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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Abigails Marinab 3y 9 | C A Williams — 14% R354 W49 P174 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 56 | 41 (5) | 49 (3) | 32 (5) | 61 (1) | 35 (4) | 45 (4) | 60 (1) | 47 (2) | 48 (3) | 42 (3) | 46 | 34 | - | 26 | 45 | 48 | 4 | 10/3 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Ferryforth Axeld 3y 6 | D Calvert — 18% R594 W109 P341 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 57 | 43 (4) | 60 (1) | 44 (4) | 41 (5) | 60 (1) | 59 (1) | 36 (4) | 47 (3) | 30 (5) | 59 (1) | 39 | 36 | - | 36 | 48 | 46 | 5 | 7/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Two Tone Boyd 2y 24 | S J L Lapidge — 18% R311 W55 P179 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 42 | 60 (5) | 45 (5) | 68 (2) | 55 (4) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 4 | - | - | - | 57 | 30 | 2 | 10/3 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Ruffian Kimberd 1y 7 | R J Overton — 18% R352 W63 P220 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 46 | 60 (1) | 50 (2) | 60 (1) | 48 (3) | 49 (2) | 42 (4) | 44 (4) | 51 (2) | 47 (3) | 59 (1) | 37 | 35 | - | 45 | 52 | 49 | 3 | 9/2 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Redbrick Adeleb 2y 8 | J W Gaskin — 31% R276 W85 P205 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 56 | 49 | 40 (3) | 46 (4) | 61 (1) | 38 (5) | 78 (2) | 83 (1) | 83 (1) | 72 (2) | 63 (3) | 48 (3) | 37 | 41 | - | 28 | 57 | 50 | 1 | 10/11F | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Abigails Marina | 27.95 | 28.27 | 28.32 | 52 | +0.37 | Weakest recent form | |
| 2 | Ferryforth Axel | 28.12 | 28.38 | 28.32 | 47 | +0.20 | 40% C&D win rate | |
| 3 | Two Tone Boy | 28.29 | 28.29 | 28.29 | 47 | 0.00 | Class drop, small sample | |
| 4 | Ruffian Kimber | 28.11 | 28.25 | 28.12 | 53 | +0.01 | Won last time out | |
| 5 | Redbrick Adele | 27.91 | 28.13 | 28.27 | 56 | +0.36 | Fastest in field, top trainer |
A wide-open Doncaster B2 heat over 450 metres where the trap bias stays fairly flat across the board - no draw here is a killer, though traps one and six have historically done best at this grade. Redbrick Adele shares the highest average performance figure in the field, carries the fastest recent speed rating of anyone here, and has the best trainer strike rate in the race. Ruffian Kimber won last time out and has been remarkably consistent at this course and distance, placing in nine of her last ten visits here. Two Tone Boy is the interesting wildcard, dropping in sharply from OR grade off a tiny sample of starts. This looks a genuine three-way go with the placings up for grabs behind them.
Shares the highest average performance figure in this field and carries the fastest speed rating of anyone in the race. Her last three runs look modest on the surface, but she hit peaks of 78 and 83 in the two runs before that, showing the engine is there when it clicks. Trainer J W Gaskin leads all handlers in this race at 26 per cent. A closer by pace profile who should get first-run luck on a fair trip like this. The strongest combination of speed and proven trainer in the field.
Won last time out with a 60-rated performance and has been remarkably consistent at this course and distance - three wins and six places from ten visits, meaning she's been competitive in nine out of ten runs here. Carries the second-fastest speed rating in the field and races as an all-rounder capable of adapting to however the race unfolds. Trainer R J Overton is the weakest in the race at 16 per cent, the one knock against her. The most reliable form in this field by some distance.
Finished fifth last time out and owns the lowest average performance figure in this field. Does get the best trap draw for this grade, which has produced the most winners at around 22 per cent. Course and distance record is modest at two wins from ten visits. Trainer C A Williams has the weakest strike rate of any handler in the race at 18 per cent. The draw is doing most of the work for her chance here.
Finished fourth last time out but has a genuinely strong course and distance record - four wins and four places from ten runs at this track and trip, a 40 per cent win rate that stands out. A fader by pace profile, quick out but prone to losing ground late, which can be a concern at this trip. Trainer D Calvert sits on 22 per cent. The course and distance form makes him worth including in the shortlist.
Last time out he ran at OR grade, by far the toughest company on offer, and still posted a 60-rated performance in defeat - a genuine class drop into this B2 heat tonight. Only four runs recorded in his form, so this is still an emerging picture rather than an established level, and he has just one course and distance run to his name. A closer by pace profile who does his best work late. Trainer S J L Lapidge is on 22 per cent. Interesting on the class angle but the small sample size urges some caution.
Key insight: The trap bias is fairly flat at Doncaster B2 over 450m, with traps 1 and 6 the pick of the draws around 22% and nothing structurally poor elsewhere.
T1:22.1% T2:19.0% T3:19.8% T4:18.4% T5:18.5% T6:21.7%
2,049 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 450m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Abigails Marina | 62 | 0 | Fader |
2Ferryforth Axel | 62 | 0 | Fader |
3Two Tone Boy | 0 | 100 | Closer |
4Ruffian Kimber | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
5Redbrick Adele | 0 | 100 | Closer |
Only runs at exactly 450m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (450m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 450m | 483m | 500m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Abigails Marina | 0.628 | — | — |
| 2 | Ferryforth Axel | 0.631 | — | — |
| 3 | Two Tone Boy | 0.629 | — | 0.600 |
| 4 | Ruffian Kimber | 0.628 | — | — |
| 5 | Redbrick Adele | 0.625 | 0.622 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.