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Martin Fahy Memorial A4/A5 525 Round 1 Heat 1
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Bettyville Cocod 2y 35 | - | - | 59 | - | 55 (6) | 51 (6) | 65 (3) | 76 (2) | 87 (1) | 57 (5) | 74 (2) | 84 (1) | 73 (2) | 71 (3) | 47 | - | 36 | 34 | 66 | 34 | 1 | 7/4 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Rendezvous Estelb 2y 4 | Vincent McKenna — 26% R35 W9 P20 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 40 | - | 45 (6) | 63 (3) | 64 (1) | 56 (1) | 38 (4) | - | - | - | - | - | 21 | 20 | - | 31 | 54 | 40 | 6 | 6/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Stopandsearchd 3y 34 | - | - | 48 | - | 81 (1) | 70 (2) | 60 (4) | 54 (4) | 60 (3) | 60 (3) | 62 (2) | 59 (3) | 42 (6) | 65 (3) | 32 | - | 14 | 31 | 64 | 27 | 2 | 7/2 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Kerryroad Fancyb 2y 14 | Albert Mullins — 33% R9 W3 P8 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | - | 69 (6) | 52 (3) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 4 | - | - | - | 61 | 43 | 4 | 5/2 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Kelpieb 4y 25 | Margaret Bolton — 22% R18 W4 P9 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | - | 47 (6) | 67 (3) | 54 (6) | 40 (6) | 57 (4) | 82 (1) | 64 (4) | 61 (4) | 58 (3) | 54 (4) | - | 11 | - | 9 | 57 | 43 | 5 | 4/7 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Hanover Maryannb 1y 25 | - | - | 40 | - | 47 (4) | 64 (3) | 80 (1) | 74 (2) | 64 (2) | 66 (2) | 58 (5) | 42 (6) | 51 (2) | 49 (3) | 30 | 29 | 19 | 32 | 61 | 40 | 3 | 5/2 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bettyville Coco | 29.12 | 29.42 | 29.50 | 59 | +0.38 | Fastest + best trap | |
| 5 | Kelpie | 29.16 | 29.57 | 29.82 | 50 | +0.66 | ||
| 3 | Stopandsearch | 29.29 | 29.87 | 29.48 | 48 | +0.19 | ||
| 4 | Kerryroad Fancy | 29.37 | 29.69 | 29.37 | 52 | 0.00 | Top-rated, best trainer | |
| 6 | Hanover Maryann | 29.39 | 29.63 | 30.26 | 40 | +0.87 | ||
| 2 | Rendezvous Estel | 29.51 | 29.98 | 29.68 | 40 | +0.17 |
Stepping up to A4 grade over the Galway 525 metres, where trap 1 has been the standout box (20.9% of winners from 91 runs), with traps 5 and 6 the weakest around 14.4%. The composite ratings are tightly bunched between 40 and 43 for most of this field, but the fastest recorded time by some distance belongs to Bettyville Coco, who also boasts the biggest peak performance figure anyone here has produced recently — a 87-rated effort within her last six runs, well clear of the rest. She also has the benefit of the best draw on the card. Kerryroad Fancy and Kelpie share the next-best composite figures and both have claims, but the case for Bettyville Coco stacks trap, clock and raw ability all in the same direction.
The fastest recorded runner in this field on the clock and drawn in trap 1, comfortably the best-performing box in this grade at Galway. Finished sixth last time out, but the wider form of 55, 50, 65, 76, 87, 57 shows a peak of 87 within her last six runs that nothing else in this race has matched — a genuine standout figure. No course-and-distance runs on file yet, so there's a little unknown about how she handles this specific track, but the combination of the best draw, the fastest time and the highest ceiling on recent form is a compelling package even without topping the composite score.
Carries the top composite rating in the field and is trained by Albert Mullins, who has a 50% win rate from his recent runners — the strongest trainer signal on the card. Finished sixth last time out but has only two runs of recent form to judge, with a peak of 69, so this is still a fairly unexposed dog. Second-fastest recorded time in the field. The trainer form and the ratings both point to him as a leading contender, but the small sample of recent racing means there's a touch more uncertainty than the raw numbers suggest.
Finished sixth last time out stepping down from a tougher grade, but the wider line of 45, 63, 64, 56, 38 shows real depth with two recent efforts in the 60s. A win and a place from two course-and-distance runs is a promising early sign, and her trainer Vincent McKenna carries a respectable strike rate. Drawn in a moderate trap, which caps her chances slightly.
Won last time out at a lower grade with a big peak figure of 81, and the wider form of 70, 60, 54, 60, 60 shows solid depth beneath that peak. No course-and-distance runs to call on yet. Third-fastest in the field on the clock. A capable sort stepping up in company who could easily be involved if she brings her recent grade-winning form with her.
Finished sixth last time out, with recent form of 67, 54, 40, 57, 82 that includes a big peak of 82 a few runs back, showing real capability on her day. A win and a place from five course-and-distance runs backs up that she handles this venue. Drawn in the weakest trap in this grade, which is a genuine obstacle to overcome.
Finished fourth last time out stepping down a grade, with a strong recent line of 64, 80, 74, 64, 66 that shows consistent quality. Ten course-and-distance runs have brought a win and five places — a very solid overall record at this venue. Drawn in the weakest trap in this grade, which is the main thing working against her.
Key insight: Trap 1 is clearly the best draw in this grade at Galway. The fastest dog in the field historically wins one in three starts (33.7%) — a materially stronger signal than the composite favourite, who wins barely one in five (20.8%).
T1:20.9% T2:15.7% T3:16.9% T4:18.9% T5:14.4% T6:14.4%
539 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 525m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 525m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (525m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 350m | 525m | 575m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bettyville Coco | — | 0.560 | — |
| 2 | Rendezvous Estel | — | 0.571 | — |
| 3 | Stopandsearch | — | 0.569 | — |
| 4 | Kerryroad Fancy | — | 0.566 | — |
| 5 | Kelpie | — | 0.563 | 0.577 |
| 6 | Hanover Maryann | — | 0.564 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.