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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Romantic Loveb 2y 10 | K Billingham-hine — 18% R612 W113 P346 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 61 | 56 | 30 (3) | 59 (1) | 49 (2) | 46 (3) | 50 (4) | 54 (2) | 47 (4) | 52 (2) | 52 (2) | 43 (4) | 15 | 41 | 34 | 40 | 51 | 58 | 1 | 13/8F | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Jenyfromtheblockb 2y 3 | C S Fereday — 19% R463 W86 P229 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 41 | 47 | 30 (6) | 51 (4) | 47 (4) | 63 (5) | 52 (6) | 78 (1) | 60 (3) | 48 (4) | 56 (3) | 66 (2) | 28 | 5 | 22 | - | 52 | 40 | 5 | 4/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Prove Em Wrongb 1y 14 | P I Cowdrill — 14% R331 W47 P173 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 55 | 48 (2) | 54 (2) | 58 (1) | 52 (1) | 42 (4) | 56 (3) | 49 (2) | 63 (1) | 40 (4) | - | 47 | 54 | 31 | 56 | 52 | 51 | 2 | 7/4 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Don Choo Maddieb 2y 18 | M J Russell — 13% R173 W23 P86 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 31 | 38 (5) | 29 (6) | 64 (3) | 56 (2) | 46 (3) | 80 (2) | 69 (6) | 78 (5) | 67 (2) | - | 33 | 36 | 25 | 27 | 53 | 46 | 4 | 16/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Slipalong Lottod 3y 8 | P I Cowdrill — 14% R331 W47 P173 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 44 | 42 | 57 (1) | 52 (1) | 44 (3) | 41 (3) | 46 (2) | 36 (4) | 47 (1) | 30 (5) | 22 (6) | 36 (4) | 24 | 21 | 20 | 39 | 45 | 43 | 6 | 20/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Swift Dependd 2y 7 | A K Jenkins — 15% R187 W28 P98 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 56 | 58 (1) | 44 (2) | 28 (6) | 45 (3) | 32 (6) | 42 (5) | 51 (4) | 31 (6) | 38 (5) | 47 (3) | 25 | 19 | 34 | 30 | 43 | 49 | 3 | 7/2 | - | |
A rare case where the composite leader and the best structural draw align on the same runner. Romantic Love holds the highest composite in this field at 58, built on a recent 59-rated run at A7 and a prior 49. The form before that shows a 46 and 30 across four visible runs — that most-recent figure of 30 is the key risk indicator and cannot be ignored. It may reflect a rough trip, interference, or a surface blip, but if it signals a genuine dip then the composite may be overstating current ability. However, trap 1 at A7 Monmore 480m is exceptional structural real estate: 25.4% of winners emerge from box 1 in this condition from 285 runs, the highest on the entire today's card. The combination of composite leadership and the dominant structural draw is the strongest analytical case anywhere on the Monmore card today. Confidence is held at Tentative given the A7 middle-grade danger zone and the unexplained poor run, but the dual alignment here is as clear as it gets at this grade.
Four consecutive A7-level runs in a tight 48-58 band. The most reliable danger if the selection underperforms. Main threat.
Poor structural draw and recent form includes a 30-rated run. Double negative. Hard to recommend at A7.
Good draw but form is deteriorating rapidly — 38, 29 in most recent two runs after 64 and 56. Cannot recommend on current trajectory.
Worst trap by a clear margin at A7. Consistent but gently declining form. Cannot overcome the structural penalty here.
Decent trap and strong most-recent run of 58 but pattern is erratic. Some interest at the right price but not ahead of the field.
Trap 1 dominates at A7 Monmore 480m at 25.4% — the highest single-trap rate on the card today. Trap 5 is the clear worst draw. Middle-grade danger zone. Composite R1 wins around 21% but that drops to ~16% across A5-A8 at Monmore.
T1:25.4% T2:15.3% T3:17.2% T4:19.2% T5:10.6% T6:20.7%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Romantic Love | 60 | 37 | Fader |
2Jenyfromtheblock | 0 | 100 | Closer |
3Prove Em Wrong | 56 | 42 | Fader |
4Don Choo Maddie | 0 | 100 | Closer |
5Slipalong Lotto | 46 | 58 | Closer |
6Swift Depend | 54 | 42 | All-Rounder |
Only runs at exactly 480m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (480m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 264m | 450m | 480m | 525m | 570m | 630m | 650m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Romantic Love | 0.611 | — | 0.612 | — | — | — | — |
| 2 | Jenyfromtheblock | — | 0.612 | 0.616 | — | — | — | 0.625 |
| 3 | Prove Em Wrong | — | — | 0.613 | 0.573 | 0.575 | — | — |
| 4 | Don Choo Maddie | — | — | 0.616 | — | — | 0.623 | — |
| 5 | Slipalong Lotto | — | — | 0.619 | — | — | — | — |
| 6 | Swift Depend | — | — | 0.617 | — | — | — | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.