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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Ocean Summerb 1y 17 | R M Emery — 13% R123 W16 P60 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 41 | 88 (1) | 84 (1) | 79 (2) | 75 (2) | 72 (2) | 73 (2) | 78 (1) | 59 (3) | 53 (4) | 48 (2) | 41 | 65 | 30 | 67 | 76 | 60 | 2 | 7/2 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Devonshire Ladyb 2y 27 | D P Brabon — 21% R374 W77 P222 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 58 | 59 | 63 (4) | 79 (2) | 59 (4) | 75 (3) | 79 (2) | 81 (2) | 86 (1) | 73 (3) | 87 (1) | 63 (3) | 37 | 47 | 32 | 38 | 73 | 55 | 1 | 7/4F | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Havana Jetstreamb 2y 27 | B G Backhurst — 16% R226 W37 P120 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 61 | 83 (1) | 79 (1) | 64 (2) | 68 (2) | 58 (3) | 75 (2) | 83 (1) | 67 (2) | 72 (4) | 87 (1) | 45 | 46 | - | 58 | 74 | 56 | 3 | 9/2 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Coolavanny Sissyb 4y 33 | L E Morrison — 21% R201 W42 P123 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 46 | 70 (3) | 59 (4) | 88 (1) | 76 (2) | 43 (1) | 44 (6) | 73 (3) | 65 (3) | 88 (1) | 88 (1) | 40 | 36 | 28 | 34 | 71 | 50 | 4 | 2/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Bling Bling Muskb 3y 17 | B D O'sullivan — 19% R539 W102 P302 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 47 | 76 (3) | 83 (1) | 62 (5) | 77 (4) | 61 (3) | 72 (3) | 63 (4) | 75 (1) | 82 (2) | 60 (6) | 30 | 39 | 14 | 27 | 72 | 51 | 5 | 7/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Santas Ferrarid 2y 24 | D O Pearce — 21% R130 W27 P74 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 40 | 52 | 83 (1) | 58 (4) | 52 (4) | 40 (5) | 60 (4) | 77 (1) | 42 (5) | 50 (4) | 51 (4) | 84 (1) | 2 | 15 | - | 27 | 61 | 37 | 6 | 20/1 | - | |
The xgb, v5Gbdt, perfHeavy, consensus3 and h3FullHybrid models all independently select Devonshire Lady — a notable cluster of machine-learning models that diverge from the composite and condition-based models. Won A2 four runs back and placed second twice at A1, demonstrating A1 capability. The run of 79 for second from trap 1 at A1 is a strong data point. CS=55 is the second-highest in the field. Trap 2 at 20.5% is a decent structural draw. The case for Devonshire Lady rests on the ML model cluster — if the xgb and v5Gbdt models are detecting something in her underlying pace and structural data that the composite does not fully surface, she could outrun the selection. A high-quality A1 runner who cannot be dismissed despite the formidable form of Ocean Summer.
PICK: Confident selection — two consecutive A1 wins at this course and grade, performances 88 and 84. Highest composite by 5 points. Form override applies despite below-average trap draw.
Rapidly improving — won A2 at 83, now first A1 start. CS=56 third in field. To win today would be impressive but not impossible.
Best structural draw but form at A1 grade has been inconsistent. OR win was exceptional but fading in A1 company.
Legitimate A1 contender on form but below-average draw. More likely a place runner than winner today.
One-off A2 win cannot mask a weak form profile. CS lowest in race. Stepping to A1 is a big leap.
Trap 4 dominant at A1 491m but Ocean Summer's back-to-back A1 wins (perf 88 and 84) override structural concerns. Form this strong at A1 grade is rare.
T1:16.67% T2:20.50% T3:varies T4:25.91% T5:varies T6:varies
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 491m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Ocean Summer | 77 | 0 | Fader |
2Devonshire Lady | 90 | 0 | Fader |
3Havana Jetstream | 23 | 100 | Closer |
4Coolavanny Sissy | 80 | 0 | Fader |
5Bling Bling Musk | 0 | 100 | Closer |
6Santas Ferrari | 0 | 100 | Closer |
Only runs at exactly 491m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (491m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 253m | 277m | 400m | 450m | 491m | 525m | 664m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ocean Summer | — | — | — | — | 0.604 | 0.569 | — |
| 2 | Devonshire Lady | — | — | — | — | 0.600 | — | — |
| 3 | Havana Jetstream | 0.597 | — | 0.617 | 0.606 | 0.604 | — | — |
| 4 | Coolavanny Sissy | — | 0.589 | — | — | 0.606 | — | — |
| 5 | Bling Bling Musk | — | — | — | — | 0.605 | — | 0.620 |
| 6 | Santas Ferrari | — | — | — | 0.613 | 0.609 | — | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.