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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 2 | ▶ Flosses Mcqueenb 2y 26 | D Calvert — 18% R594 W109 P341 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 43 | 45 | 30 (1) | 42 (5) | 46 (4) | 73 (1) | 24 (4) | 25 (3) | 22 (4) | 25 (2) | 23 (4) | 23 (3) | 12 | 19 | - | 20 | 52 | 36 | 5 | 20/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Grouchos Sallyb 1y 15 | R J Overton — 18% R352 W63 P220 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 42 | 64 (3) | 67 (2) | 54 (5) | 46 (4) | 60 (1) | 51 (2) | 48 (3) | 59 (2) | 50 (3) | - | 16 | 26 | - | 14 | 57 | 43 | 3 | 5/6F | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Sandwood Annieb 2y 28 | J W Gaskin — 31% R276 W85 P205 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 58 | 35 (2) | 36 (2) | 24 (5) | 37 (1) | 29 (3) | 36 (1) | 47 (5) | 67 (2) | 53 (4) | 62 (2) | 51 | 47 | 43 | 21 | 57 | 43 | 4 | 7/4 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Flosses Fendib 2y 5 | D Calvert — 18% R594 W109 P341 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 54 | 69 (2) | 52 (4) | 58 (3) | 66 (2) | 57 (3) | 72 (1) | 26 (2) | 27 (3) | 29 (2) | 27 (2) | 26 | 32 | 20 | 29 | 62 | 50 | 1 | 11/2 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Glideaway Falcond 3y 4 | S A Birks — 17% R186 W31 P100 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 52 | 44 (5) | 60 (3) | 30 (4) | 54 (4) | 77 (1) | 59 (2) | 42 (4) | 41 (1) | 29 (1) | - | 27 | 27 | 20 | 18 | 57 | 46 | 2 | 5/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Flosses Mcqueen | 30.31 | 30.60 | 30.80 | 43 | +0.49 | Won at easier D4 | |
| 3 | Grouchos Sally | 30.36 | 30.41 | 30.36 | 53 | 0.00 | Best trap for grade | |
| 4 | Sandwood Annie | 30.37 | 30.54 | 30.52 | 47 | +0.15 | Steps up from D2 | |
| 5 | Flosses Fendi | 30.32 | 30.44 | 30.32 | 53 | 0.00 | Best form, worst trap | |
| 6 | Glideaway Falcon | 30.27 | 30.39 | 30.61 | 51 | +0.34 | Peaked a few runs back |
A3 grade over 483 metres at Doncaster has produced a very different trap pattern to the bigger picture at this track - trap three has been utterly dominant at this grade, winning a full third of races, while trap five has been almost unwinnable at just five per cent. That matters a great deal tonight because Flosses Fendi, who looks the classiest dog on raw form with the most consistently strong recent figures in the field, is drawn in that toughest box. Grouchos Sally lands the prime trap three draw and matches the top form horse on speed rating, making her the value pick on the numbers that carry the most weight here. Glideaway Falcon, in the second-best trap, hit a big peak a few runs back and can't be ruled out either.
Draws the standout trap for this specific grade, which has won a full third of races - by far the strongest structural edge in the field. Matches the fastest speed rating of anyone in the race and finished third last time out. A fader by pace profile, so needs to get a clean run through that dominant box. Trainer R J Overton is the weakest strike rate in the race at 16 per cent, the one mark against her. The trap and the speed figure together make her the value angle over the classier-looking dog in the poor draw.
Has been the most consistently strong performer in this field over her last six runs, never dropping below a 52-rated performance and hitting a 72 as recently as five starts back. Placed second last time out and matches the pick on speed rating. The problem is the draw - trap five has been almost unwinnable at this specific grade, winning just five per cent of the time. Trainer D Calvert is on 22 per cent. On raw ability this is the best dog in the race, but the trap is a serious structural obstacle.
Won last time out but that was at the easier D4 grade over the shorter sprint trip, so this is a big step up on two fronts tonight. Owns the slowest speed rating in this field. Course and distance form is limited to three runs with one win and one place. Trainer D Calvert is on 22 per cent. The step up in class and distance both work against her.
Steps up from D2 grade over the shorter sprint trip after finishing second last time out, so faces a jump in both class and distance. Carries the best first-bend rating in this field. Trainer J W Gaskin has the strongest strike rate of any handler in the race at 26 per cent, a genuine positive. Course and distance form is limited with no wins from four runs. The trainer form is the main reason to include her.
Finished fifth last time out, but that follows a big 77-rated performance three runs back showing genuine capability at this level. Draws the second-best trap for this grade at over 26 per cent. Holds the fastest raw best time and best average time in the field on the clock. Trainer S A Birks is on 20 per cent. The peak form and strong trap make her a solid alternative if the front two disappoint.
Key insight: Trap 3 has dominated this grade at 33.3%, and trap 5 has been a near-dead draw at just 5.1%. The top-rated dog on paper has actually underperformed at this specific grade, with the third-rated dog winning more often historically - a sign that the raw numbers alone don't tell the full story here.
T2:22.2% T3:33.3% T4:19.4% T5:5.1% T6:26.6%
359 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 483m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
2Flosses Mcqueen | 46 | 50 | All-Rounder |
3Grouchos Sally | 100 | 0 | Fader |
4Sandwood Annie | 52 | 37 | All-Rounder |
5Flosses Fendi | 48 | 54 | All-Rounder |
6Glideaway Falcon | 50 | 51 | All-Rounder |
Only runs at exactly 483m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (483m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 275m | 450m | 483m | 525m | 570m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Flosses Mcqueen | 0.646 | — | 0.634 | — | — |
| 3 | Grouchos Sally | — | 0.628 | 0.630 | 0.571 | 0.569 |
| 4 | Sandwood Annie | 0.632 | — | 0.632 | — | — |
| 5 | Flosses Fendi | 0.637 | — | 0.630 | — | — |
| 6 | Glideaway Falcon | 0.628 | — | 0.629 | — | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.