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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Canal Riverb 4y 24 | S Mavrias — 17% R244 W41 P130 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 54 | 30 (3) | 29 (2) | 26 (3) | 32 (3) | 33 (3) | 33 (2) | 24 (6) | 32 (4) | 58 (3) | 46 (4) | 27 | 27 | 16 | 20 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 11/4 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Droopys Promiseb 4y 15 | G Andreas — 17% R290 W48 P149 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 51 | 31 (2) | 28 (3) | 31 (3) | 27 (4) | 31 (4) | 65 (2) | 39 (6) | 77 (1) | 68 (2) | 75 (1) | 35 | 33 | 12 | 13 | 40 | 33 | 2 | 9/2 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Woodys Wombled 2y 7 | J J Luckhurst — 13% R286 W37 P125 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 40 | - | 25 (4) | 21 (6) | 34 (1) | 30 (2) | 22 (5) | 18 (6) | 26 (5) | 26 (3) | - | - | 25 | 17 | 20 | 19 | 25 | 25 | 6 | 8/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Toems Sadieb 4y 14 | D O Pearce — 21% R130 W27 P74 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 0 | 32 (1) | 25 (3) | 46 (5) | 51 (2) | 32 (3) | 58 (5) | 58 (2) | 49 (2) | 37 (3) | - | 32 | 18 | 2 | 27 | 41 | 29 | 3 | 10/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Stophers Poppyb 2y 5 | G L Davidson — 14% R233 W32 P105 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 44 | - | 27 (5) | 40 (5) | 28 (1) | 28 (4) | 24 (5) | 40 (6) | 31 (1) | 28 (3) | 32 (5) | - | 33 | 40 | 47 | 31 | 31 | 33 | 5 | 3/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Coppice Connieb 3y 5 | L E Morrison — 21% R201 W42 P123 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | 49 | 33 (2) | 30 (2) | 24 (5) | 61 (3) | 56 (4) | 43 (5) | 32 (4) | 27 (5) | 41 (1) | 45 (6) | 22 | 18 | 26 | 29 | 38 | 35 | 1 | 13/8F | - | |
The model selection here with strong multi-model consensus — the xgb model, composite model, performance model and speed model all independently agree on Coppice Connie as the top pick. She has placed second in each of her last two D3 starts at Central Park, peaking at performance 33, and the speed rating of 55 is the highest in this field. The firstBendRating of 49 and the All-Rounder pace profile mean she is not dependent on the lead but contributes from any position. CS=35 is the highest in the race. Trainer Morrison at Central Park has delivered with stable mates here. From trap 6 the first-bend position is challenging at 277 metres, but the model consensus is unusually strong and her recent consistent placed form at D3 here supports the rating. A runner who finishes second consistently is likely to convert in similar company.
Danger — best individual performance in field (D3 perf=46), highest snapshot average, won last time. Stepping back into D3 with form to threaten.
Reliable D3 placer. Consistent thirds but no win in recent runs. Place prospect.
Consistent D3 finisher. Good draw but no recent win at this grade.
Won D3 here before but recent D2 form poor. Back in grade but on the weak side of composite.
Dropped from D2 after poor recent runs. Needs to rediscover form at lower grade.
D3 sprint — ability spread is tight. Strong multi-model consensus on T6 Coppice Connie across xgb, composite, and speed models.
Central Park 277m first-bend advantage to inner traps generally; T6 delivers when early pace is sufficient
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 277m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 277m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (277m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 277m | 450m | 491m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Canal River | 0.613 | — | 0.614 |
| 2 | Droopys Promise | 0.613 | — | 0.611 |
| 3 | Woodys Womble | 0.621 | — | — |
| 4 | Toems Sadie | 0.612 | 0.621 | — |
| 5 | Stophers Poppy | 0.615 | — | — |
| 6 | Coppice Connie | 0.615 | — | 0.618 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.