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Martin Fahy Memorial A4/A5 525 Round 1 Heat 4
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Hollywell Flintd 2y 5 | - | - | 55 | - | 55 (4) | 61 (4) | 64 (3) | 41 (6) | 68 (3) | 62 (6) | 67 (3) | 66 (2) | 84 (1) | 58 (4) | 14 | 24 | 32 | 15 | 61 | 49 | 2 | 5/2 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Heathlawn Devild 2y 24 | - | - | 52 | - | 64 (4) | 51 (6) | 78 (2) | 64 (3) | 67 (2) | 44 (5) | 52 (3) | 43 (4) | 54 (3) | 54 (2) | - | 14 | 12 | 14 | 59 | 43 | 5 | 5/2 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Pierview Big Robd 2y 5 | - | - | 49 | - | 65 (2) | 65 (1) | 47 (3) | 33 (6) | 51 (4) | 62 (1) | 51 (2) | - | - | - | 28 | 34 | - | 39 | 55 | 49 | 4 | 3/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Brickhill Comod 4y 34 | Owen McDonagh — 11% R18 W2 P7 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | - | 46 (6) | 62 (5) | 59 (5) | 78 (2) | 64 (5) | 79 (2) | 59 (4) | 65 (3) | 56 (5) | 48 (5) | 30 | 26 | 31 | 16 | 61 | 42 | 3 | 5/2 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Ballyea Marshalld 1y 5 | Albert Mullins — 33% R9 W3 P8 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 61 | - | 72 (2) | 70 (1) | 65 (1) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 35 | - | 40 | 69 | 57 | 1 | 5/4 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Raha Da Capod 2y 15 | Vincent McKenna — 26% R35 W9 P20 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 23 | - | 73 (2) | 46 (6) | 42 (4) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 6 | - | 55 | 28 | 6 | 5/2 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hollywell Flint | 29.18 | 29.54 | 29.71 | 55 | +0.53 | ||
| 2 | Heathlawn Devil | 29.18 | 29.66 | 29.74 | 52 | +0.56 | ||
| 4 | Brickhill Como | 29.27 | 29.70 | 29.90 | 47 | +0.63 | ||
| 5 | Ballyea Marshall | 29.30 | 29.43 | 29.30 | 61 | 0.00 | Top-rated, fastest, best trainer | |
| 3 | Pierview Big Rob | 29.34 | 29.96 | 29.34 | 49 | 0.00 | Strong C&D form | |
| 6 | Raha Da Capo | 30.12 | 30.12 | 30.12 | 23 | 0.00 |
The last of the A4s over Galway's 525 metres, where trap 1 has the best overall record in this grade (20.9% from 91 runs) and traps 5 and 6 the weakest (14.4%). Despite the modest historical return from trap 5, Ballyea Marshall's case is simply too strong to leave out — she tops the composite score by a wide margin, clocks the fastest recorded time in the field, and is trained by Albert Mullins, whose recent runners strike at 50%. Her last three form figures are all in the mid-60s to low-70s, comfortably the strongest and most consistent line in the race. Pierview Big Rob, drawn much more favourably, is the clear each-way alternative with a strong course-and-distance CV of his own.
Placed second last time out and her last three runs read 72, 70, 65 — comfortably the strongest and most consistent recent form of anyone in this race. Also the fastest recorded time in the field and tops the composite score by a wide margin. Trainer Albert Mullins runs at a 50% win rate from his recent starters, the best trainer signal on the card. A win and two places from two course-and-distance runs backs it all up. Drawn in a below-average trap for this grade, but the sheer weight of evidence elsewhere makes that a secondary concern.
Placed second last time out and the recent form of 65, 47, 33, 51, 62 has a peak of 65 in his last outing, suggesting he's building nicely. Two wins and four places from seven course-and-distance runs is one of the strongest local records in the field — he clearly knows how to get around this track. Drawn in a reasonably productive trap. A genuine threat to the selection if the pace suits.
Finished fourth last time out with a solid recent line of 61, 64, 41, 68, 62 — the 68 a few runs back shows a decent level, and a win and two places from nine course-and-distance runs is a reasonable local record. Drawn in the best trap in this grade, which gives him some structural help. A workmanlike contender rather than a standout, but the draw keeps him in play.
Finished fourth last time out with an up-and-down recent line of 51, 78, 64, 67, 44 — the 78 shows real capability but the surrounding form is patchy. Seven course-and-distance runs have brought two places but no win. Drawn in a moderate trap. Capable of a big run but not the most reliable each-way option.
Finished sixth last time out but the wider form of 62, 59, 78, 64, 79 shows genuine quality with two efforts near 80 in the last six runs. Ten course-and-distance runs have brought two places but no win, so the local record is steady rather than spectacular. Trainer Owen McDonagh has a modest strike rate. Capable of a big run but needs to find the finishing touch.
Placed second last time out over a slightly longer trip, with recent form of 46, 42 following that effort — a small sample that's hard to read much into. No course-and-distance runs on file and the slowest recorded time in this field. Trainer Vincent McKenna has a moderate strike rate. Very little here to suggest she troubles the pace-setters tonight.
Key insight: Trap 1 is the structural favourite in this grade, but the strength of the top-rated dog's all-round case tonight — composite lead, fastest time and the best trainer form on the card — is strong enough to overcome a below-average draw.
T1:20.9% T2:15.7% T3:16.9% T4:18.9% T5:14.4% T6:14.4%
539 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 525m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 525m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (525m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 350m | 525m | 550m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hollywell Flint | — | 0.563 | 0.573 |
| 2 | Heathlawn Devil | 0.561 | 0.565 | — |
| 3 | Pierview Big Rob | — | 0.571 | — |
| 4 | Brickhill Como | — | 0.566 | — |
| 5 | Ballyea Marshall | 0.560 | 0.560 | — |
| 6 | Raha Da Capo | — | 0.574 | 0.559 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.