| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 2 | ▶ Ballyroe Buckeyed 4y 35 | J A Danahar — 19% R304 W58 P177 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 45 | 68 (2) | 77 (1) | 53 (4) | 54 (4) | 81 (1) | 80 (1) | 54 (5) | 62 (4) | 76 (1) | 53 (4) | 33 | 34 | 49 | 47 | 66 | 44 | 2 | 15/8F | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Sudden Boltd 2y 26 | D S Davy — 21% R426 W90 P269 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 28 | 52 | 32 (3) | 28 (3) | 33 (6) | 32 (5) | 81 (2) | 76 (2) | 65 (3) | 69 (2) | 71 (2) | 70 (2) | 18 | 36 | 20 | 37 | 48 | 27 | 5 | 9/4 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Mallogs Royd 3y 14 | A N J Morgan — 14% R1174 W165 P579 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 39 | 60 (3) | 72 (1) | 74 (1) | 56 (3) | 89 (2) | 20 (2) | 70 (2) | 57 (4) | 58 (3) | 69 (2) | 29 | 28 | 13 | 37 | 64 | 39 | 4 | 9/2 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Crokers Graysond 2y 9 | C Darch — 23% R377 W87 P212 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 60 | 64 | 79 (1) | 56 (3) | 60 (3) | 75 (1) | 62 (3) | 56 (3) | 44 (4) | 71 (1) | 29 (2) | 68 (2) | 45 | 25 | 15 | 37 | 63 | 55 | 1 | 2/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Brave Billyd 3y 18 | J A Danahar — 19% R304 W58 P177 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 50 | 77 (1) | 54 (3) | 57 (4) | 53 (4) | 66 (3) | 59 (4) | 46 (5) | 75 (1) | 49 (4) | 42 (5) | 37 | 19 | 20 | 25 | 60 | 43 | 3 | 7/1 | - | |
The standout on paper across every key metric: top composite score in the field by a clear margin, top speed rating at 60, best first-bend rating at 64, and won last time out with a performance of 79 at A5 460m — an impressive effort that earns a step up to A4. The form over six runs is remarkably consistent: 79, 56, 60, 75, 62, 56 — this dog goes to post every time and delivers. The All-Rounder pace profile means getting a decent early position is achievable despite the speed being genuine. Trainer C Darch at 24% win rate adds to the confidence. The one concern is trap 5 — at Valley 460m A4 that position produces only 16.5% of winners versus trap 6 at 27%. But when a dog has this quality advantage across speed, composite, bend rating, and recent form, the trap position has to be outweighed. If the tight bends here cause no interference early, Grayson should have enough raw ability to assert.
Structural trap advantage is real — trap 6 at 27% is the strongest single draw signal on the card. Main danger to the selection.
High-class dog but Closer profile works against the track layout at Valley 460m.
Worst structural trap in this grade combined with form from a completely different distance — very difficult to back.
Closer in a below-average trap on a tight track. Structurally difficult despite decent form figures.
Trap 6 at 27% dominates Valley 460m A4 — the strongest structural trap on the card. Trap 3 at 12.9% is the dead draw.
T1:16.7% T2:19.3% T3:12.9% T4:14.0% T5:16.5% T6:27.0%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 460m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
2Ballyroe Buckeye | 50 | 56 | Closer |
3Sudden Bolt | 52 | 29 | All-Rounder |
4Mallogs Roy | 0 | 100 | Closer |
5Crokers Grayson | 49 | 50 | All-Rounder |
6Brave Billy | 51 | 36 | All-Rounder |
Only runs at exactly 460m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (460m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 260m | 460m | 645m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Ballyroe Buckeye | — | 0.632 | — |
| 3 | Sudden Bolt | 0.636 | 0.637 | — |
| 4 | Mallogs Roy | — | 0.632 | 0.634 |
| 5 | Crokers Grayson | 0.644 | 0.634 | — |
| 6 | Brave Billy | — | 0.638 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.