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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Rating | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Choices Jessb 1y 25 | J M Liles — 19% R433 W81 P226 Trainer form — last 3 months | 42 | 47 | - | 21 (4) | 22 (4) | 27 (3) | 27 (3) | 25 (3) | 32 (2) | 32 (1) | 23 (3) | 69 (2) | 30 (2) | 48 | 42 | 18 | 37 | 26 | 32 | 5 | 8/1 | |
| 2 | ▶ Choices Ranged 2y 6 | J M Liles — 19% R433 W81 P226 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | - | 15 (6) | 26 (2) | 29 (1) | 18 (4) | 21 (4) | 26 (3) | 16 (6) | 30 (6) | 25 (5) | 31 (6) | 28 | 37 | - | 46 | 25 | 29 | 6 | 5/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Makeit Dreamb 1y 35 | F J Gray — 21% R351 W72 P189 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | - | 42 (4) | 49 (2) | 46 (3) | 28 (3) | 27 (3) | 31 (1) | 22 (5) | 25 (3) | 24 (4) | - | 50 | 47 | 23 | 42 | 27 | 34 | 3 | 11/4 | |
| 4 | ▶ Salacres Jojod 2y 15 | P H Harnden — 18% R391 W70 P220 Trainer form — last 3 months | 64 | 58 | - | 42 (1) | 21 (6) | 34 (3) | 34 (2) | 40 (1) | 30 (3) | 34 (1) | 27 (3) | 27 (4) | 25 (4) | 49 | 47 | - | 36 | 27 | 33 | 2 | 5/4F | |
| 5 | ▶ Grafton Sassb 3y 16 | H J Dimmock — 19% R169 W32 P94 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 56 | - | 23 (4) | 23 (5) | 28 (4) | 31 (2) | 24 (5) | 33 (2) | 40 (1) | 36 (1) | 34 (2) | 35 (1) | 37 | 46 | 30 | 62 | 30 | 36 | 1 | 10/3 | |
| 6 | ▶ Chadwell Pestb 3y 15 | N J Deas — 17% R458 W76 P250 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | - | 31 (1) | 21 (5) | 27 (2) | 31 (1) | 25 (3) | 16 (5) | 31 (1) | 26 (2) | 20 (5) | 32 (2) | 43 | 47 | 37 | 52 | 26 | 33 | 4 | 16/1 | |
Grafton Sass is the predicted winner with the best overall ratings in this field, though the margin over her rivals is slim. Her recent form shows a fifth at D3 level and a fourth before that, which is not inspiring, but the form trajectory shows a dog who has been consistently competitive at a higher grade than this. The drop to D4 should help, and her distance suitability of 62 is the best in the field, confirming she handles this sprint trip well. Trap 5 is a neutral draw at 20%, which is neither a help nor a hindrance. The concern is that her advantage is so marginal that the structural data from the dominant trap 4 and strong trap 3 may override the ability edge.
Recent D4 winner from a strong draw with consistent form at this level — in a tight race, the structural position makes her the main danger.
Dominant draw that wins 28% of all D4 sprints with the best speed in the field — the structural pick regardless of modest recent form.
Dropping in grade and has placed at a higher level, but neutral draw and inconsistent form make her a minor contender rather than a principal.
Fading profile useful at sprint distance but the lowest ability in the field and poor recent form make winning unlikely.
D4 winner with course and distance form but a three-week break and a neutral draw leave her slightly behind the structurally favoured rivals.
Trap 4 overwhelmingly dominates D4 270m at Towcester at 27.51% from 378 runs — well above the expected 16.7% rate. Trap 3 is also strong at 22%. Composite rank 1 has decent separation at 24.69% vs 17.18% for rank 3, suggesting ability matters more here than in D3.
T1:17.83% T2:19.71% T3:22.22% T4:27.51% T5:19.71% T6:18.02%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 270m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.