| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 2 | ▶ Hut Fitterd 2y 16 | D Calvert — 18% R594 W109 P341 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | - | 36 (1) | 30 (3) | 23 (5) | 30 (2) | 33 (2) | 29 (3) | 36 (5) | 31 (5) | 40 (4) | 40 (4) | 27 | 24 | 31 | 34 | 32 | 29 | 2 | 5/4 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Thirty Beard 3y 9 | C A Williams — 14% R354 W49 P174 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | - | 36 (1) | 32 (1) | 31 (5) | 39 (3) | 36 (5) | 45 (3) | 49 (3) | 48 (3) | 39 (4) | 38 (4) | 16 | 21 | 30 | 50 | 38 | 29 | 3 | 6/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Flosses Rolexd 2y 8 | D Calvert — 18% R594 W109 P341 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 41 | - | 32 (2) | 25 (3) | 24 (4) | 31 (1) | 31 (1) | 15 (5) | 31 (1) | 25 (2) | 24 (3) | 23 (4) | 30 | 40 | 19 | 42 | 27 | 31 | 5 | 7/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Racecourse Joed 2y 15 | S J L Lapidge — 18% R311 W55 P179 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 94 | - | 48 (6) | 73 (3) | 29 (1) | 19 (5) | 22 (3) | 23 (4) | 24 (4) | 23 (3) | 31 (1) | 15 (5) | 32 | - | 3 | - | 24 | 24 | 1 | 8/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Slaneyside Timed 1y 6 | S Watson — 28% R432 W122 P294 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | - | 30 (5) | 27 (4) | 37 (1) | 23 (5) | 27 (4) | 31 (1) | - | - | - | - | 4 | 33 | 21 | 25 | 29 | 28 | 4 | 1/1F | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Hut Fitter | 17.28 | 17.41 | 17.36 | 53 | +0.08 | Won last time out | |
| 3 | Thirty Bear | 17.30 | 17.32 | 17.30 | 55 | 0.00 | Top speed, won last time | |
| 4 | Flosses Rolex | 17.39 | 17.74 | 17.39 | 44 | 0.00 | Placed last time out | |
| 5 | Racecourse Joe | 17.41 | 17.76 | 18.10 | 33 | +0.69 | Dropping from OR grade | |
| 6 | Slaneyside Time | 17.27 | 17.51 | 17.48 | 49 | +0.21 | Steps down from D2 |
The first sprint of the card over Doncaster's minimum 275 metres, where early pace and raw speed do most of the deciding rather than suitability or stamina. Trap one has been the best draw at this D3 grade at just over 25 per cent, but the fastest dog in the field has been an even stronger angle, winning close to 30 per cent historically - the clearest signal on offer at this trip. Thirty Bear ticks that box, holding the best speed rating in the race after winning last time out. Hut Fitter, who also won last time, is drawn in the second-best trap and isn't far behind on the clock. Racecourse Joe steps down after tackling OR-grade opposition last time and could be interesting on class alone despite the modest headline figures.
Won last time out and carries the fastest speed rating in this field, the single strongest signal at this sprint trip where the quickest dog on the clock has historically won nearly three in ten races. Holds the highest average performance figure of anyone here too. Course and distance record is perfect from a small sample - two runs, two wins - though that's still an early picture rather than an established record. Trainer C A Williams is on 18 per cent. The clock and the recent form both point the same way.
Won last time out and draws the second-best trap for this grade, which has produced winners at close to 23 per cent. Carries the second-fastest speed rating in the field, not far behind the top pick on the clock. An all-rounder by pace profile who has shown he handles longer trips too. Course and distance record is modest at one win and three places from six runs. Trainer D Calvert is on 22 per cent. The clearest threat to the top selection.
Placed second last time out and has a fair course and distance record of three wins and five places from ten runs at this track and trip. Speed rating is middling for this field. Trainer D Calvert also has the danger in this race, so the yard is well represented tonight. A fair each-way type without the standout figure to head the market.
Last time out he tackled OR grade, by far the toughest company on the card, and finished sixth - a modest result but one earned against much stronger opposition than tonight's. Owns the slowest speed rating in the field and is drawn in the weakest trap for this grade, which has won under 18 per cent of races. Form has been volatile with a peak of 73 a couple of runs back showing there's ability in there. Trainer S J L Lapidge is on 22 per cent.
Steps down from the tougher D2 grade after finishing fifth last time out. Holds the fastest raw best time in the field on the clock, though her recent times have been a touch slower than that best. Course and distance record shows two wins and two places from six runs, a reasonable third of the time she's been competitive. Trainer S Watson is on 20 per cent.
Key insight: Speed is the dominant factor at this sprint distance - the fastest dog in the field has won 29.5% historically at Doncaster D3 over 275m, well ahead of the composite rank 1 return of 24.7%.
T1:25.3% T2:22.8% T3:20.6% T4:21.3% T5:18.1% T6:19.2%
1,807 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 275m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 275m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (275m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 275m | 280m | 450m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Hut Fitter | 0.633 | — | 0.637 |
| 3 | Thirty Bear | 0.630 | — | 0.636 |
| 4 | Flosses Rolex | 0.645 | — | — |
| 5 | Racecourse Joe | 0.646 | 0.604 | — |
| 6 | Slaneyside Time | 0.637 | — | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.