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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Salacres Tipsterd 3y 6 | P H Harnden — 18% R396 W71 P224 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 56 | 57 (4) | 88 (1) | 74 (2) | 67 (4) | 71 (2) | 84 (1) | 76 (2) | 60 (4) | 82 (1) | 69 (2) | 71 | 45 | 47 | 47 | 64 | 61 | 1 | 5/4F | |
| 2 | ▶ Fabulous Trickb 3y 27 | L G Tuffin — 25% R275 W69 P144 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 61 | 41 (1) | 74 (4) | 64 (4) | 85 (1) | 72 (2) | 72 (3) | 67 (3) | 82 (1) | 72 (2) | 62 (3) | 47 | 48 | 31 | 29 | 66 | 57 | 2 | 3/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Loggies Kestreld 3y 47 | S J Rayner — 18% R179 W33 P103 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 31 | 22 | 36 (6) | 68 (3) | 62 (5) | 44 (5) | 85 (1) | 70 (3) | 82 (1) | 76 (1) | 52 (6) | 65 (2) | 61 | 72 | 17 | 50 | 62 | 62 | 3 | 9/2 | |
| 4 | ▶ Salacres Slickd 3y 4 | P H Harnden — 18% R396 W71 P224 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | 50 | 53 (5) | 60 (5) | 41 (6) | 84 (6) | 63 (1) | 86 (3) | 60 (1) | 61 (4) | 66 (4) | - | 50 | 52 | 33 | 48 | 63 | 58 | 5 | 3/1 | |
| 5 | ▶ Bossy Bulletb 3y 16 | M P Brown — 21% R425 W89 P244 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 41 | 46 (4) | 53 (2) | 55 (4) | 64 (2) | 69 (3) | 65 (3) | 32 (4) | 64 (2) | 44 (3) | 56 (4) | 60 | 44 | - | 56 | 64 | 60 | 4 | 8/1 | |
The textbook Towcester 500m T1 pick with an extraordinary suitTrap 71 — deeply proven from this exact draw. Won A3 from T2 (showing she can win at this venue) and placed 2nd at A2 from T1 (showing she handles both the grade and the trap). All-Rounder profile (EP 50, CS 50, PC 85) is perfectly balanced from the rail — she sits mid-pack early, saves ground through every bend, and maintains through the finish. SuitTrack 45, suitDist 47, suitClass 47 — all strong and consistent. Trainer at 28% is moderate but meaningful. The A3 win proves the ability; the A2 2nd from T1 proves the specific trap works at the higher grade.
DANGER: The most proven A2 runner with a grade win and A1 experience. CS 100 from T2 is formidable. But the T1-to-T2 draw change removes the Towcester structural advantage that fuelled her previous wins. If T2 plays close enough to T1, she wins. The analytical call says it doesn't — but she cannot be dismissed.
Can be confidently opposed despite the suitability scores and class experience. Speed 31 is a structural limitation — no amount of closing speed compensates for being 20+ points slower than the field. Likely last.
Proven A2 winner from T4 but inconsistent (3rd, 1st, 4th). T4 doesn't get T1's structural advantage. Likely 3rd-4th behind the T1 pick and T2 danger.
Can be confidently opposed. EP 100 / CS 0 from T5 at 500m is the most severe structural mismatch possible. Will lead impressively then finish last. Sets up the race for the closers behind.
Three CD winners: T1 (A2 2nd from T1, suitTrap 71), T2 (A2 1st from T1 but now T2), T4 (A2 1st from T4). The T1 structural advantage at Towcester should decide between them.
General Towcester 500m: T1 king (~40%). Three A2 CD winners from different traps today. T1 has the structural advantage.
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 500m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Salacres Tipster | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
2Fabulous Trick | 0 | 100 | Closer |
3Loggies Kestrel | 21 | 100 | Closer |
4Salacres Slick | 50 | 38 | All-Rounder |
5Bossy Bullet | 100 | 0 | Fader |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.