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Towcester Thursday 19th March 2026 Afternoon PGR Meeting
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Class | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Rating | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Unknown Jiveb 4y 25 | D D Porter — 17% R509 W89 P283 Trainer form — last 3 months | 49 | 47 | 56 (1) | 39 (2) | 42 (2) | 31 (5) | 44 (3) | 43 (2) | 42 (2) | 44 (5) | 56 (1) | 47 (3) | 42 | 23 | 24 | 23 | 52 | 44 | 2 | 7/1 | ||
| 2 | ▶ Salacres Damaineb 3y 34 | P H Harnden — 18% R394 W71 P224 Trainer form — last 3 months | 45 | 47 | 45 (3) | 26 (2) | 29 (6) | 24 (3) | 26 (4) | 52 (3) | 32 (2) | 39 (6) | 36 (5) | 56 (2) | 39 | 27 | - | 28 | 52 | 45 | 3 | 6/1 | ||
| 3 | ▶ Ballyclearyflashd 3y 14 | D D Porter — 17% R509 W89 P283 Trainer form — last 3 months | 41 | 56 | 25 (5) | 39 (5) | 50 (2) | 35 (5) | 37 (5) | 43 (4) | 33 (5) | 40 (5) | 55 (3) | 48 (2) | 26 | 34 | 27 | 34 | 52 | 45 | 4 | 5/2JF | ||
| 4 | ▶ Happy Ever Afterb 5y 15 | P J Dolby — 16% R51 W8 P22 Trainer form — last 3 months | 65 | 37 | 32 (6) | 42 (4) | 59 (1) | 42 (3) | 39 (5) | 53 (2) | 36 (6) | 35 (6) | 42 (5) | 67 (1) | 42 | 34 | 30 | 33 | 55 | 48 | 1 | 5/2JF | ||
| 5 | ▶ Melbury Galaxyb 2y 17 | A Welch — 15% R296 W44 P151 Trainer form — last 3 months | 47 | 50 | 38 (4) | 33 (5) | 33 (3) | 28 (6) | 37 (4) | 47 (3) | 45 (3) | 46 (3) | 47 (2) | 37 (5) | 25 | 17 | 14 | 11 | 50 | 39 | 6 | 3/1 | ||
| 6 | ▶ Flickering Kingd 3y 16 | P V Swadden — 21% R104 W22 P54 Trainer form — last 3 months | 51 | 69 | 48 (2) | 45 (3) | 30 (6) | 55 (1) | 35 (4) | 38 (4) | 42 (4) | 33 (5) | 50 (3) | 47 (3) | 31 | 20 | 28 | 20 | 48 | 39 | 5 | 9/2 | ||
The standout runner in this field by a clear margin. Two CD wins from T4 — won A6 from T4 and A7 from T4, proving she can win at and above this grade from this exact draw. Speed 65 is 16 points clear of the next best (T1's 49) — an enormous gap in a six-dog race that constitutes a clear class override. CS 100 is perfect closing speed meaning she finishes every race getting faster. Trainer P J Dolby at 30% is strong tier — a reliable signal that the dog is well placed. EP 32 means slow away (she will be last or second-last early) but CS 100 means she closes with devastating late pace. PC 60 is moderate consistency — she varies her closing pattern somewhat. SuitTrap 42 matches T1 for trap suitability. The class drop from an A6 win to A7 gives additional confidence.
DANGER: Fits the Towcester T1 rule perfectly — Closer from rail with CD form. But the class override is triggered by Happy Ever After's 16-point speed advantage and two CD wins. Will close to 2nd-3rd but the speed gap to the pick is too large.
The 6th from T1 at 500m A7 is disqualifying. If she couldn't perform from T1 — the dominant draw — she's unlikely to perform from T2. Likely 5th-6th.
Reliable pace-setter who places consistently (2nd, 4th, 2nd from T3) but never wins. The two elite closers (T1 and T4) will catch her in the closing stages. Likely 3rd.
Consistent from T4 but untested from T5. The trap switch and modest speed make her unlikely to contend. Likely 4th-5th.
Structural disadvantage from T6 at Towcester 500m. Likely rear of field.
Classic class override scenario. T1 Unknown Jive fits the Towcester T1 rule (Closer, CD form, rail draw) but T4 Happy Ever After has 16-point speed advantage, two CD wins from T4, CS 100, and a 30% strong-tier trainer. The speed gap is too large for the T1 draw advantage to overcome.
General Towcester 500m: T1 wins ~40% but class override applies when speed gap exceeds 6+ points. T4 has two CD wins here.
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 500m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Unknown Jive | 43 | 97 | Closer |
2Salacres Damaine | 48 | 59 | Closer |
3Ballyclearyflash | 58 | 28 | Fader |
4Happy Ever After | 32 | 100 | Closer |
5Melbury Galaxy | 52 | 41 | All-Rounder |
6Flickering King | 67 | 0 | Fader |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.