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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Calgray Riskd 3y 6 | S A Birks — 16% R221 W36 P127 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 57 | - | 26 (5) | 36 (2) | 35 (2) | 32 (2) | 30 (3) | 33 (2) | 35 (2) | 31 (4) | 29 (4) | 37 (1) | 41 | 39 | 35 | 43 | 63 | 55 | 1 | 7/4 | |
| 2 | ▶ Skidrow Lunab 2y 17 | D Calvert — 17% R552 W93 P317 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | - | 37 (2) | 35 (4) | 31 (4) | 43 (3) | 37 (1) | 36 (1) | 31 (1) | 25 (2) | 32 (4) | - | 31 | 37 | 39 | 44 | 53 | 48 | 3 | 11/10F | |
| 3 | ▶ Romantic Sunb 3y 9 | S A Birks — 16% R221 W36 P127 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | - | 31 (1) | 22 (5) | 26 (4) | 34 (1) | 34 (1) | 25 (3) | 26 (4) | 23 (5) | 36 (1) | 32 (2) | 26 | 40 | 47 | 45 | 58 | 51 | 2 | 6/1 | |
| 4 | ▶ Beautys Alikatb 4y 36 | S A Birks — 16% R221 W36 P127 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 41 | - | 20 (5) | 21 (5) | 24 (5) | 34 (2) | 24 (5) | 36 (1) | 36 (1) | 23 (5) | 22 (5) | 36 (1) | 32 | 35 | 35 | 36 | 55 | 48 | 4 | 16/1 | |
| 5 | ▶ Bluey Boyd 5yN/R 34 | W E Link — 0% R5 W0 P3 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 67 | - | 42 (4) | 46 (2) | 60 (3) | 61 (4) | 62 (3) | 59 (4) | 70 (3) | 74 (3) | 84 (1) | 76 (2) | 37 | 50 | - | 87 | 64 | 62 | - | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Flosses Pradab 2y 16 | D Calvert — 17% R552 W93 P317 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | - | 34 (2) | 31 (2) | 39 (1) | 28 (4) | 29 (4) | 27 (3) | 26 (5) | 37 (5) | 30 (1) | - | 23 | 43 | 10 | 43 | 53 | 47 | 5 | 11/4 | |
Speed 67 is extraordinary — not just the best in this race but the best on the entire Doncaster card today. That's 10 points clear of the next-fastest dog here (Calgray Risk at 57). EP 100 confirms he'll be first out of the traps and first to the bend. At 275m, the Fader profile (CS 0) is irrelevant — the race is a 16-second sprint and Faders can comfortably hold at this trip. He's won his last two: 70 perf at 450m (1st), 77 perf at 275m (1st). Perf average 64 is the best in the field. Distance suitability 87 is exceptional — deeply proven at 275m. The only negatives: T5 is the worst trap at D3 275m (17.71% from 192 runs) and class suitability 0 means he's new to D3 grade. But speed of this magnitude overcomes draw disadvantages. Trainer Link at 15% is weak but when a dog is 10 points faster than the field, trainer doesn't matter.
DANGER: Best trap (27.27%), second-best speed (57), just won at 74 perf. The only dog in the field who can challenge Bluey Boy, and the trap advantage could matter if Bluey Boy breaks slowly from the bad T5 draw. But needs Bluey Boy to underperform to win.
Too inconsistent. Could run anything from 31 to 66 and you have no way of predicting which. Calvert 30% keeps her honest but can't fix this level of volatility.
Recent winner but structurally outpaced. Speed 47 vs 67 is a canyon at 275m. Best class suit (47) in the field but won't matter when she's lengths behind from the bend.
Former talent in current decline. Speed 41 is the worst by 4 points. Historical 74 peaks are irrelevant when the latest form reads 64→45→48.
ELIMINATE. Two consecutive 5th places at 44 perf. Even Calvert 30% can't salvage this. Outpaced and outclassed.
T1 dominant at 27.27% from 165 runs. T5 worst at 17.71% from 192 runs. SR1 wins 26.16% from 604 runs — speed is king at D3 275m. R3 actually beats R2 (22.17% vs 20.83%) showing upsets are common.
T1:27.27%(165) T2:23.89%(247) T3:18.15%(270) T4:21.14%(246) T5:17.71%(192) T6:21.98%(232)
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 275m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.