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Martin Fahy Memorial A4/A5 525 Round 1 Heat 2
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Hanover Johnd 1y 15 | - | - | 75 | - | 79 (1) | 63 (2) | 65 (3) | 54 (2) | 49 (3) | - | - | - | - | - | 34 | 37 | - | - | 64 | 59 | 2 | 1/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Light And Leafyd 2y 14 | Pat Conway — 11% R19 W2 P12 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 37 | - | 49 (6) | 32 (6) | 66 (1) | 26 (5) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 18 | - | - | 44 | 31 | 6 | 3/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Charming Ciarab 2y 18 | Donal Duggan — 21% R34 W7 P22 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | - | 48 (6) | 79 (1) | 69 (3) | 44 (6) | 69 (3) | 66 (3) | 69 (4) | 67 (4) | 58 (6) | 52 (6) | 25 | 23 | 10 | 19 | 62 | 45 | 4 | 7/2 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Drimeen Jettyb 2y 27 | - | - | 42 | - | 53 (4) | 48 (5) | 41 (6) | 67 (6) | 56 (2) | 45 (2) | 45 (2) | 38 (3) | - | - | 22 | 14 | - | 15 | 50 | 35 | 5 | 7/2 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Cloondarone Furyd 2y 5 | Owen McDonagh — 11% R18 W2 P7 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | - | 60 (5) | 51 (5) | 80 (1) | 55 (5) | 57 (3) | 75 (1) | 70 (1) | 48 (5) | 32 (3) | 58 (3) | 19 | 27 | 31 | 28 | 60 | 46 | 3 | 3/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Kazankinab 2y 66 | - | - | 71 | - | 59 (3) | 72 (3) | 75 (2) | 66 (5) | 64 (4) | 69 (5) | 80 (3) | 67 (4) | 79 (2) | 89 (1) | 13 | 10 | 10 | 27 | 70 | 33 | 1 | 7/4 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hanover John | 28.88 | 29.37 | 28.88 | 75 | 0.00 | Top-rated, fastest, best trap | |
| 6 | Kazankina | 28.95 | 29.24 | 29.23 | 71 | +0.28 | Best recent form | |
| 3 | Charming Ciara | 29.32 | 29.67 | 29.97 | 46 | +0.65 | ||
| 4 | Drimeen Jetty | 29.35 | 30.03 | 29.69 | 42 | +0.34 | ||
| 5 | Cloondarone Fury | 29.39 | 29.72 | 29.61 | 49 | +0.22 | ||
| 2 | Light And Leafy | 29.84 | 29.84 | 29.84 | 37 | 0.00 |
A4 grade over the Galway 525 metres, where trap 1 is comfortably the best-performing box (20.9% of winners from 91 runs) against traps 5 and 6 down at 14.4%. This one has a clear standout: Hanover John tops both the ratings and the clock by a wide margin, sits in the best trap on the card, and won last time out with the biggest peak performance figure anyone in this field has produced recently. Everything lines up in one direction here. Kazankina is the closest thing to a danger — her own recent form is arguably the best in the race on paper — but she's drawn in a weaker box and hasn't raced for a couple of months. Expect Hanover John to be involved from the first bend and give this field a lot to do.
Won last time out with a big peak figure of 79 — the highest recent performance rating anyone in this field has produced — and backs that up as both the fastest recorded runner in the race and the top-rated dog on the card. Drawn in trap 1, the best-performing box in this grade at Galway, which lines up perfectly with his raw ability. No course-and-distance runs here yet, so there's a small element of the unknown about this specific track, but the composite score, the clock and the draw all point the same way. About as complete a case as this card produces.
Arguably the best recent form in the race on raw numbers — 59, 72, 75, 66, 64, 69 is a genuinely strong, consistent line for this grade, and she clocks the second-fastest time in the field. The catch is she hasn't raced since April, a real gap that raises questions about sharpness, and she's drawn in the weakest trap in this grade. Three course-and-distance runs have brought one place. On sheer ability she's the biggest threat to the selection if she comes back to form quickly.
Finished sixth last time out with an inconsistent recent line of 49, 32, 66, 26 — the 66 shows a level she can occasionally reach, but the surrounding form is patchy. Only one run at this course and distance without reward, and her trainer Pat Conway has a modest strike rate. Slowest recorded time in this field. Hard to make a strong case for her tonight.
Finished sixth last time out but the wider form of 79, 69, 44, 69, 66 shows real quality with two efforts in the high 60s and a peak of 79. A win and a place from ten course-and-distance runs is a solid if unspectacular local record. Third-fastest in the field. A capable type who could easily be involved if she rediscovers her recent peak form.
Finished fourth last time out with a moderate recent line of 48, 41, 67, 56, 45 — the 67 a few runs back shows some ability but the overall level is a notch below the leaders here. Nine course-and-distance runs have brought three places but no win, suggesting she's a frequent finisher without quite getting over the line. A workmanlike type rather than a threat to the top pick.
Finished fifth last time out but the recent form of 51, 80, 55, 57, 75 shows genuine quality, with two efforts above 75 in the last six runs. Two wins and two places from seven course-and-distance runs is a strong local record, arguably the best in the field alongside the selection. Drawn in the weakest trap in this grade, which is the main thing holding her back from a stronger case.
Key insight: Trap 1 is the clear structural edge in this grade at Galway, and the fastest dog in the field wins a third of the time historically (33.7%). Tonight both the best trap and the fastest dog are the same runner — a genuine stacking of signals.
T1:20.9% T2:15.7% T3:16.9% T4:18.9% T5:14.4% T6:14.4%
539 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 525m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 525m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (525m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 325m | 350m | 525m | 550m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hanover John | — | 0.558 | — | — |
| 2 | Light And Leafy | — | 0.578 | 0.568 | — |
| 3 | Charming Ciara | — | — | 0.565 | — |
| 4 | Drimeen Jetty | — | — | 0.572 | — |
| 5 | Cloondarone Fury | 0.614 | 0.562 | 0.566 | — |
| 6 | Kazankina | — | — | 0.556 | 0.561 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.