The quality runner in this field with consistent A5 figures in the mid-60s — two consecutive seconds with 65 and 65, a win at A5 with 71, and rarely dropping below 53. His average performance of 62 is the highest in the race by a comfortable margin, and that class edge is genuine. He's a closer who relies on a strong finishing kick, and at Sunderland where only 24% of winners lead all the way, that style gets its reward more often than at tighter tracks. From the rail, he saves ground through the difficult first bend even though he'll likely be near the rear early. His speed rating of 61 is the best in the race, meaning he runs the fastest raw times. The closing style is the only concern — he needs pace ahead — but the class gap should be enough.