Loading...
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Mysterious Mylab 3y 25 | S J Rayner — 18% R182 W33 P104 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | 69 | 25 (6) | 51 (5) | 44 (3) | 24 (5) | 33 (2) | 29 (3) | 31 (3) | 31 (2) | 37 (1) | 31 (2) | 36 | 34 | - | 12 | 59 | 48 | 4 | 15/8JF | |
| 2 | ▶ Sovereign Poppyb 3y 8 | J A Knape — 23% R39 W9 P16 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 70 | 52 (3) | 68 (1) | 49 (5) | 43 (5) | 68 (1) | 59 (2) | 63 (2) | 61 (1) | 40 (5) | 36 (5) | 38 | 29 | 22 | 31 | 52 | 45 | 2 | 6/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Makeit Rufusd 2y 7 | F J Gray — 20% R353 W71 P188 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | 30 | 24 (6) | 58 (2) | 39 (6) | 68 (6) | 50 (5) | 46 (1) | 45 (3) | 60 (3) | - | - | 73 | 69 | - | 48 | 59 | 61 | 1 | 15/8JF | |
| 4 | ▶ Magical Pippab 3y 15 | D Jeans — 13% R246 W31 P111 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 68 | 46 (2) | 47 (2) | 30 (6) | 30 (6) | 35 (6) | 25 (6) | 34 (5) | 61 (1) | 44 (3) | 41 (4) | 22 | 23 | 39 | 23 | 50 | 40 | 6 | 9/4 | |
| 5 | ▶ Homebound Blankod 4y 26 | P V Swadden — 21% R104 W22 P55 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 37 | 46 (4) | 14 (3) | 44 (3) | 44 (4) | 32 (6) | 58 (2) | 41 (4) | 60 (1) | 37 (5) | 42 (5) | 32 | 30 | 34 | 30 | 51 | 44 | 5 | 22/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Blue Sensationd 4y 16 | P J Dolby — 13% R52 W7 P20 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 57 | 34 | 40 (5) | 45 (3) | 49 (6) | 67 (4) | 53 (4) | 60 (2) | 65 (1) | 41 (5) | 40 (4) | 35 (6) | 44 | 39 | 69 | 40 | 53 | 49 | 3 | 10/1 | |
Extraordinary venue-specific form — suitTrap 73 is the highest of any runner we've seen all day across any track. SuitTrack 69 is also outstanding. Won A7 from T3 and placed 3rd at A6 from T4 — proven at both grades. CS 93 is elite closing speed from T3 — while Towcester's T1 rule means T3 isn't the dominant draw, it's still a viable inside position, especially when T1 is a Fader. EP 30 means he'll be last early — needs the strong pace that two CS 0 Faders (T1 and T4) will guarantee. Speed 45 is modest (4th in field) but the CS 93 means he accelerates through the closing stages. Trainer F J Gray at 28% is moderate — a decent signal. PC 80 shows reliable closing pattern. The step up from A7 (where he won) to A6 is the main concern.
DANGER: The 35% trainer and A7 win are strong signals. But the T2 draw (not T1), the CS 14 Fader profile, and the A7-to-A6 step up all introduce doubt. If the trainer has specifically placed her here to win, the signal is powerful. But the structural data doesn't fully support it.
The T1 rule can't apply when T1 is a CS 0 Fader. Will lead impressively then weaken. Sets up the race for closers. Likely 4th-5th.
Sets pace alongside T1 then fades. Consistent 4th-5th pattern is well-established. Not competitive for the win.
The T4-to-T5 switch is a downgrade. Placed 2nd from T4 but T5 costs ground through the first bend. Likely 3rd-5th.
Best speed from the worst draw. The speed should earn a place but the T6 penalty at Towcester 500m limits the ceiling. Likely 3rd-4th.
When T1 is a Fader, the Towcester 500m advantage transfers to the next-best inside closer. T3 Makeit Rufus with suitTrap 73 has the strongest venue-specific form of any runner by far. Two CS 0 Faders (T1, T4) guarantee a strong early pace for the closers.
General Towcester 500m: T1 king (~40%) but T1 is a CS 0 Fader today — the rule can't apply. Next best: proven inside-draw dogs with closing profiles. T3 suitTrap 73 is an extraordinary signal.
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 500m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Mysterious Myla | 78 | 0 | Fader |
2Sovereign Poppy | 57 | 14 | Fader |
3Makeit Rufus | 30 | 93 | Closer |
4Magical Pippa | 65 | 0 | Fader |
5Homebound Blanko | 43 | 86 | Closer |
6Blue Sensation | 38 | 95 | Closer |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.