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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Francos Mattd 1y 6 | K A Schimmefennig — 6% R31 W2 P14 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 49 | 88 (2) | 30 (4) | 33 (6) | 51 (6) | 33 (4) | 38 (2) | 47 (1) | 43 (2) | 42 (1) | 29 (5) | 44 | 43 | 23 | 44 | 47 | 46 | 3 | 6/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Bonville Paddyd 1y 15 | M L Locke — 24% R298 W72 P181 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | - | 46 (1) | 79 (3) | 86 (3) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 23 | 30 | 27 | 68 | 53 | 1 | 3/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ My Jaspied 1y 14 | D P Brabon — 21% R374 W77 P222 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 42 | - | 33 (3) | 47 (1) | 40 (6) | 42 (3) | 46 (2) | 30 (1) | 30 (4) | 31 (5) | 32 (4) | - | 24 | 41 | 36 | 39 | 38 | 34 | 6 | 4/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Laughil Dand 2y 15 | S Mavrias — 17% R244 W41 P130 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | 53 | 28 (6) | 38 (3) | 37 (4) | 47 (1) | 64 (6) | 82 (1) | 48 (4) | 56 (3) | 56 (5) | 43 (5) | 26 | 19 | 34 | 20 | 46 | 33 | 5 | 10/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Gotthechatb 2y 36 | M L Locke — 24% R298 W72 P181 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 0 | 42 (2) | 52 (4) | 50 (4) | 61 (5) | 48 (1) | 44 (3) | 61 (4) | 58 (2) | 50 (2) | - | 25 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 51 | 26 | 4 | 3/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ King Pavarottid 3y 7 | S Mavrias — 17% R244 W41 P130 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 54 | 33 (5) | 42 (2) | 40 (2) | 44 (2) | 47 (1) | 60 (4) | 70 (3) | 29 (6) | 32 (4) | 43 (2) | 47 | 42 | 50 | 34 | 43 | 44 | 2 | 15/8F | - | |
The overwhelming model selection for this race — seven independent sub-models all align on Bonville Paddy, the strongest consensus of any D-grade race on tonight's card. Won at D1 last time from trap 1 with a performance of 46 — a confidence-boosting recent win at this exact track, grade and distance. Previous OR runs at 79 and 86 at Central Park show this dog has genuine class above the current D1 level, suggesting she may be under-graded at D1 right now. CS=53 is the clear leader, seven points above Francos Matt in second. Trainer Locke is well-represented tonight and has a record of producing consistent performers. Trap 2 at 277 metres is a decent structural position offering reliable first-bend access. The combination of the clearest composite lead in any sprint race tonight, the most recent D1 win at this track, and the underlying OR form that suggests significantly more ability, makes Bonville Paddy the confident selection here.
Wildly inconsistent — 88 then 30 at same track. If at his best he wins easily; if at worst he finishes last. Cannot recommend over consistent selection.
Recent D1 winner at this track but CS lower and trap draw average. Place prospect.
Consistent D1 presence but form not strong enough to challenge the top runners.
Recent D1 second but below-average composite and draw. Place prospect.
Consistent D1 placer with decent composite but outside draw. Two seconds suggest placed form without the means to win today.
Strongest model consensus of any D-grade sprint tonight — 7 sub-models all align on Bonville Paddy. CS=53 is 7 clear of the next runner. Won D1 here last time.
T2 moderate-to-good at 277m CP. Inner traps generally favoured at tight first bend.
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 277m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 277m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (277m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 277m | 400m | 491m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Francos Matt | 0.600 | — | 0.622 |
| 2 | Bonville Paddy | 0.598 | — | — |
| 3 | My Jaspie | 0.604 | — | — |
| 4 | Laughil Dan | 0.600 | — | 0.613 |
| 5 | Gotthechat | 0.595 | 0.617 | — |
| 6 | King Pavarotti | 0.598 | — | 0.601 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.