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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Bizarre Barryd 3y 6 | M J Russell — 13% R173 W23 P86 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 45 | 45 (5) | 78 (1) | 73 (1) | 56 (5) | 65 (3) | 64 (3) | 60 (3) | 72 (1) | 57 (2) | 95 (1) | 47 | 34 | - | 34 | 64 | 50 | 2 | 11/2 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Tullymurry Rishid 2y 15 | J B Thompson — 20% R519 W104 P289 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | 40 | 51 (5) | 65 (4) | 70 (3) | 62 (4) | 78 (2) | 67 (4) | 90 (1) | 80 (2) | 91 (1) | 69 (2) | 40 | 42 | - | 31 | 68 | 55 | 1 | 10/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Whisky On Fireb 2y 28 | N J Hunt — 19% R369 W71 P196 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 55 | 75 (1) | 62 (3) | 65 (3) | 63 (5) | 61 (4) | 60 (3) | 44 (6) | 72 (2) | 68 (2) | 79 (1) | 36 | 26 | 10 | 39 | 65 | 50 | 4 | 3/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Good Bobcatd 2y 28 | A K Jenkins — 15% R187 W28 P98 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | 56 | 36 (3) | 68 (3) | 77 (1) | 44 (5) | 43 (5) | 73 (1) | 53 (4) | 69 (1) | 43 (4) | 31 (6) | 28 | 28 | - | 32 | 59 | 43 | 5 | 5/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Aero Sophieb 2y 26 | R Taberner — 20% R741 W150 P419 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 59 | 50 | 68 (3) | 62 (5) | 79 (3) | 63 (4) | 49 (5) | 69 (4) | 49 (6) | 56 (3) | 79 (2) | 91 (1) | 26 | 35 | 61 | 22 | 66 | 55 | 3 | 8/11F | - | |
Joint composite leader at 55 alongside Aero Sophie in trap 5. The edge to this runner on paper is a slightly higher average performance at 68 versus 66, and a form profile that reads 51, 65, 70, and 62 from most recent to oldest — a dog currently running in the mid-50s to low-60s at A3 grade with a 70 peak three runs ago. The most recent run of 51 is on the lower end of the recent range, which introduces some uncertainty about whether the current level is 51 or 65. Trap 2 in a five-runner field is the strongest structural draw available, generating well above the one-in-five baseline at A3 standard. The combination of joint-highest composite, highest average performance, and the best structural draw makes this the model's selection, though the tied composite with trap 5 means the analytical margin is narrow and the server may settle either way.
Best recent form in the field with a 75-rated effort last time out and consistent 62-75 range. Strong danger to the selection on pure form grounds. Main threat.
Has shown high-70s form which is competitive at A3. Most recent run of 45 is a significant concern. Place candidate if form returns.
Has posted 77 and 68 recently but also a 36. Too volatile to recommend. Lowest composite in the field.
Joint composite leader with a 79-rated peak — arguably the strongest individual run between the two top dogs. Held back by the worst structural draw in the five-runner field.
Five-runner field with T6 vacant. A3 at Monmore is a high grade where the composite wins only around 17-18% — very competitive. Trap 2 is a strong structural draw in a five-runner field. Composite is tied at top between T2 and T5.
T1:20.5% T2:21.8% T3:18.2% T4:17.6% T5:14.9%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Bizarre Barry | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
2Tullymurry Rishi | 47 | 74 | Closer |
3Whisky On Fire | 87 | 49 | Front Runner |
4Good Bobcat | 62 | 0 | Fader |
5Aero Sophie | 0 | 100 | Closer |
Only runs at exactly 480m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (480m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 264m | 400m | 480m | 525m | 630m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bizarre Barry | — | — | 0.605 | 0.545 | — |
| 2 | Tullymurry Rishi | — | — | 0.600 | — | — |
| 3 | Whisky On Fire | 0.600 | 0.613 | 0.604 | — | — |
| 4 | Good Bobcat | 0.594 | — | 0.610 | — | — |
| 5 | Aero Sophie | — | — | 0.602 | — | 0.618 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.