| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Longacres Tommyd 2y 25 | P A Curtin — 17% R295 W50 P167 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | - | 41 (3) | 32 (5) | 32 (5) | 32 (1) | 31 (3) | 27 (4) | 36 (6) | 35 (6) | 37 (4) | 57 (1) | 64 | 39 | - | 37 | 36 | 48 | 2 | 5/2 | |
| 2 | ▶ Alien Bratb 3y 6 | C D Marston — 15% R452 W67 P207 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | - | 25 (3) | 25 (2) | 26 (4) | 68 (4) | 32 (1) | 29 (2) | 28 (2) | 31 (1) | 27 (2) | 63 (3) | 47 | 37 | 23 | 47 | 31 | 42 | 5 | 12/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Aero Walshd 3y 2 | R Taberner — 20% R722 W142 P418 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | - | 27 (6) | 37 (2) | 30 (5) | 40 (1) | 28 (5) | 29 (5) | 20 (6) | 29 (4) | 24 (5) | 35 (4) | 50 | 28 | 38 | 30 | 30 | 45 | 3 | 11/10F | |
| 4 | ▶ Sugar Candiceb 3y 36 | K Billingham-hine — 19% R609 W113 P343 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | - | 60 (3) | 28 (3) | 37 (6) | 56 (4) | 26 (5) | 33 (1) | 28 (2) | 26 (3) | 26 (5) | 58 (4) | 39 | 50 | 25 | 26 | 59 | 52 | 1 | 5/1 | |
| 5 | ▶ Elderberry Sydd 4y 16 | P I Cowdrill — 14% R318 W45 P163 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | - | 32 (1) | 26 (3) | 24 (4) | 26 (4) | 23 (4) | 27 (2) | 26 (3) | 26 (4) | 26 (3) | 30 (4) | 24 | 38 | 32 | 28 | 28 | 39 | 6 | 9/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Longacres Creedb 3y 25 | P A Curtin — 17% R295 W50 P167 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | - | 39 (5) | 33 (5) | 46 (2) | 47 (4) | 57 (1) | 51 (1) | 38 (4) | 28 (2) | 29 (3) | 25 (6) | 39 | 38 | 34 | 39 | 28 | 44 | 4 | 5/1 | |
Sugar Candice is an extraordinary class outlier in this field. Her average performance figure of 59 is 23 points above the next-best dog — a gap that would be rare at any grade, let alone D3. She's been racing at A4 and A5 over 480 metres, a world away from this D3 264-metre sprint, and the closing style is a genuine concern at this short trip. Her two recent sprint attempts have produced modest efforts which is worrying. However, the class gap is so enormous that even if she gives the field a head start, she should have the raw speed to come through before the line. Think of a Group 1 horse dropped into a maiden — the style mismatch matters less when the ability difference is this large. Track suitability of 50 is the best in the field.
Explosive early pace in the dominant draw with outstanding trap suitability — the main threat if the trip is short enough.
Capable on her day with decent suitability but too inconsistent to trust — midfield looks her level.
Dominant draw with good trap suitability but declining form — a dark horse if he bounces back.
Dead draw with moderate form — structurally disadvantaged and lacks the ability to overcome it.
Solid recent form in a neutral draw but outgunned by the class at the top — place chance.
Low separation at 4.1pp but Sugar Candice is 23 points above the field average on performance — an extreme class outlier that should transcend structural factors. T4 at 15.3% is below average but the class gap overrides draw concerns.
T1:22.5%(173) T2:15.1%(199) T3:20.2%(242) T4:15.3%(209) T5:14.5%(262) T6:18.4%(316)
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 264m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.