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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Mustang Razord 3y 15 | J M Liles — 19% R424 W79 P223 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 61 | 57 (3) | 36 (4) | 42 (2) | 42 (4) | 63 (1) | 70 (2) | 86 (1) | 74 (1) | 66 (3) | 82 (1) | 51 | 50 | 35 | 43 | 50 | 49 | 4 | 7/2 | |
| 2 | ▶ Salacres Tipsterd 3y 5 | P H Harnden — 18% R396 W71 P224 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 51 | 57 (4) | 88 (1) | 74 (2) | 67 (4) | 71 (2) | 84 (1) | 76 (2) | 50 (5) | 82 (1) | 69 (2) | 48 | 52 | 43 | 46 | 63 | 58 | 2 | 5/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Baby Warriorb 3y 17 | C Weatherall — 16% R95 W15 P51 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 56 | 47 (6) | 47 (6) | 58 (5) | 87 (1) | 54 (4) | 68 (3) | 72 (4) | 47 (6) | 64 (3) | 53 (5) | 31 | 25 | - | 26 | 62 | 50 | 5 | 5/2F | |
| 4 | ▶ Frankton Ivyb 3y 18 | C Weatherall — 16% R95 W15 P51 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 58 | 31 | 100 (1) | 79 (5) | 88 (4) | 83 (2) | 85 (3) | 87 (3) | 53 (3) | 82 (1) | 75 (4) | 80 (4) | 31 | 40 | 48 | 61 | 79 | 67 | 1 | 3/1 | |
| 5 | ▶ Grafton Stard 2y 16 | H J Dimmock — 19% R170 W32 P94 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 49 | 61 (4) | 83 (1) | 67 (2) | 47 (5) | 73 (2) | 68 (2) | 48 (6) | 58 (5) | 86 (1) | 71 (2) | 39 | 42 | 37 | 43 | 63 | 55 | 3 | 4/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Snowfallb 2y 23 | P Milner — 21% R62 W13 P33 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 43 | 24 | 37 (3) | 46 (3) | 47 (3) | 37 (5) | 65 (5) | 50 (6) | 79 (1) | 60 (2) | 49 (4) | 63 (4) | 43 | 55 | - | 54 | 60 | 57 | 6 | 6/1 | |
Frankton Ivy is the clear form pick in this race, having won her most recent start in A3 grade with an impressive performance and placed in OR 712m company before that. She is the only runner in this field with a recent competitive performance rating above 80, which gives her a genuine class edge. As a closer drawn in the dominant trap 4 — which wins 26% of A2 races at Towcester from 121 runs — she has both the ability and the structural support to win this. Her distance suitability of 61 and track suitability of 40 confirm reasonable form at this venue and trip. The closing style is always a slight risk at Towcester where the first bend matters, but her quality should carry her through.
Consistent A2 performer with recent winning form but the only dead draw in the race — a better position would make him a strong pick.
Dominant draw is a plus but inconsistent form and moderate ability ratings leave him behind the better fancied runners.
A2 calibre dog but in declining form and with poor venue suitability — would need to reverse recent trend to be competitive.
Honest A2 performer who places more often than he wins — not enough quality to trouble the pick in this particular field.
The best structural position in the race from trap 6 but inconsistent form and a grade step make it hard to back her with confidence.
LOW SEPARATION: rank 1 wins 23.39% vs rank 3 at 18.89% — a gap of 4.5pp. Unusually for Towcester, trap 6 is the best draw at A2 grade, with traps 1 and 4 also dominant. Trap 2 is the only dead position. Three dominant traps means multiple runners have structural support.
T1:25.71% T2:16.78% T3:19.12% T4:25.62% T5:18.95% T6:26.51%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 500m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Mustang Razor | 59 | 2 | Fader |
2Salacres Tipster | 47 | 59 | Closer |
3Baby Warrior | 50 | 46 | All-Rounder |
4Frankton Ivy | 0 | 100 | Closer |
5Grafton Star | 50 | 54 | All-Rounder |
6Snowfall | 87 | 0 | Fader |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.