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Book The Directors Box @ Nottingham Dogs Stakes
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Sharben Umbreonb 2y 6 | S J Spillane — 14% R103 W14 P55 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 53 | 56 (3) | 61 (3) | 62 (3) | 75 (1) | 67 (2) | 70 (2) | 56 (2) | 71 (1) | 41 (3) | 21 (6) | 46 | 30 | 34 | 32 | 62 | 50 | 2 | 9/4 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Honour Flyerb 3y 16 | A S Mcpherson — 12% R290 W35 P121 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 65 | 45 | 42 (6) | 58 (3) | 55 (4) | 54 (5) | 78 (2) | 82 (1) | 72 (2) | 76 (1) | 35 (6) | 56 (2) | 20 | 28 | 43 | 25 | 59 | 51 | 1 | 8/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Wolf Jetd 3y 7 | J Llewellin — 15% R372 W56 P209 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 52 | 56 (4) | 76 (1) | 63 (2) | 45 (6) | 66 (2) | 48 (4) | 59 (6) | 55 (4) | 69 (5) | - | 26 | 19 | 37 | 27 | 60 | 48 | 3 | 11/10F | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Micks Barrettd 2y 37 | J Gray — 21% R203 W42 P128 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 54 | 47 (5) | 47 (5) | 46 (6) | 63 (4) | 56 (4) | 48 (2) | 53 (5) | 51 (5) | 40 (5) | - | 27 | 30 | 32 | 15 | 50 | 22 | 4 | 7/2 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Noelles Pelod 3y 5 | E Saville — 17% R81 W14 P47 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 46 | 57 (4) | 41 (5) | 78 (1) | 35 (6) | 49 (6) | 57 (4) | 63 (3) | 58 (5) | 47 (6) | 19 (2) | 27 | 27 | 17 | 20 | 52 | 43 | 5 | 7/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sharben Umbreon | 30.78 | 30.97 | 30.94 | 52 | +0.16 | Consistent | |
| 2 | Honour Flyer | 29.89 | 30.77 | 31.25 | 65 | +1.36 | Model pick, LTO flop | |
| 3 | Wolf Jet | 30.64 | 31.07 | 30.85 | 53 | +0.21 | Best trap, LTO winner | |
| 5 | Micks Barrett | 30.62 | 31.06 | 31.15 | 49 | +0.53 | Long layoff, 0 CD wins | |
| 6 | Noelles Pelo | 30.64 | 31.12 | 31.09 | 49 | +0.45 | Most consistent, T6 weak |
The last 500m race of the card returns to the standard grade pattern seen throughout the day — trap three leads the way at this A4 level (20.1%) with trap five close behind, and trap six the one to avoid (14.9%). Five go to post. Honour Flyer is clearly the fastest and highest-rated dog here but was well beaten last time out and doesn't have the best draw, which tempers what would otherwise be a clear-cut case. Wolf Jet, fresh from a win in the best trap in the field, is the biggest danger and arguably the safer of the two on the day's evidence. Sharben Umbreon rounds out the leading contenders with solid, consistent form.
By some distance the fastest dog in this field and the top-rated on the model, with a genuine peak of 82 just a few races back showing the level she's capable of. Last time out was well below that, finishing sixth, but one bad run among a run of otherwise workable figures shouldn't be read as a lasting decline. The trap isn't the best on offer today, and the trainer's win rate is modest, but the raw pace advantage is significant enough to still lead the field.
Won last time out and draws trap three, the best-performing box at this A4 grade (20.1% winners) — a clean, positive picture with no obvious blemish. Rates as the clear second-best in the field on the overall model and is a versatile all-rounder who can adapt to how the race develops. One win from ten runs at this course and distance, with a trainer on a reasonable 22% strike rate.
Very consistent (89%) with two wins from nine runs at this course and distance, and placed last time out. Trap one is a fair box at this grade, sitting around the middle of the pack for win percentage. Solid without being spectacular — the sort who can pick up the pieces if the leading fancies don't have things their own way.
Draws the second-best trap at this grade (20%), but hasn't been seen since early May, a significant absence that makes fitness hard to judge. Ten runs at this course and distance without a win is a concerning return despite the good draw. The trainer's 30% win rate is the strongest positive here.
The most consistent runner in the field (91%) and one win from ten runs at this course and distance, but trap six has been the weakest box at this grade (14.9%), a real structural obstacle. Placed fourth last time out. The consistency is a plus, but the draw works against translating it into a win today.
Key insight: Trap three leads at this A4 grade (20.1%), trap five close behind (20%); trap six is the weakest (14.9%). Speed rank one (22.7%) is a stronger signal than the overall rating (20.1%) at this level.
T1:18.4% T2:16.7% T3:20.1% T4:16.8% T5:20.0% T6:14.9%
1,806 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 500m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Sharben Umbreon | 52 | 49 | All-Rounder |
2Honour Flyer | 48 | 69 | Closer |
3Wolf Jet | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
5Micks Barrett | 57 | 35 | Fader |
6Noelles Pelo | 48 | 57 | Closer |
Only runs at exactly 500m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (500m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 305m | 500m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sharben Umbreon | 0.634 | 0.620 |
| 2 | Honour Flyer | — | 0.616 |
| 3 | Wolf Jet | — | 0.622 |
| 5 | Micks Barrett | — | 0.621 |
| 6 | Noelles Pelo | — | 0.621 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.