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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Class | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Rating | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Guinness Ladd 2y 26 | A Welch — 15% R296 W44 P151 Trainer form — last 3 months | 43 | 39 | 35 (5) | 36 (3) | 34 (5) | 55 (1) | 35 (3) | 40 (4) | 46 (2) | 36 (3) | 26 (6) | 38 (3) | 11 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 46 | 34 | 6 | 3/1 | ||
| 2 | ▶ Snaffi Mojob 5y 34 | P V Swadden — 21% R104 W22 P54 Trainer form — last 3 months | 36 | 57 | 38 (2) | 31 (5) | 33 (6) | 37 (4) | 38 (4) | 29 (5) | 49 (2) | 29 (5) | 46 (3) | 32 (5) | 46 | 51 | 26 | 51 | 49 | 49 | 3 | 16/1 | ||
| 3 | ▶ Itwaswhatitwasb 4y 37 | P V Swadden — 21% R104 W22 P54 Trainer form — last 3 months | 52 | 22 | 21 (6) | 34 (6) | 30 (5) | 37 (5) | 54 (1) | 37 (5) | 38 (5) | 48 (2) | 58 (1) | 45 (2) | 36 | 31 | 36 | 26 | 49 | 43 | 4 | 7/1 | ||
| 4 | ▶ Greencroft Ritab 2y 15 | S J Rayner — 18% R176 W32 P99 Trainer form — last 3 months | 48 | 50 | 30 (6) | 28 (4) | 32 (6) | 47 (2) | 40 (4) | 36 (4) | 38 (4) | 43 (2) | 49 (2) | 42 (4) | 36 | 33 | - | 19 | 46 | 40 | 5 | 5/2JF | ||
| 5 | ▶ Magical Cassieb 3y 8 | D Jeans — 12% R234 W29 P103 Trainer form — last 3 months | 65 | 53 | 44 (3) | 28 (6) | 24 (6) | 37 (4) | 56 (1) | 43 (4) | 32 (5) | 24 (6) | 36 (5) | 31 (6) | 16 | 26 | 25 | 21 | 45 | 37 | 1 | 5/2JF | ||
| 6 | ▶ Carlow Townd 4y 36 | A Welch — 15% R296 W44 P151 Trainer form — last 3 months | 53 | 75 | 62 (1) | 53 (2) | 56 (1) | 25 (3) | 24 (3) | 28 (1) | 23 (3) | 26 (6) | 18 (6) | 24 (5) | 18 | 22 | 30 | 20 | 50 | 40 | 2 | 11/4 | ||
Speed 65 is 12 points above the next best — a massive gap that constitutes a clear class override despite the T5 draw at Towcester 500m. Drops from A7 where form was 5th from T4 and 6th from T3. The A7 form was poor but the speed rating (65) suggests she was competing against dogs that outperformed her tactically rather than on raw ability — the speed is genuinely elite for A8. Closer (CS 63) from T5 means she closes from behind through the outside draw. EP 47 is mid-field so she won't be dead last. The T5 penalty is real at Towcester 500m but 12 speed points is worth roughly 5-10 perf points of draw advantage. Trainer at 12% is low.
DANGER: Won from T6 last time which overrides the general T6 penalty. But Fader CS 0 over 500m means the lead may not hold. If the closers (T3 CS 100, T5 CS 63) don't arrive fast enough, he wins again. Genuine threat.
T1 rule neutralised by awful suitTrap. Rail draw helps generally but no proven T1 form. Mid-pack.
Speed deficit is simply too large. 29 points below the pick at 500m. Likely 4th-5th despite venue form.
CS 100 from T3 with class drop has theoretical appeal but the form and speed don't support a strong case. Each-way contender at best. 3rd-4th.
Bottom-half form with near-Fader profile. 5th-6th.
T1 rule neutralised by suitTrap 5. T5 speed 65 is 12 above field = class override. T6 is a proven CD winner from T6 despite the general penalty.
General Towcester 500m: T1 king but T1 today has suitTrap 5. T6 won A8 from T6 last time. T5 has 12-point speed advantage = class override.
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 500m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Guinness Lad | 46 | 42 | All-Rounder |
2Snaffi Mojo | 54 | 58 | Closer |
3Itwaswhatitwas | 32 | 100 | Closer |
4Greencroft Rita | 53 | 22 | All-Rounder |
5Magical Cassie | 47 | 63 | Closer |
6Carlow Town | 64 | 0 | Fader |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.