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The Welby Stake A9 525
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Woo Hoo Emoskib 5y 15 | - | - | 34 | - | 25 (6) | 31 (5) | 45 (3) | 34 (5) | 23 (6) | 34 (5) | 45 (5) | 60 (2) | 47 (5) | 46 (4) | 14 | 21 | 7 | 10 | 36 | 32 | 6 | 5/2 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Megans Returnb 1y 4 | - | - | 42 | - | 40 (5) | 43 (4) | 42 (4) | 39 (5) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 5 | - | - | 41 | 33 | 5 | 5/2 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Badgerfort Blueb 3y 4 | - | - | 48 | - | 39 (3) | 32 (6) | 29 (6) | 36 (5) | 38 (4) | 35 (5) | 30 (6) | 30 (6) | 52 (3) | 52 (3) | - | 15 | 11 | 5 | 36 | 35 | 3 | 7/2 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Hollywell Charlyd 1y 33 | - | - | 52 | - | 33 (5) | 31 (5) | 35 (6) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 4 | - | - | - | 33 | 15 | 4 | 3/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Hazelwood Mollyb 1y 31 | - | - | 68 | - | 48 (4) | 47 (3) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 48 | 30 | 1 | 3/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Phantom Cerberusd 1y 8 | P.J. Tynan — 29% R7 W2 P2 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | - | 47 (4) | 39 (4) | 39 (4) | 41 (3) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 10 | - | - | 42 | 39 | 2 | 7/4 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Hazelwood Molly | 30.00 | 30.00 | 30.00 | 68 | 0.00 | No 525m form | |
| 3 | Badgerfort Blue | 30.05 | 30.64 | 30.46 | 48 | +0.41 | ||
| 1 | Woo Hoo Emoski | 30.13 | 30.62 | 31.32 | 34 | +1.19 | ||
| 4 | Hollywell Charly | 30.21 | 30.51 | 30.21 | 52 | 0.00 | ||
| 6 | Phantom Cerberus | 30.22 | 30.49 | 30.22 | 52 | 0.00 | Top-rated | |
| 2 | Megans Return | 30.48 | 30.53 | 30.58 | 42 | +0.10 |
This A9 is the weakest race on the card by some margin — every runner is rated in the 30s or low 40s and none has shown anything close to a standout performance recently. The sample of A9 races here is small, so the trap data should be treated as a lean rather than gospel, but on the numbers available trap 2 has fared best. There's no dominant figure on the clock or the ratings, which makes this a genuinely open, low-confidence heat. Phantom Cerberus holds a thin edge on the ratings and has been racing consistently at this level, while Hazelwood Molly and Hollywell Charly both catch the eye on the clock but arrive with almost no graded form at this trip, having only raced over much shorter sprints previously.
Carries the top rating in a genuinely weak field, finishing fourth last time out with a recent line of 47, 39, 39, 41 that's modest but at least consistent at this level. Three course-and-distance runs haven't yet brought a win or place, which is a mark against him, but nothing else in this race stands out either on the clock or the ratings. Trainer P.J. Tynan has a moderate strike rate. This is more a case of being the least exposed of a weak bunch than a confident selection.
Steps up from a shorter sprint trip and has raced only three times, with modest figures of 33, 31, 35. Second-fastest recorded time in this field despite the lack of experience, which is worth noting, but there's no course-and-distance form and no real proof she stays this far. The trap has been the worst performer in this small sample, adding another obstacle.
Finished sixth last time out and the recent line of 25, 31, 45, 34, 23, 34 is consistently modest without a real standout. Ten runs at this course and distance have brought just one place, underlining that she hasn't found a winning formula here yet. Slowest recorded time of the group. Hard to make a case for her stepping forward tonight.
Finished fifth last time out with a tight recent line of 40, 43, 42, 39 — consistent but consistently modest. No course-and-distance form on file. Sits in trap 2, which has fared best in this grade here, albeit from a tiny sample, giving her a puncher's chance in a wide-open race.
Finished third last time out and the recent form of 39, 32, 29, 36, 38, 35 shows a level of consistency without ever threatening to win. Ten course-and-distance runs have yet to produce a win, though she's rarely far away. A workmanlike type who'll be competitive without being the one to fear.
Fastest recorded time in the field by a distance, but that comes from just two career starts over a much shorter sprint trip, with modest figures of 48 and 47. No course-and-distance form and no evidence yet that the raw pace survives a genuine 525-metre gallop. The clock says she's interesting; the lack of experience says treat it with real caution.
Key insight: Only 28 recorded runs in this grade at Galway, so treat any trap pattern here as a hunch rather than a certainty. Nothing separates this field clearly — it's one of the weaker, harder-to-call races on the card.
T1:20% T2:40% T3:25% T4:0% T5:0% T6:20% (very small sample)
28 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 525m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 525m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (525m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 350m | 525m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Woo Hoo Emoski | — | 0.583 |
| 2 | Megans Return | 0.575 | 0.582 |
| 3 | Badgerfort Blue | — | 0.584 |
| 4 | Hollywell Charly | 0.580 | — |
| 5 | Hazelwood Molly | 0.571 | — |
| 6 | Phantom Cerberus | — | 0.580 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.