| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Burkos Bonnieb 3y 15 | A N J Morgan — 14% R1174 W165 P579 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 43 | - | 25 (3) | 21 (4) | 17 (6) | 23 (4) | 28 (1) | 27 (1) | 22 (3) | 16 (6) | 18 (3) | 20 (3) | 18 | 25 | - | 17 | 22 | 20 | 4 | 16/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Ranchers Crybabyb 3yN/R 13 | A L Jeffery — 20% R377 W77 P214 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 36 | - | 13 (6) | 11 (6) | 33 (1) | 26 (3) | 19 (5) | 25 (4) | 24 (5) | 31 (3) | 31 (4) | 24 (5) | 8 | 23 | 17 | 13 | 22 | 14 | - | - | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Crokers Lisab 2y 4 | A N J Morgan — 14% R1174 W165 P579 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 57 | - | 27 (3) | 28 (4) | 33 (2) | 25 (4) | 25 (5) | 34 (1) | 24 (5) | 60 (5) | 27 (5) | - | 25 | 35 | 39 | 23 | 30 | 30 | 2 | 4/6F | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Hawkfield Baileyb 2y 6 | A N J Morgan — 14% R1174 W165 P579 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | - | 26 (2) | 28 (2) | 26 (3) | 25 (3) | 49 (6) | 18 (6) | 23 (4) | 18 (5) | 31 (1) | 31 (1) | 14 | 32 | 23 | 31 | 28 | 28 | 3 | 11/2 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Hawkfield Hugod 4y 35 | A N J Morgan — 14% R1174 W165 P579 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | - | 38 (6) | 62 (3) | 42 (5) | 37 (5) | 47 (5) | 54 (4) | 59 (3) | 59 (4) | 55 (3) | 53 (4) | 23 | 29 | - | 21 | 49 | 29 | 1 | 11/8 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Not To Worrieb 3yN/R 3 | A N J Morgan — 14% R1174 W165 P579 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 44 | - | 27 (2) | 28 (3) | 25 (3) | 31 (1) | 24 (2) | 25 (2) | 28 (1) | 21 (4) | 18 (5) | 18 (4) | 54 | 30 | 34 | 35 | 26 | 31 | - | - | - | |
Dropping in from A4 grade with an average performance of 49 — that is 19 to 27 points above every other runner in this D4 field. At Valley 260m the race is almost always decided on raw ability at this trip, and when one dog is running at a fundamentally higher level than the rest, the class difference tends to assert itself regardless of pace profile. The Fader profile with zero early pace is a theoretical concern, but at 260 metres there is simply no time for a fade to develop — the race is over before the dog has had time to weaken. Drawn in trap 5, which is the best-performing box in D4 grade at Valley 260m at 22.0% from 346 runs. This combination of massive class advantage and best structural trap is a rare double-stack that merits genuine confidence. The speed rating of 55 is second in the field, confirming the raw ability is there. Recent A4 form of 38, 62, 42 shows some inconsistency in the higher grade but even a below-par effort here should be sufficient to outclass this opposition.
Top speed in the field makes this the main danger, but the worst structural trap at this grade limits confidence.
Below-average trap and modest form make this one of the outsiders in a race dominated by a class dropper.
Weakest composite, poor recent form — among the outsiders in this field.
Consistent D4 performer but outclassed by the A4 dropper in this field.
Good structural draw and reliable form, but the class gap to the A4 dropper is too large to bridge.
Trap 5 best at 22%, trap 6 second at 20.6%, trap 3 worst at 15.5% from 2,133 D4 runs. Speed rank 1 wins 26.1%.
T1:16.4% T2:17.6% T3:15.5% T4:17.5% T5:22.0% T6:20.6%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 260m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 260m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (260m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 260m | 460m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Burkos Bonnie | 0.653 | — |
| 3 | Crokers Lisa | 0.638 | — |
| 4 | Hawkfield Bailey | 0.645 | — |
| 5 | Hawkfield Hugo | — | 0.639 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.