The form pick here having posted the best recent figure in the race — a 57 when second in a handicap last time, showing clear improvement over his previous A8 efforts. He's an All-Rounder with very consistent pacing, which suits the 450-metre trip well. His speed rating of 56 is comfortably the best in the field, and he has the raw clock speed to win this if he can navigate the first bend cleanly from trap 3. The trainer D Blackbird operates at a healthy 24% win rate and has two other runners here, suggesting confidence in the yard's form. His win at A8 two runs back (figure of 52) showed he's capable at this level, and the step up to 57 last time hints at further improvement to come.