Won LTO | |
| 6 | Bluehouse Bell | 15.77 | 15.77 | 15.77 | 57 | 0.00 | Model pick, class drop |
Minimum trip on Harlow's tight sprint circuit once more, where trap six has been the strongest box in this grade lately at nearly 22% and trap five the weakest at under 15%. Bluehouse Bell gets that favoured trap and arrives having dropped in sharply from A7 grade over the longer trip, winning impressively last time out on her first run back at this level - a big step down in class that should carry plenty of weight, and she's clearly the fastest in this field on the clock too. Mucho Macho Bale also won last time out and has the best course and distance record among the rest of this field. The remainder look moderate types who will do well to trouble the front two.
The fastest dog in this field by some distance on the clock and draws the best-performing trap in this grade too. What really stands out is the class context - her recent form has almost entirely been at the much tougher A7 grade over the longer 415m trip, including two wins there, and she dropped back to this level last time out and won impressively on her first try. That kind of class edge combined with the best trap and the fastest times makes her hard to oppose.
Won last time out and has the best course and distance record in this field outside of the selection, with three wins from ten runs there. Form has been up and down over a longer stretch but the recent trend is positive - a win followed by a close second. Trap two hasn't been the most productive box in this grade, but the course knowledge and recent winning form make her the biggest danger to the selection.
Only two starts on the book so far and both were well beaten efforts. The slowest in the field by some distance on the clock and the suitability figures for this course and grade are close to zero across the board. There simply isn't enough evidence here to suggest she can trouble this field, and the little that exists points the wrong way.
A picture of consistency without doing anything spectacular, finishing third in each of his last two starts. Two wins from nine runs at this exact course and distance is a fair if unremarkable record. Finishes strongly from off the pace, which can help if the field goes off too fast in front. Nothing wrong with the profile, just short of the standout factor needed to win.
Been knocking on the door with plenty of placed efforts lately, finishing second in three of her last six starts, but still hasn't broken through for a win at this exact course and distance from seven attempts. A balanced runner who races handy throughout. The frequent places suggest ability, but until she gets her head in front here she has to be treated with some caution.
Won last time out, which is a positive, but drawn in the weakest trap in this grade recently at under 15%. Two wins from ten course and distance runs is a modest return given the number of chances. Form has been inconsistent through the rest of his recent starts, alternating between the front and back of the field. The draw is working against him here.
Key insight: Speed rank 1 dogs win close to 25% of the time here, the strongest single signal at this trip and grade, well clear of the model's top-rated dog at 20.5%.
T1:16.8% T2:16.2% T3:19.9% T4:18.7% T5:14.6% T6:21.7%
6,704 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 238m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 238m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (238m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 238m | 415m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mustang Snow | 0.698 | — |
| 2 | Mucho Macho Bale | 0.678 | — |
| 3 | Foxrock Hero | 0.670 | 0.667 |
| 4 | Moaning Tini | 0.671 | 0.663 |
| 5 | Mister Bojangles | 0.674 | — |
| 6 | Bluehouse Bell | 0.663 | 0.664 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.