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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Makeit Forceb 3y 6 | D K Hurlock — 19% R893 W174 P493 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | - | 22 (2) | 28 (1) | 19 (4) | 22 (3) | 23 (2) | 17 (5) | 16 (4) | 14 (5) | 17 (5) | 25 (2) | 32 | 26 | 33 | 31 | 21 | 25 | 6 | 7/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Townsend Peggyb 3y 28 | D K Hurlock — 19% R893 W174 P493 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | - | - | 33 (1) | 36 (2) | 44 (2) | 43 (2) | 37 (4) | 33 (3) | 45 (1) | 30 (5) | 38 (3) | 46 (1) | 30 | 18 | - | - | 40 | 24 | 4 | 5/6F | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Oppod 3y 25 | D F Carter — 13% R345 W45 P160 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | - | 37 (6) | 35 (4) | 33 (5) | 31 (6) | 44 (3) | 23 (3) | 36 (5) | 19 (5) | 20 (3) | 51 (2) | 27 | 20 | - | - | 21 | 13 | 3 | 9/2 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Scroggy Moeb 2y 18 | S A Clark — 20% R222 W45 P121 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | - | 22 (4) | 16 (6) | 11 (6) | 23 (3) | 15 (5) | 19 (4) | 20 (3) | 23 (3) | 22 (4) | 51 (4) | 2 | - | - | - | 19 | 13 | 1 | 11/4 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Simply Perfectd 4y 25 | D F Carter — 13% R345 W45 P160 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | - | 21 (4) | 23 (2) | 23 (3) | 26 (2) | 24 (2) | 29 (1) | 19 (6) | 18 (5) | 36 (5) | 24 (2) | 26 | 21 | 28 | 31 | 23 | 22 | 2 | 4/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Spooky Candyb 3y 5 | D F Carter — 13% R345 W45 P160 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | - | 23 (3) | 17 (5) | 23 (2) | 16 (6) | 21 (4) | 14 (5) | 22 (3) | 21 (4) | 24 (2) | 23 (4) | 18 | 14 | 17 | 15 | 20 | 21 | 5 | 14/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Makeit Force | 16.22 | 16.47 | 16.25 | 46 | +0.03 | Won LTO | |
| 2 | Townsend Peggy | All recent form is at A10/A11 grade over 400m at a different track - no comparable times at this trip. | — | Major class drop, no distance form | ||||
| 3 | Oppo | 16.17 | 16.34 | 16.17 | 51 | 0.00 | Class drop from A7 | |
| 4 | Scroggy Moe | 16.05 | 16.33 | 16.17 | 53 | +0.12 | Weak suitability | |
| 5 | Simply Perfect | 16.05 | 16.19 | 16.29 | 54 | +0.24 | Model pick, best of the regulars | |
| 6 | Spooky Candy | 16.13 | 16.41 | 16.34 | 48 | +0.21 | Weakest overall | |
A weak and open-looking minimum-trip race on Harlow's tight circuit, where trap six has been the strongest box in this grade lately at nearly 22% and trap five the poorest at under 15% - unhelpfully for the pick, who is drawn there tonight. Simply Perfect has the best recent form of the regular D5 types, with a string of second-place finishes suggesting she's close to breaking through. The most interesting runner on paper is Townsend Peggy, who arrives having consistently placed at a much tougher grade over a longer trip, but she's never raced this exact course and distance before, so that class edge comes with a genuine unknown attached.
The fastest of the regular D5 types in this field and has been knocking on the door for a while, placing second in three of her last five starts without quite getting there. Trap five has been the weakest box in this grade recently, which is a genuine concern and the main thing holding back full confidence. Course and distance record is thin at one win from nine, but the pattern of minor places suggests she's competitive enough to go one better if the run of the race falls her way.
By some distance the most interesting form line in this field - her recent races have all come at the much tougher A10 and A11 grades over a longer 400m trip at a different track, where she's been a model of consistency with five placed finishes from her last six starts. Dropping into this weak D5 company should suit her on class alone. The catch is she's never raced this exact course and distance before, so there's no way to confirm her raw pace translates, and the suitability figures reflect that complete unknown. A fascinating wildcard rather than a banker.
Won last time out, snapping a run of moderate placed efforts. Course and distance record is modest at one win from ten runs despite regular opportunities. Nothing in the raw figures stands out, and the trap hasn't been especially productive in this grade recently. A capable type on his day but with plenty to prove that last time out wasn't a one-off.
Also drops in from the tougher A7 grade over the longer 415m trip, though his recent form there was moderate rather than the kind of consistent placing that inspires real confidence - well beaten in three of his last four starts at that level. Course and distance record here is sparse and winless from three runs. The class drop is worth a mention but the underlying form doesn't back a confident selection.
Decent enough on the clock but the results haven't followed, with no wins from nine runs at this exact course and distance and a string of well-beaten efforts in recent starts. Suitability figures for this course and grade read close to zero across the board. Hard to find much encouragement in the recent pattern.
Draws the best-performing trap in this grade, which is the main thing in her favour, but the underlying figures are the weakest in this field with no wins from ten runs at this exact course and distance. Suitability figures across the board are poor. The trap alone offers some each-way interest but little else points her way.
Key insight: Speed rank 1 dogs win close to 25% of the time here, the strongest single signal at this trip and grade, though trap five - where the pick is drawn tonight - has been the weakest box.
T1:16.8% T2:16.2% T3:19.9% T4:18.7% T5:14.6% T6:21.7%
6,704 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 238m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 238m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (238m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 238m | 335m | 400m | 415m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Makeit Force | 0.692 | — | — | — |
| 2 | Townsend Peggy | 0.657 | — | 0.622 | — |
| 3 | Oppo | 0.687 | — | — | 0.679 |
| 4 | Scroggy Moe | 0.686 | 0.562 | — | — |
| 5 | Simply Perfect | 0.680 | — | — | 0.685 |
| 6 | Spooky Candy | 0.689 | — | — | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.