Won in tremendous style at A2 last time with a figure of 87 — the highest recent performance in the race by a clear margin. Before that, won comfortably at A4 with 82, showing he's in rampant form right now. He's a Fader with explosive early pace and outstanding bend ability, which means he should lead through Sunderland's difficult first turn. The Fader tag at 450 metres on a track where only 24% go all the way is the concern — he tends to blaze early and fade late. But when a dog is putting up figures of 82 and 87, the class advantage can overcome the pace profile. His pace consistency of 71 is the lowest among the pacemakers, adding to the risk. Trap 2 is the weakest structural position at 16.7%, but his form is so superior to everything else that the structural headwind may not matter.