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Orchestrate Maiden Stayers
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Trapstyle Blueyd 3y 15 | J M Liles — 19% R433 W81 P226 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 86 | 100 | 55 (4) | 49 (5) | 65 (3) | 54 (5) | 50 (5) | 50 (5) | 48 (4) | 75 (4) | 65 (4) | 36 (4) | 41 | 31 | 17 | - | 64 | 54 | 2 | 8/1 | |
| 2 | ▶ Makeit Poppyb 2y 24 | F J Gray — 21% R355 W73 P191 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 3 | 0 | 79 (2) | 59 (4) | 46 (6) | 52 (5) | 69 (4) | 99 (1) | 69 (5) | 81 (3) | 77 (1) | 72 (1) | 60 | 43 | - | 25 | 75 | 64 | 4 | 5/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Radical Storyd 2y 16 | C R Morris — 28% R256 W72 P170 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 100 | 49 | 84 (4) | 62 (6) | 53 (5) | 72 (3) | 73 (4) | 68 (2) | 85 (2) | 68 (4) | 58 (5) | 75 (2) | 77 | - | 15 | - | 73 | 74 | 1 | 4/6F | |
| 5 | ▶ Hitthelids Kaleyb 3y 16 | N J Deas — 17% R463 W77 P254 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 100 | 48 (4) | 59 (2) | 44 (4) | 53 (3) | 76 (3) | 47 (5) | 61 (2) | 57 (2) | 61 (1) | 45 (5) | 34 | 27 | - | - | 52 | 44 | 3 | 40/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Essjay Soniab 2y 25 | F J Gray — 21% R355 W73 P191 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 10 | 18 | 55 (5) | 99 (1) | 89 (2) | 71 (3) | 84 (1) | 99 (1) | 93 (2) | 87 (3) | 78 (2) | 65 (4) | 30 | 32 | 18 | 40 | 85 | 67 | 5 | 9/4 | |
Radical Story has been in fine form with two recent trial wins and prior competitive form that includes a win in open company over 650 metres and a second at 660 metres. She is a confirmed closer who times her finishing effort well, and over a staying trip this profile is ideal — the longer the race, the more likely closers are to thrive as the early leaders tire. Crucially, she is drawn in trap 3, which is the dominant box at these conditions, winning 28% of the time from 46 runs. Her speed rating is the highest in the field, confirming she has the raw pace to make her finishing kick count. The lack of specific Towcester form is the only negative, but the structural alignment of draw, running style, and ability is compelling.
Brilliant speed but a confirmed fader stepping up to a staying trip for the first time — could lead a long way but likely to be caught late.
Versatile runner with course and distance form but a dead draw significantly undermines her chances.
Outclassed and untested at the distance from a dead draw — the data comprehensively points elsewhere.
Outstanding recent form at this course and distance but a trap 6 draw that wins 5% of the time is an almost insurmountable obstacle.
LOW SEPARATION: composite rank 1 wins just 18.64% vs rank 3 at 14.81%. Trap 3 is overwhelmingly dominant at 28% — nearly double the expected rate. Traps 5 and 6 are dead below 10%. Inside draws and trap 3 dominate this staying trip.
T1:19.51% T2:10.64% T3:28.26% T4:18.42% T5:9.68% T6:5.41%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 712m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Trapstyle Bluey | 100 | 0 | Fader |
2Makeit Poppy | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
3Radical Story | 21 | 100 | Closer |
5Hitthelids Kaley | 100 | 0 | Fader |
6Essjay Sonia | 0 | 100 | Closer |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.