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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Favourite Placeb 4y 15 | D Calvert — 17% R545 W93 P315 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | - | 37 (3) | 33 (4) | 38 (2) | 40 (3) | 30 (5) | 39 (3) | 47 (4) | 41 (1) | 41 (3) | - | 51 | 51 | 46 | 64 | 68 | 64 | 1 | 2/1 | |
| 2 | ▶ No Coverageb 4y 14 | S J L Lapidge — 18% R320 W56 P187 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | - | 35 (2) | 37 (1) | 31 (4) | 25 (5) | 27 (4) | 38 (5) | 43 (5) | 53 (5) | 75 (3) | 50 (2) | 28 | 61 | - | 59 | 57 | 54 | 5 | 20/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Skywalker Tinod 4y 35 | D M Verner — 33% R27 W9 P18 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | - | 20 (5) | 40 (2) | 42 (1) | 28 (1) | 35 (4) | 40 (3) | 31 (1) | 33 (3) | 40 (3) | - | 53 | 56 | 32 | 56 | 65 | 62 | 4 | 7/1 | |
| 4 | ▶ Shackelton Aced 3y 8 | S Watson — 31% R414 W128 P292 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | - | 47 (1) | 38 (4) | 34 (4) | 46 (1) | 41 (2) | 29 (1) | 47 (4) | 42 (1) | 34 (1) | - | 62 | 61 | 49 | 63 | 65 | 64 | 3 | 13/8 | |
| 5 | ▶ Cockneyalfitnessb 2yN/R 23 | S J L Lapidge — 18% R320 W56 P187 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 41 | - | 36 (5) | 40 (4) | 35 (5) | 42 (4) | 50 (3) | 40 (4) | 50 (2) | 59 (1) | 41 (3) | 37 (5) | 25 | 19 | - | 19 | 59 | 46 | - | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Mustang Miled 3y 16 | S Watson — 31% R414 W128 P292 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | - | 91 (2) | 48 (1) | 44 (2) | 37 (4) | 38 (1) | 37 (3) | 40 (4) | 43 (2) | 41 (1) | - | 60 | 58 | 51 | 57 | 68 | 65 | 2 | 11/8F | |
The best recent form meets the best trap. Latest 78 perf with a win is the highest single perf in this field, and form trajectory shows a strong bounce: 77→63→58→62→66→78. She's now matched her previous best (77) and exceeded it. Speed 54 is joint-fastest with Mustang Mile. T1 wins 26.37% at D2 275m from 201 runs — the dominant trap. Trainer Calvert at 28% is moderate-to-strong. Suitability is solid: distance 64 is the best in the field for this trip. Average perf 68 is joint-best with Mustang Mile. The edge over Mustang Mile comes down to trap: T1 at 26.37% vs T6 at 22.16% — a 4% structural advantage at the same speed.
DANGER: Verner 47% is elite. Just won at 75. Speed 52 is close enough to the leaders at 275m. If he breaks cleanly from T3 and the two 54-speed dogs interfere with each other, Verner's dog runs through.
DANGER: Watson 34%, best suitability, proven 78-79 peak. But worst trap (16.74%) and latest form (54, 48) is below his best. Needs the draw to not matter — at 275m it often does.
DANGER: Joint-best perf (68), joint-fastest (54), Watson 34%, three wins from six. Practically interchangeable with the pick on ability — the 4% trap differential (T1 26.37% vs T6 22.16%) is the tiebreaker. If Favourite Place falters, Mustang Mile wins.
ELIMINATE. Six consecutive declining runs (71→40). Even EP 100 can't overcome this form collapse. Dead last.
One 76 fluke doesn't make a contender. Speed 41, worst suitability, one-dimensional form at 56-57 level. Not competitive here.
T1 dominant at 26.37%. T4 worst at 16.74%. SR1 wins 26.58% — speed is crucial. Very competitive composite breakdown with R3 beating R2 (21.08% vs 17.53%) — upsets common.
T1:26.37%(201) T2:19.1%(267) T3:23.21%(237) T4:16.74%(239) T5:25.52%(192) T6:22.16%(176)
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 275m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.