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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Salacres Monetb 3yREP 15 | P H Harnden — 18% R396 W71 P224 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 32 | 64 | 47 (4) | 83 (2) | 66 (1) | 59 (3) | 68 (4) | 90 (1) | 62 (2) | 43 (4) | 62 (1) | 56 (2) | 36 | 45 | 20 | 31 | 36 | 36 | 1 | 10/1 | |
| 2 | ▶ Mustang Beyonceb 4y 24 | J M Liles — 19% R423 W79 P222 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | - | 26 (5) | 31 (3) | 27 (6) | 32 (3) | 37 (1) | 28 (4) | 34 (2) | 28 (4) | 21 (6) | 32 (3) | 54 | 46 | - | 41 | 30 | 36 | 3 | 11/4 | |
| 3 | ▶ Cashel Avab 5y 37 | N J Deas — 17% R447 W76 P245 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 37 | - | 21 (6) | 23 (6) | 36 (1) | 26 (4) | 20 (6) | 23 (6) | 25 (5) | 20 (6) | 37 (1) | 23 (5) | 51 | 34 | 47 | 29 | 26 | 30 | 6 | 16/1 | |
| 4 | ▶ Keefill Roseb 1y 16 | P Milner — 21% R62 W13 P33 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | - | 69 (4) | 28 (4) | 30 (3) | 28 (5) | 25 (6) | - | - | - | - | - | 35 | 32 | - | 32 | 28 | 30 | 5 | 1/1F | |
| 5 | ▶ Foulkscourtstormb 4y 15 | N J Deas — 17% R447 W76 P245 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 56 | 36 | 37 (2) | 31 (4) | 40 (1) | 36 (2) | 34 (3) | 27 (3) | 26 (5) | 31 (3) | 24 (6) | 29 (5) | 44 | 25 | 37 | 25 | 37 | 35 | 2 | 6/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Frankton Poppyb 3y 15 | C Weatherall — 16% R95 W15 P51 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | - | 34 (2) | 30 (3) | 30 (3) | 25 (5) | 27 (5) | 33 (2) | 25 (4) | 33 (3) | 33 (3) | 29 (5) | 17 | 38 | 23 | 38 | 29 | 30 | 4 | 7/2 | |
Foulkscourtstorm is the predicted winner with the best overall ability ratings in this field, but the margin is tiny — just a few points separates him from the rest. He has good early pace as a fader, which is useful at 270 metres where the race finishes before the fading tendency kicks in. His most recent start was a third at this grade and distance, which is decent but not dominant form. The major concern is the draw — trap 5 wins just 14% of D3 sprints from 320 runs, making it the second-worst position. In a race where every runner has similar ability, the structural disadvantage of the draw could easily outweigh his marginal quality edge. Has not raced since mid-March which adds a freshness question.
Recent course and distance winner from the dominant inside draw — in a low-grade sprint where trap bias rules, she is the logical danger.
Recent placed form at a higher grade from the dominant inside draw — the structural favourite in a race where trap bias should be the decisive factor.
Very inconsistent with the lowest ability in the field — her one recent win was an outlier among mostly poor efforts.
Gradually improving but still well below winning standard at this grade — the trainer is better than the recent form.
Consistent placer who keeps running honest races but the worst draw and modest ability make winning a very tough ask.
Inside draws dominate D3 sprints at Towcester with T1 and T2 both above 23% from large samples. Outer draws T5 and T6 are structurally dead at 14% and 13%. The pick is in dead trap 5 with only a tiny ability edge over the field.
T1:23.38% T2:23.10% T3:20.77% T4:20.34% T5:14.06% T6:12.99%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 270m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.