| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Swift Arsond 2y 27 | A K Jenkins — 15% R187 W28 P98 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 56 | 70 (2) | 77 (1) | 40 (2) | 54 (5) | 36 (3) | 66 (3) | 72 (2) | 35 (2) | 72 (1) | 33 (3) | 41 | 41 | 26 | 37 | 69 | 49 | 3 | 7/2 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Caldera Flowd 2y 25 | D J Page — 18% R99 W18 P54 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 40 | 42 | 48 (6) | 62 (4) | 64 (3) | 72 (2) | 72 (2) | 78 (1) | 64 (3) | 62 (2) | 60 (2) | 43 (5) | 23 | 43 | 36 | 29 | 62 | 41 | 5 | 10/3 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Sugar Kingd 1y 12 | C S Fereday — 19% R463 W86 P229 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 46 | 70 (1) | 63 (1) | 53 (1) | 45 (2) | 37 (4) | 43 (2) | - | - | - | - | 2 | 50 | - | 65 | 55 | 48 | 6 | 8/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Common Canterd 3y 4 | J B Thompson — 20% R519 W104 P289 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 46 | 58 (3) | 69 (2) | 42 (5) | 66 (3) | 51 (5) | 55 (5) | 70 (2) | 65 (4) | 35 (3) | - | 31 | 20 | - | 14 | 59 | 48 | 4 | 11/4F | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Aero Whisperb 1y 2 | R Taberner — 20% R741 W150 P419 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 51 | 60 (3) | 74 (1) | 58 (3) | 59 (3) | 40 (5) | 58 (3) | 30 (4) | 59 (4) | 71 (1) | 69 (1) | 24 | 29 | 8 | 32 | 61 | 49 | 2 | 3/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Ragdoll Rosieb 2y 24 | R Taberner — 20% R741 W150 P419 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 58 | 55 | 75 (1) | 66 (5) | 80 (4) | 100 (1) | 71 (5) | 93 (1) | 64 (2) | 82 (4) | 91 (1) | 85 (1) | 52 | 38 | 34 | 41 | 79 | 58 | 1 | 4/1 | - | |
The banker of the card. Ragdoll Rosie arrives at A4 grade with an average performance of 79 — the highest on today's twelve-race card — and four recent runs reading 75, 66, 80, and 100. That 100-rated performance in the oldest visible run represents a perfect-score effort, the highest individual performance rating on the entire card today. Even discounting that exceptional run, the 80 and 75 in more recent form are well above A4 standard — these are numbers that would be competitive at A1 or Open grade. The composite of 58 stands 9 points clear of the entire field. Trap 6 at A4 Monmore 480m produces approximately 18% of winners, which is neutral, but the quality edge is so overwhelming that the structural position is essentially irrelevant here. The only scenario in which this dog loses is a mechanical problem: interference at the first bend, a wide-running trap draw causing traffic, or a physical issue on the day. On pure form and composite metrics, Ragdoll Rosie is operating at a level that should account for this A4 field comfortably.
Most consistent non-pick runner with tight 58-74 form band. Best of the rest claim on consistency, undermined only by the worst structural draw.
Best structural draw with 70-77 recent form showing genuine A4 class. Would be the pick in a normal A4 field. Simply outclassed by Ragdoll Rosie today.
Decent A4 form but declining trajectory. No path to beat the selection. Place candidate.
Improving form with 70 last time out — the best improving trajectory in the race excluding Ragdoll Rosie. Cannot match the selection's class but worth noting for minor honours.
Has shown 69 at A4 grade recently but too inconsistent to rely upon. Place candidate on a good day.
At A4 Monmore 480m the composite R1 wins approximately 25-26% — more predictable than middle grades. A genuinely overqualified horse in this race: Ragdoll Rosie's avgP of 79 and recent 80-100 rated runs are exceptional even by A1-A2 standards.
T1:22.1% T2:19.3% T3:17.8% T4:18.5% T5:15.1% T6:18.09%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Swift Arson | 58 | 35 | Fader |
2Caldera Flow | 47 | 59 | Closer |
3Sugar King | 48 | 45 | All-Rounder |
4Common Canter | 52 | 52 | All-Rounder |
5Aero Whisper | 52 | 48 | All-Rounder |
6Ragdoll Rosie | 0 | 100 | Closer |
Only runs at exactly 480m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (480m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 264m | 450m | 480m | 630m | 650m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swift Arson | 0.595 | — | 0.605 | — | — |
| 2 | Caldera Flow | — | — | 0.605 | — | — |
| 3 | Sugar King | — | — | 0.611 | — | — |
| 4 | Common Canter | 0.595 | — | 0.606 | — | — |
| 5 | Aero Whisper | 0.597 | — | 0.607 | — | — |
| 6 | Ragdoll Rosie | — | 0.602 | 0.602 | 0.616 | 0.616 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.