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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Redbrick Icemand 2y 7 | J W Gaskin — 31% R276 W85 P205 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | 42 | 43 (3) | 39 (5) | 60 (1) | 39 (5) | 34 (5) | 60 (1) | 33 (5) | 39 (4) | 35 (5) | 41 (4) | 42 | 39 | - | 28 | 43 | 43 | 4 | 9/4CF | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Goulane Aceb 4y 35 | S A Birks — 17% R186 W31 P100 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 55 | 65 (2) | 53 (4) | 80 (1) | 66 (3) | 63 (2) | 39 (5) | 47 (2) | 60 (1) | 61 (4) | 67 (2) | 35 | 32 | - | 34 | 61 | 40 | 1 | 11/2 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Ballinabola Molyb 2y 8 | S Watson — 28% R432 W122 P294 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 52 | 38 (5) | 43 (4) | 58 (1) | 45 (4) | 40 (5) | 37 (5) | 35 (4) | 56 (2) | 60 (1) | 40 (4) | 33 | 36 | - | 24 | 44 | 45 | 5 | 9/4CF | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Jimelled 3y 7 | D Calvert — 18% R594 W109 P341 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 44 | 60 (1) | 37 (6) | 44 (3) | 59 (1) | 44 (3) | 32 (5) | 44 (4) | 38 (5) | 58 (1) | 50 (2) | 29 | 33 | - | 38 | 47 | 48 | 3 | 10/3 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Splitting Hairsb 3y 7 | S J L Lapidge — 18% R311 W55 P179 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 51 | 50 (2) | 47 (3) | 39 (4) | 43 (4) | 59 (1) | 51 (2) | 42 (4) | 35 (5) | 52 (2) | 37 (4) | 41 | 40 | - | 35 | 46 | 47 | 2 | 9/4CF | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Redbrick Iceman | 28.04 | 28.50 | 28.42 | 46 | +0.38 | Trainer 26% strike rate | |
| 2 | Goulane Ace | 28.13 | 28.30 | 28.33 | 50 | +0.20 | Big class drop | |
| 3 | Ballinabola Moly | 28.02 | 28.39 | 28.46 | 49 | +0.44 | Flat recent form | |
| 4 | Jimelle | 28.06 | 28.39 | 28.06 | 54 | 0.00 | Won last time out | |
| 6 | Splitting Hairs | 28.19 | 28.38 | 28.24 | 49 | +0.05 | Placed last time |
Doncaster's 450 metre trip is a fair galloping test with a large dataset behind it, and at this B-grade level the trap bias is relatively flat - trap one and trap six have shared the best of it at around 22 per cent apiece, with trap four and five the weaker draws in the high teens. The standout angle here is class: Goulane Ace has been racing two grades higher at A2 and A3 over the longer 483 metre trip and drops right down into this modest B2 heat, giving her a big edge on raw ability. Jimelle won at B3 last time and carries the best proven course and distance strike rate in the race. The rest of this field looks fairly tightly matched on ability, all around the 43-47 mark, and will be scrapping for the places.
Drops down sharply in grade here - she's been competing at A2 and A3 over the longer 483 metre trip recently and now steps into a modest B2 heat, a significant class edge over this field. Her average performance figure sits well clear of everyone else in the race, and she was second last time out at A2 with a solid 65-rated run. Carries the best first-bend rating in the field too, so she should get a good position early. Trainer S A Birks is on 20 per cent. The obvious standout on raw ability.
Won last time out at B3 with a 60-rated performance and carries the best proven course and distance record in this field - three wins and four places from ten visits to this track and trip, a strike rate around 30 per cent. Shares the joint-fastest recent speed figure with the pick and finishes races off strongly as a closer. Trainer D Calvert is a respectable 22 per cent. The one most likely to trouble Goulane Ace if the class edge doesn't tell.
Sits in the best-performing trap for this grade, which has produced the most winners at around 22 per cent. Form has been fairly flat through the summer, alternating between low-40s and high-30s ratings with the occasional win mixed in from weaker company. Trainer J W Gaskin is in good form at 26 per cent, the best strike rate of any handler in this race. Needs to find more than his recent figures suggest to trouble the classier types above him.
Finished fifth last time out and form has been modest through her recent starts, rarely troubling the front two in this grade. Holds the fastest raw best time in the field on the clock but hasn't been reproducing it lately - her last run was well off that mark. Course and distance record is ordinary at two wins from ten visits here. Trainer S Watson sits on 20 per cent. Others in this race have stronger recent claims.
Placed second last time out and has been a fairly consistent minor-placer through her recent runs, without quite getting her head in front. Draws the second-best trap for this grade at close to 22 per cent. Course and distance record shows just one win but four places from ten runs, suggesting she's competitive without always finishing the job. Trainer S J L Lapidge is on 22 per cent.
Key insight: The trap bias is fairly flat at Doncaster B2 over 450m - traps 1 and 6 lead the way around 22%, but no draw is a killer here. The top-rated dog on raw ability has historically won just over one in four.
T1:22.1% T2:19.0% T3:19.8% T4:18.4% T5:18.5% T6:21.7%
2,049 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 450m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Redbrick Iceman | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
2Goulane Ace | 0 | 100 | Closer |
3Ballinabola Moly | 63 | 0 | Fader |
4Jimelle | 48 | 63 | Closer |
6Splitting Hairs | 60 | 0 | Fader |
Only runs at exactly 450m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (450m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 450m | 483m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Redbrick Iceman | 0.633 | — |
| 2 | Goulane Ace | 0.629 | 0.626 |
| 3 | Ballinabola Moly | 0.631 | — |
| 4 | Jimelle | 0.631 | — |
| 6 | Splitting Hairs | 0.631 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.