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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 2 | ▶ Da Scallywagd 3y 5 | D S Davy — 21% R426 W90 P269 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 42 | 60 | 78 (1) | 70 (2) | 46 (4) | 43 (6) | 56 (4) | 26 (5) | 26 (1) | 40 (5) | 32 (3) | 50 (5) | 28 | 33 | 38 | 43 | 52 | 41 | 5 | 7/4 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Choctawhatated 4y 36 | D S Davy — 21% R426 W90 P269 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 50 | 64 (3) | 58 (3) | 40 (6) | 81 (1) | 76 (1) | 16 (3) | 80 (1) | 53 (3) | 59 (3) | 56 (3) | 32 | 44 | 26 | 30 | 59 | 43 | 4 | 5/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Bluejig Bobbyd 3y 26 | J A Danahar — 19% R304 W58 P177 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 44 | 75 (1) | 49 (5) | 68 (2) | 72 (1) | 74 (1) | 64 (2) | 57 (4) | 73 (1) | 58 (3) | 61 (3) | 17 | 23 | - | 52 | 66 | 37 | 3 | 12/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Santas Rangerd 3y 15 | D S Davy — 21% R426 W90 P269 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 54 | 50 (5) | 74 (2) | 80 (1) | 55 (3) | 65 (3) | 63 (4) | 65 (4) | 86 (1) | 58 (4) | 86 (1) | 44 | 38 | 49 | 35 | 66 | 50 | 1 | 5/4F | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Crokers Andrewd 2y 16 | C Darch — 23% R377 W87 P212 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 45 | 70 (2) | 70 (3) | 64 (3) | 84 (1) | 60 (3) | 59 (3) | 72 (3) | 57 (4) | 70 (3) | 54 (5) | 31 | 27 | 27 | 27 | 68 | 42 | 2 | 11/4 | - | |
The clear composite leader in this five-runner field at 50 — a full 7 points ahead of the next-best at 43. In A3 grade at Valley 460m, composite rank 1 wins 24.5% of races from the backtested condition data, confirming this rating advantage is a real and meaningful edge. Speed of 53 is the joint-best in the field. Trap 5 is the second-best structural draw in A3 460m at Valley at 20.1% from 302 runs. The average performance of 66 ties for the highest in the field. This is a dog combining the best composite rating, second-best structural trap position, and joint-top speed — a triple alignment of factors that does not occur often. The tentative rating reflects A3 grade being genuinely competitive and the concern about recent form consistency, but the fundamentals here are as strong as any selection on today's card.
Second-best composite and performance but poor structural trap — chief danger to the selection.
Solid draw but metrics too far behind the selection to threaten.
Fascinating contradiction between raw avgP (best) and composite (worst) — rating model likely correct to discount.
Best structural draw and highest raw performance but composite too far behind — place contender.
Composite rank 1 wins 24.5% at Valley A3 460m. Trap 5 second-best structural draw at 20.1%.
T2:19.1% T3:16.9% T4:19.1% T5:20.1% T6:20.8%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 460m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
2Da Scallywag | 56 | 21 | Fader |
3Choctawhatate | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
4Bluejig Bobby | 46 | 63 | Closer |
5Santas Ranger | 59 | 44 | Fader |
6Crokers Andrew | 40 | 70 | Closer |
Only runs at exactly 460m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (460m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 260m | 460m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Da Scallywag | 0.635 | 0.606 |
| 3 | Choctawhatate | — | 0.635 |
| 4 | Bluejig Bobby | — | 0.633 |
| 5 | Santas Ranger | — | 0.631 |
| 6 | Crokers Andrew | — | 0.632 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.