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Watch PGR On Sky Sports Racing Stakes
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 2 | ▶ Honour Bachb 3y 26 | A S Mcpherson — 12% R290 W35 P121 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 51 | 72 (2) | 91 (2) | 94 (1) | 94 (1) | 74 (1) | 70 (3) | 78 (4) | 95 (2) | 79 (1) | - | 48 | 57 | 53 | 60 | 83 | 57 | 1 | 13/8F | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Sambar Dreamb 4y 27 | K Wilton — 25% R203 W51 P116 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | 46 | 80 (3) | 88 (1) | 73 (2) | 85 (1) | 53 (3) | 58 (3) | 77 (2) | 74 (3) | 94 (2) | 100 (1) | 42 | 27 | - | 62 | 76 | 53 | 3 | 7/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Skyfall Khand 1y 25 | E O Driver — 22% R301 W66 P181 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 57 | 46 (3) | 59 (4) | 92 (1) | 60 (1) | 48 (2) | 44 (3) | 92 (2) | 71 (1) | 66 (2) | - | 46 | 48 | - | 41 | 67 | 51 | 2 | 9/4 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Barntick Tigerd 2y 3 | B Denby — 23% R256 W58 P140 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | - | - | 88 (1) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | - | - | - | - | 25 | 4 | 6/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Rathcoole Redsd 2y 27 | E O Driver — 22% R301 W66 P181 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 51 | 67 (3) | 54 (5) | 95 (1) | 70 (2) | 85 (2) | 94 (1) | 91 (1) | 72 (2) | 70 (3) | 66 (3) | 36 | 48 | 51 | 46 | 75 | 51 | 5 | 5/2 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Honour Bach | 29.98 | 30.33 | 30.44 | 51 | +0.46 | Model pick | |
| 3 | Sambar Dream | 30.29 | 30.51 | 30.29 | 45 | 0.00 | LTO winner | |
| 4 | Skyfall Khan | 29.77 | 30.35 | 30.85 | 48 | +1.08 | Fader | |
| 5 | Barntick Tiger | No prior races — debutant against A1 company. | — | Unraced | ||||
| 6 | Rathcoole Reds | 29.91 | 30.37 | 30.61 | 49 | +0.70 | Worst trap | |
This is the top grade of the meeting and the track character still applies — Nottingham's short run to the first bend keeps the inside boxes on top, with trap two the standout at A1 level here (24.1% from over 100 runs) and trap six the one to avoid (8.5%). Only five go to post after a withdrawal. Honour Bach draws the best box in the field and arrives here as much the fastest and most in-form dog on paper, with a strong course and distance record to back it up. Sambar Dream, up in class after an impressive recent win, is the biggest danger from a solid trap. Rathcoole Reds has claims on raw ability but the outside trap six draw works against her at this track, while Skyfall Khan's fast-but-fading profile is a tricky fit from trap four.
Head and shoulders the best on recent form, rated well clear of this field average, and draws trap two which has been the outstanding box at this grade and trip (24.1% from over 100 runs). Four wins from ten runs at this exact course and distance is an excellent record, and the last six performances (72, 91, 94, 94, 74, 70) show a dog performing consistently at a high level with 92% pace consistency. The trainer's win rate is modest, but everything else points the same way. The one they all have to beat.
Steps up into A1 after winning her last race comfortably at A2 grade, and the trap three draw is a good one at this track (22.9% winners from 96 runs). Two wins from six runs at this course and distance is a promising if slightly thin sample, and the second-best average rating in this field suggests she has the pace to compete at the higher level. A step into stronger company is always a question mark, but the recent trajectory has been sharply upward.
Genuine ability on show with three wins from ten runs at this course and distance and very consistent recent form (89% pace consistency), backed by a trainer on a strong 30% strike rate. The problem is the draw — trap six has been comfortably the weakest box at this grade and trip, winning less than one in twelve races, and a dog with no early pace advantage will do well simply to get a look in from out wide.
The fastest recorded time in the field on paper, but the fader profile — quick away, loses ground late — combined with an inconsistent recent sequence (59, 92, 60, 48, 44, 92) makes this a hard dog to trust. Trap four has been a below-par box at this grade (15% winners), which compounds the concern for a dog that leads on raw speed but needs to hold the position. The trainer's win rate of 30% is a small positive.
Unraced with no form on file, stepping straight into the highest grade of the day — an extremely tough opening assignment against dogs with proven course and distance form. The trainer's 24% overall win rate offers little to go on given the total lack of racing history for this individual.
Key insight: Trap two is the standout box at A1 grade (24.1% from over 100 runs), with trap six a near-write-off at 8.5%. Composite rank one wins 21.4%, a fair if unspectacular edge — best combined with the trap two draw when both align on the same dog.
T1:17.0% T2:24.1% T3:22.9% T4:15.0% T5:18.6% T6:8.5%
540 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 500m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
2Honour Bach | 49 | 56 | Closer |
3Sambar Dream | 0 | 100 | Closer |
4Skyfall Khan | 100 | 0 | Fader |
5Barntick Tiger | — | — | No data |
6Rathcoole Reds | 51 | 44 | All-Rounder |
Only runs at exactly 500m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (500m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 480m | 500m | 660m | 661m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Honour Bach | — | 0.607 | — | — |
| 3 | Sambar Dream | — | 0.610 | 0.604 | 0.640 |
| 4 | Skyfall Khan | 0.583 | 0.602 | — | — |
| 5 | Barntick Tiger | — | 0.606 | — | — |
| 6 | Rathcoole Reds | — | 0.607 | — | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.